LOUISVILLE, Ky. – The post-Derby blues has a potential pick-me-up for bettors Thursday evening at Churchill Downs: a mandatory payoff in the Single 6 wager that is sweetened by a carryover of $385,132. The sequence, covering races 3 to 8 on the card, begins with the third race at 5:58 Eastern and can be played in 20-cent denominations.
Race by race, here’s a look at the principal contenders:
Race 3, $25,000 claimer, 7 furlongs.
STRIKE ME DOWN
Trainer: Graham Motion
Last race: May 4, 7th
Finish: 1st by neck
Beyer: 74
The Maryland-based son of Tapit stamped himself as a contender for the Queen’s Plate with a front-running score under trying windy conditions in a 1 1/16-mile maiden special.
Belmont Park | Race 9 | Post Time 5:50 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
The following is a list of DRF resources and content related to the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 5.
Belmont Park | Race 10 | Post Time 5:48 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
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Race 4:
Lady Suebee (#1)
The Pace Projector is predicting that she will be in front in a situation favoring runners on or near the lead.
Only requires slight improvement on her prior dirt form.
Is a half-sister to three turf winners, including $300,000-earning European runner Mutual Force.
6-1 on ML
While there certainly are instances where there are virtually uniform opinions, the concept of value is much like beauty, as it is largely in the eye of the beholder - in this case, the handicapper. So here's one handicapper's take on what horses offer value in the Kentucky Deryb. To simplify, we'll use the Churchill Downs morning line as an odds barometer:
#1 FIRENZE FIRE (50-1) Proof that long odds alone don't constitute value. His speed figures suggest he has little to no chance to hit the board, and the inside draw doesn't help matters.
Belmont Park | Race 8 | Post Time 5:18 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs
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Happy Derby Day! We have no choice—it’s just one of the most contentious fields ever, best of luck! There was a noticeable slowdown in the number of BreezeFigs maidens this past week, but of the six that won five of them paid in double digits, four of them over $20. They came at Belmont, Gulfstream (three) Keeneland and Santa Anita. Saturday's card has some decent opportunities, and we thought that two of them on the same card might be worth pondering, see below. Good luck!