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Churchill Downs

Paladin the individual favorite in fourth Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool

Matt Hegarty|Feb 10, 2026
Paladin.12-6-25.BL_.jpg
Barbara D. Livingston Paladin is entered in Saturday’s Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds.

Paladin, the winner of the 2025 Remsen Stakes, has been made a tepid 8-1 favorite among the 39 individual horses included in the fourth pool of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager, according to a list of odds released by the pool’s administrator, Churchill Downs, on Tuesday.

Paladin, who is entered in Saturday’s Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds, inherits the role of favorite after the defection of Ted Noffey from the Derby trail due to bone bruising. Ted Noffey, who has not lost a race and was last year’s 2-year-old champion, was the individual favorite in all three of the previous Derby Future Wager pools.

The entry of “all other 3-year-olds” was 4-1 on the morning line.

:: KENTUCKY DERBY 2026: Top contenders, point standings, prep schedule, news, and more

The Risen Star Stakes is the most prominent 3-year-old stakes race this weekend. Four other entrants in the race – Carson Street, Chip Honcho, Courting, and Golden Tempo – are also listed individually in this weekend’s pool.

Two other stakes with potential implications for the Derby field are also scheduled to be run this weekend. The Saudi Derby in Saudi Arabia will be run on Saturday, and the Sunland Derby in New Mexico is scheduled for Sunday. However, the Sunland Derby will not be run until the Derby Future Wager has already closed.

Betting will open on the Future Wager at noon Eastern Time on Friday and close at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday. The minimum wager is $2 in both win and exacta betting.

:: Want to learn more about handicapping and wagering? Check out DRF's Handicapping 101 and Wagering 101 pages.

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