2011 Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 10

Who's Hot

There was little movement from last week to this week. The top 20 members of Derby Watch remain the same, but Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper, tweaked his Kentucky Derby future line odds to reflect the performances last week of Dialed In and Stay Thirsty. Because of his victory in the Gotham, Stay Thirsty is down to 25-1 on Watchmaker’s line after being 40-1 a week ago. Watchmaker also shaved a couple points off Soldat, making him 8-1 – and thus the new second choice – after being 10-1 a week ago.

Who's Not

Dialed In, after losing an allowance race at Gulfstream, is now the co-third choice on Watchmaker’s line after being the second choice a week ago. He floated up to 10-1 from last week’s 6-1, so he’s now the same price as To Honor and Serve.

On the bubble

Positive Response was a powerful winner of the Battaglia Memorial last week at Turfway and becomes one of the leading choices for the March 26 Vinery Spiral Stakes, whose purse makes it a Win and You’re In for the Derby. The San Felipe at Santa Anita on Saturday has several horses capable of moving into the top 20, including Albergatti, Awesome Patriot, Bench Points, Premier Pegasus, and former Derby Watch member Runflatout.

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