Kentucky Derby: Who's Hot, Who's Not for March 4

WHO’S HOT
Keen Ice, third most recently in the Risen Star Stakes, nudged his way onto this week’s top 20 of Derby Watch when a single spot opened up. He is 30-1 on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. American Pharoah, last year’s Eclipse Award winner, continues to tumble in price on Watchmaker’s line owing to his recent workouts. He is now the second choice at 8-1, down from 10-1 last week and 12-1 two weeks ago. Far From Over, the Withers Stakes winner, also saw his price tick downward to 15-1 from last week’s 20-1.

WHO’S NOT
The Great War was removed from the list after he bled while finishing last in the Battaglia Memorial last Saturday night. He is officially off the Derby trail. Upstart, last week’s second choice, traded spots with American Pharoah and is now 10-1 on Watchmaker’s line after being 8-1 a week ago. Firing Line also was raised on Watchmaker’s line to 15-1 from last week’s 12-1.

:: DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | WinStar holding strong hand as owner, breeder

ON THE BUBBLE
There could be plenty of movement after this Saturday, with seven of the Derby Watch top 20 in action in four stakes – the San Felipe, Gotham, Tampa Bay Derby, and Swale. Among those who could move onto the list if spots open are Lord Nelson, who is set to face a deep field in the San Felipe at Santa Anita, Frammento, Metaboss, Mr. Z, and The Truth Or Else.

:: ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays