DeVivo: Pick three play at Belmont for Sunday, Sept. 13
DRF handicapper Joe DeVivo provides analysis of a pick three wager for Sunday's card at Belmont.
Joe DeVivoSep 12, 2015
DRF handicapper Joe DeVivo provides analysis of a pick three wager for Sunday's card at Belmont.
It is hard to resist the late pick four at Woodbine. It has a guaranteed pool of $500,000, and it includes the Grade 2, $300,000 Canadian for fillies and mares and the Grade 1, $1 million Woodbine Mile.
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Playing a pick three starting in the sixth race, trying to get some value around heavy favorite Dekalb County in the opening leg:
Take a long look at Race 5 and notice the veritable ton of early speed in there. Sure seems like something could rally from off the pace to capitalize. First inclination is that ULTIMATE LUCK fits that bill, but with that voided claim out of his latest at Del Mar, let’s give WITH THE BREEZE (6) and hungry jock Ry Eikleberry a big chance on the drop and slight turnback for the Belvoir barn. He’s a single on a caveman pick three ticket that goes a-spreading in the two subsequent races:
Watchmaker: How I'd Play Belmont for Saturday, Sept. 12
Trainer Bryan Metz saddles Runaway's Vision (#4, ML 12-1) in Friday's seventh race at Indiana Grand, a five-furlong allowance on turf. Since Jan., 1, 2014, Metz is winning at a 26 percent clip when saddling a horse coming off a win, for a return on investment of $4.72. Check out the Positive ROI report as part of DRF Plus. Sign up for DRF Plus here.
Entertainer (#6, ML 5-2) returns in Friday's fifth race at Churchill Downs, a one-mile maiden special weight race. It will be his first start since finishing second by 2 1/2 lengths in a maiden special weight race July 17 at Monmouth Park. The third- and fourth-place finishers from that race came back to win their next starts. Get the Key Race report as part of DRF Plus. Sign up for DRF Plus here.
BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, September 12th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore.
I’m going with the maiden Condominium in Saturday’s Iroquois Stakes for 2-year-olds at Churchill Downs.