WHO’S HOT
MIDNIGHT STORM
Trainer: Phil D’Amato
Last race: April 16, 6th
Finish: 1st by 7 3/4
Beyer: 105
A good 3-year-old last year, this turf colt returned as an improved 4-year-old with a blazing (1:33.31) allowance mile that makes him the horse to beat June 13 in the Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile.
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DR SPORT
Trainer: Sam DiPasquale
Last race: April 18, 6th
Finish: 4th by 5 1/4
Beyer: 62
He gave the field a five-length head-start while breaking in the air before closing belatedly from last in his first start after an extended layoff and a claim. With the benefit of that tightener, he should be right there next time out against non-winners-of-three opposition.
COMMENT: La Verdad, coming off a layoff, faced only three foes and had little trouble defending her title here. She was last seen finishing seventh to Salutos Amigos and other males in the Grade 3 Fall Highweight here Nov. 27. Today, La Verdad zipped right out to the lead, took immediate pressure from Aireofdistinction, easily moved clear of that rival going to the far turn, and opened up.
HOME RUN KITTEN (#2, ML 5-2) returns to what may be his best game – sprinting on this hillside course. Oh, he can route just fine as proven by those last 3 sharp efforts at a mile (2nd in a Grade 2, 3rd in a Grade 2, 3rd in a Grade 1) but he’s 2 for 3 on this hillside course and should get the right kind of hot pace to bolster his last run.
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As of this writing, the scheduled turf races at Keeneland remain on the grass despite steady rain this morning in Lexington. So bear in mind, my “How I’d play today” thoughts, being made late a.m. Sunday, are with the expectation those races will be run on a yielding grass course.
For that matter, the main track could end up something other than fast, too – though this track does drain exceptionally well, and the rain hasn’t been especially heavy in Kentucky this morning.
That noted – time to get to the betting strategy.
Quiet Hour takes on a field of seven in Sunday's sixth race at Gulfstream Park, the one-mile Sand Dollar Stakes. Since Jan. 1, 2014, trainer Martin Wolfson is winning at a 31 percent clip when saddling a horse switching from sprint to route, for a return on investment of $4.73.
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Arties Party Girl (#6, ML 5-1) will return to action in Sunday's third race at Aqueduct, a 6 1/2-furlong maiden claimer. It will be her first start since a third-place finish by three lengths in a six-furlong race March 8 at Aqueduct. The first- and second-place finishers from that maiden claimer came back to win their next starts.
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DRF Bets GamePlan
Closer looks for Aqueduct, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Keeneland, Santa Anita, and Woodbine, and spot plays and live longshots for Aqueduct, Keeneland, Golden Gate, Gulfstream, Santa Anita, and Woodbine. Picks are chronologically listed, so you can build and plan your wagering day.