ARCADIA, Calif. – Two middle-odds contenders early, and two longshot gambles later, are the overlay focus Sunday at Santa Anita. All four are generous odds, beginning with the first race.
Race 1
It will be a welcome surprise if PISTOL PACKIN ROSE starts as high as her 9-2 morning line. Considering how well she ran last out, third despite a brutal trip, she offers value at 3-1 or higher in this N1X turf route for 3-year-old fillies.
Race 7:
Sweet August Lady (#1)
Ran her best race going one turn at Belmont in early summer.
Was too far back over a very firm course after a poor start last time.
DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past five years, Chad Brown is 16 for 45 (36 percent, $2.94 ROI) with horses going from routes to sprints on turf at Belmont.
6-1 on ML
---
John Blance:
R1: 8-1-9-7
R2: 1-2-5-8
R3: 2-8-1-5
R4: 1-3-6-4
R5: 4-2-1-8
R6: 8-9-2-6
R7: 5-10-1-3
R8: 4-1-9-12
R9: 5-12-4-13
R10: 14-1-10-4
Best: Hard Ball Get (R9)
Longshot: Jetwings (R7)
Paul Lally:
R1: 9-8-3-1
R2: 4-2-5-8
R3: 2-5-1-8
R4: 1-6-8-3
R5: 5-1-2-8
R6: 2-12-8-1
R7: 1-5-7-3
R8: 9-1-4-6
R9: 8-12-7-4
R10: 14-10-8-1
Best Bet Race 3 Star of Patch
Longshot Race 8 Super Junior
Belmont | Race 10 | Post Time 5:45 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
Race 3:
Avery Island (#6)
Comes out of a pretty lively maiden race, where he took plenty of money.
His dam, Kinda Spicy, was a confirmed router, so he should improve with this stretch-out in distance
** DRF Formulator Fact: Over the past five years, Kiaran McLaughlin is 5 for 16 (31 percent, $2.71 ROI) with 2-year-old maidens stretching out on dirt in their second career starts.
7-2 on ML
---
HEAVENLY LOVE
Trainer: Mark Casse
Last race: KD, Sept. 7, 7th
Finish: 1st by 5
Beyer: 78
Either due to improvement as a second-time starter or with a shift to turf, she rolled to a dominant maiden win at Kentucky Downs, coasting over the final furlong with her ears pricked; considered a possible starter for the opening-day Alcibiades at Keeneland, which would mark a return to dirt, a surface on which she was third at Gulfstream first out over the summer.
Abbreviate
Trainer: Chad Brown
Last race: Sept. 15, 5th
Finish: 1st by 3 1/2
Beyer: 86
Juddmonte homebred filly returned from a layoff after disappointing a bit in her first two starts (not without excuses), and she was sharp while overrunning maidens with a strong stretch kick.
Belmont Park | Race 8 | Post Time 5:13 p.m. (ET) | Go to the FREE TimeformUS PPs
Not already a TimeformUS member? Sign up now
