2011 Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not April 14
WHO’S HOT
Last weekend’s unpredictable set of results caused a slew of changes to this week’s top 20 of Derby Watch. The most notable newcomer is Toby’s Corner, the Wood Memorial winner, who leapfrogged all the way to the fourth choice, at 10-1, on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. Midnight Interlude, the Santa Anita Derby winner, also made the list, and is 15-1. Both Comma to the Top (30-1) and Stay Thirsty (40-1) have returned, since they have enough graded stakes earnings and their connections are still pointing to the Derby. Because of the loss of Uncle Mo in the Wood, Watchmaker has a new favorite, with Dialed In now on top at 4-1.
Anthony’s Cross, Silver Medallion, To Honor and Serve, and Watch Me Go all were removed from the list, owing to disappointing performances (Anthony’s Cross and Watch Me Go), injury (To Honor and Serve), or insufficient earnings (Silver Medallion). In an attempt to get more graded cash, there is a chance Silver Medallion could come back next weekend in the Coolmore Lexington Stakes. Uncle Mo, favored since this list first came out in February, is now the second choice at 5-1 after being 5-2 a week ago.
ON THE BUBBLE
Both J P’s Gusto and Sway Away were once on this list and could return depending on how they perform Saturday in the Arkansas Derby, which has a $1 million purse. The Blue Grass Stakes also could put a new horse on the list, what with first place worth $450,000.