More often than not, when a horse owns the top last-race Beyer Speed Figure, the horse is favored. And if by chance that figure came against top company recently and over the track where the horse is running again, a short price also is likely.
Yet there is a horse in Saturday’s Swale Stakes at Gulfstream who holds those advantages but is unlikely to be the public’s choice. He is X Y Jet, and he is worth a bet.
My good friend Jeff Siegel told me the other day that since the advent of synthetic surfaces, jockeys have ridden like every race is a grass race, even races on conventional dirt. You do not see nearly as many races where horses are sent hard from the start and the fractions are eye-catching. That lack of pace obviously affects final times and Beyer Speed Figures.
Download positive ROI trainer statistics for Thursday's cards at Aqueduct, Charles Town, Delta Downs, Fair Grounds, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, Penn National, Santa Anita, and Tampa Bay Downs. The report features top trainer angles, top trainer/jockey combinations, and profitable betting angles based on a trainer's record in similar situations.
Falling between last Saturday’s Fountain of Youth, Risen Star, and the seasonal bow of Main Sequence and next Saturday’s Big Cap, San Felipe, Tampa Bay Derby, and Gotham, this Saturday represents a relative soft spot on the national stakes schedule. The day’s main event is the Grade 2, $200,000 Swale Stakes at Gulfstream, which marks the seasonal debut of Champagne Stakes winner Daredevil.
John Battaglia Memorial
Download a list of horses exiting races where two or more of the competitors have come back to win their next starts. Thursday's report features races from Aqueduct, Charles Town, Delta Downs, Fair Grounds, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, Penn National, Santa Anita, and Tampa Bay Downs.
Get the report here.
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Download DRF Plus handicapping reports for Thursday's races, including DRF Daily GamePlan, the Positive ROI Report, and Key Race Report.
DRF Daily GamePlan
Closer looks for Aqueduct, Fair Grounds, Golden Gate, Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita, and spot plays and live longshots for Aqueduct, Oaklawn, and Santa Anita. Thursday's edition also includes a pick three play for Oaklawn Park. Picks are chronologically listed, so you can build and plan your wagering day.
Download DRF Plus handicapping reports for Wednesday's races, including DRF Daily GamePlan, the Positive ROI Report, and Key Race Report.
DRF Daily GamePlan
Closer looks for Gulfstream Park and spot plays and live longshots for Gulfstream and Tampa Bay Downs. Picks are chronologically listed, so you can build and plan your wagering day.
Get GamePlan here.
Positive ROI Report
With less than 10 weeks remaining until the first Saturday in May, much of the focus in the racing world has turned to the 3-year-olds. There are 14 races remaining for these horses to earn points in their bid to qualify for the Kentucky Derby, and with over 400 horses nominated for the Triple Crown, the competition for these points will be fierce.
Download closer looks for Gulfstream Park and spot plays and live longshots for Gulfstream and Tampa Bay Downs. Picks are chronologically listed, so you can build and plan your wagering day.
Get GamePlan here.
Get more premium data with your DRF Plus subscription in the Access Center.
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