03/07/2012 4:59PM

Kentucky Derby 2012: Who's hot and who's not for March 7

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WHO'S HOT
Bodemeister, the understudy for Fed Biz in the San Felipe Stakes on Saturday at Santa Anita, and My Adonis, second to Hansen in the Gotham Stakes last Saturday at Aqueduct, are the two newcomers to this week's top 20 of Derby Watch. Bodemeister figures to get plenty of support in the San Felipe, part of the reason why Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form's national handicapper, has pegged him at 25-1 on his Kentucky Derby future line. My Adonis is 50-1 on Watchmaker's line. Hansen, the co-fifth choice on Watchmaker's future line one week ago at 15-1, is now the clear second choice at 6-1 following his victory in the Gotham.

WHO'S NOT
Out of Bounds was taken off the list owing to injury, and Rousing Sermon was removed strictly to make room for Bodemeister. Rousing Sermon did nothing wrong. It was just a matter of him being the odd horse out this week. Fed Biz, 12-1 last week, is now 20-1 on Watchmaker's line because of his absence from the San Felipe. As good as he may be, Fed Biz still has no graded stakes earnings, and the clock is ticking.

ON THE BUBBLE
Rousing Sermon obviously would move right back on the list with a strong performance in the San Felipe. With both the San Felipe and the Tampa Bay Derby -- both two-turn races on dirt - being run this weekend, there will opportunities for others to leap onto the list.
 

[DERBY WATCH: Top 20 Contenders | BC Juvenile looking key]