Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for April 15, 2020

WHO’S HOT

Mr. Big News, who won the Oaklawn Stakes on Saturday, and Shooters Shoot, who captured an allowance race earlier on that card, are the two newcomers to the Derby Watch top 20. Both are 50-1 shots on the future line set by Marty McGee of Daily Racing Form for the Kentucky Derby, now scheduled for Sept. 5. Tiz the Law remains McGee’s favorite, at 3-1. McGee tweaked a couple of prices since the list was last updated. Charlatan remains his fourth choice, but he’s down to 6-1 after being 10-1 two weeks ago.

:: KENTUCKY DERBY 2020: Derby Watch, point standings, prep schedule, news, and more

WHO’S NOT

Basin and Thousand Words were removed from the top 20 following the Oaklawn Stakes. Authentic, previously the sole second choice at 4-1, had his price raised to 5-1 – making him the co-second choice now with Nadal – as McGee balanced his line to reflect the price drop on Charlatan. Authentic, Charlatan, and Nadal all are trained by Bob Baffert.

ON THE BUBBLE

The only points-scoring race on the immediate horizon is the Arkansas Derby, now scheduled for May 2. Farmington Road, runner-up in the Oaklawn Stakes, and Silver Prospector, who skipped the Oaklawn Stakes but is on target for the Arkansas Derby, are among the many, including Max Player and Mischevious Alex, who could move onto the list in coming weeks. But it’s a long run in until Derby Day now. The race has been postponed by 126 days. For perspective, consider that 126 days prior to the Derby’s original date, May 2, was back on Dec. 28, which is about six weeks before Derby Watch usually starts up.