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Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for Feb. 20, 2019

Jay Privman|Feb 20, 2019
Galilean wins 2019 California Cup Derby (Barb)
Barbara D. Livingston Galilean paid $2.10 with his victory in the California Cup Derby.

WHO’S HOT

Country House, second in the Risen Star on Saturday, and Galilean, who romped in the California Cup Derby on Monday and is now headed for open stakes racing, are the two newcomers to this week’s Derby Watch top 20. Country House is 20-1 on the line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper, for the May 4 Kentucky Derby. Galilean is 30-1. War of Will, the Risen Star winner, saw his odds cut from 12-1 last week to 10-1, making him the co-fourth choice with Instagrand.

WHO’S NOT

Network Effect, who suffered a minor setback and is off the Derby trail, and Owendale, who disappointed in the Risen Star, were removed from the list. In order to balance his line for the current 20-horse Derby Watch field, Watchmaker raised the prices on Dream Maker and Nolo Contesto to 40-1 from last week’s 30-1.

:: DERBY WATCH: Top 20 Kentucky Derby contenders with comments from Jay Privman and Mike Watchmaker

ON THE BUBBLE

Global Campaign and Well Defined just missed making the cut this week. Anothertwistafate, who won the El Camino Real Derby on Saturday, and Super Steed, the upset winner of the Southwest on Monday, were considered, but the Derby Watch executive committee passed on them for now, ruling Anothertwistafate needs to show he’s as effective on dirt as synthetic, and that the Southwest was a low-rated race (Beyer Speed Figure of 87).

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