By The Wizard
Saturday’s Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park offers very little surprises if you are searching for a longshot to upset the three clear betting favorites. It’s unfortunate, because Upstart, the 8-5 morning-line favorite, and Itsaknockout, the 2-1 second choice, are both the types of horses you want to take a position against.
Last week, we used DRF Formulator to find a few nice winners at $13.80, $15.20, and $44.80, and we’re back looking at a few we like at Gulfstream, plus one price play in the Louisiana Derby. Formulator allows you to see the lifetime past performances of horses who have run in the past five years for any trainer who has horses entered, as well as charts, replays, filters, and more.
Download positive ROI trainer statistics for Friday's cards at Aqueduct, Charles Town, Fair Grounds, Fonner Park, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Hawthorne, Laurel Park, Los Alamitos, Oaklawn Park, Penn National, Santa Anita, Derby Futures, Sunland Park, Tampa Bay Downs, and Turfway Park. The report features top trainer angles, top trainer/jockey combinations, and profitable betting angles based on a trainer's record in similar situations.
Some big, competitive fields give the day’s final pick three (races 7-9) some appeal.
:: Build your pick three ticket with DRF TicketMaker
Race 7
Download a list of horses exiting races where two or more of the competitors have come back to win their next starts. Friday's report features races from Aqueduct, Charles Town, Churchill Downs, Fair Grounds, Fonner Park, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Hawthorne, Laurel Park, Los Alamitos, Oaklawn Park, Penn National, Santa Anita, Sunland Park, Tampa Bay Downs, and Turfway Park.
Get the report here.
Though she ran somewhat up to expectations in her debut, our Pick last week, Exposure, got run over in the drive but managed to save third for those who keyed her in the monster $1,470 trifecta. The rest of the week went well with nine BreezeFigs maidens getting to the winner’s circle, spread out all over the place: at Fair Grounds, Golden Gate, Gulfstream (2), Laurel, Oaklawn, Santa Anita and Tampa Bay (2).
Download DRF Plus handicapping reports for Friday's races, including DRF Daily GamePlan, the Positive ROI Report, and Key Race Report.
DRF Daily GamePlan
Closer looks for Aqueduct, Fair Grounds, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita, and spot plays and live longshots for Aqueduct, Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita. Picks are chronologically listed, so you can build and plan your wagering day.
Get GamePlan here.
LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Along with just about every other avid horseplayer, I will be focused on the major races on television Saturday, watching the Dubai World Cup and later the Florida Derby and Louisiana Derby.
It is my bankroll that will be focused elsewhere, hoping to catch a few overlays on less-prominent races. The strategy is basic: Bet the races I like, and watch those that hold interest but don’t appear to offer a horse with wagering appeal.
Three stakes in particular hit my handicapping radar this week. They follow below, in post-time order.
Download positive ROI trainer statistics for Thursday's cards at Aqueduct, Charles Town, Fair Grounds, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Laurel Park, Oaklawn Park, Penn National, and Santa Anita. The report features top trainer angles, top trainer/jockey combinations, and profitable betting angles based on a trainer's record in similar situations.
Get the report here.
It’s hard to overstate how important a day of racing this Saturday is. We have the biggest cards of the year at Gulfstream and Fair Grounds, and the Dubai World Cup program precedes it all.
Pan American Stakes
