Fear (#1, ML 6-1) will return to action in Saturday’s 12th race at Belmont Park, a six-furlong maiden claimer on turf. It will be his first start since a third-place finish by 3 1/4 lengths in a maiden race March 22 at Gulfstream Park. The first-, second-, and fourth-place finishers from that race came back to win their next starts.
Hard to resist any sequence landing on the Kentucky Derby, isn’t it? And at a 50-cent base bet, the pick five encompassing races 7 to 11 and landing on the Derby seems – before it unfolds, at least – fairly manageable for a player on a budget. Let’s go race by race.
The concept of “value” in gambling resides very much in the eye of the beholder: One person’s overlay is another’s underlay. It all depends on one’s handicapping.
Handicappers Matt Bernier and Kenny Peck are going head to head with $500 to wager on the Kentucky Derby Day card at Churchill Downs.
Hitting any pick four requires some degree of good fortune, and when that race includes a 19-horse Kentucky Derby, you need a little extra luck. Knowing how difficult it is, let’s still swing away, knowing the mutuel upside, starting with the Distaff Turf Mile.
Download DRF Plus handicapping reports for Saturday's races, including DRF Bets GamePlan, the Positive ROI Report, and Key Race Report.
Handicappers Matt Bernier and Kenny Peck are going head to head with $500 to wager on the Kentucky Derby Day card at Churchill Downs.
Fully aware of the strength of that maiden win by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR (#3) first time out, and though he ran well in his return try, it sure didn't seem as though he was wild about seven furlongs. I'm going to make LEWYS VAPORIZER (#8) an "A" along with YOCKEY'S WARRIOR, as the former impressed in that Hawthorn maiden score. The lone "B" play will be the entry of ROLL TIDE ROLL (#1) and TOUGH CUSTOMER (#1A). I think ROLL TIDE ROLL could fall into a nice stalking trip behind a contested pace, as he proved in his debut that he can rate, and TOUGH CUSTOMER has decent works for his return for Wayne Catalano, who does well off the layoff.
If you have $50 you would like to bet on the Kentucky Derby, I would recommend playing a win bet on one or two horses, a few small exacta plays, and some trifectas as well.
The following is a list of DRF Plus resources and content related to Friday's Kentucky Oaks card at Churchill Downs.
