Yonkers: Saturday 9/19 Analysis
MEET STATS: 277 - 855 / $1548.10 BEST BETS: 40 - 68 / $138.60
Best Bet: ALBERTO CONTADOR N (10th)
Spot Play: TWIN B IMPRESSIVE (7th)
Race 1
(1) SOMESIZESOMESTYLE had no chance last out from the eight hole and was used hard the start prior; 4-year-old from overdue connections can get the job done with a smooth rail journey. (2) CYCLONE KIWI N and (6) SOHO JACKMAN N both arrive from down-under and came out of the same qualifier last week where they both performed well; one is 4/1 and the other is 20/1 on the morning line for some reason....use both of them when calling out numbers.
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Race 2
(4) SHADY CITY was a going-away winner two back versus one notch lesser; proven grinder is always a threat if within reach. (1) SOLAR SURPRISE was overmatched versus 75K claimers; he just missed in his last two starts at this level. (3) SNAP TO IT A was a sharp-closing second last week from an outside post and looms a solid player here.
Race 3
(5) UF ROCKIN DRAGON returns locally off a troubled-trip fourth up at Saratoga; he's unproven at this level but so are most of these. (3) AMERICAN FLIGHT is the most likely win candidate from this spot but he's not the most prolific of winners; Bartlett's back driving. (1) SAND BENELLI is up in class off a win just five days ago for the live Robertson barn.
Race 4
(7) ROCK ON MOE seemed to make plenty of sense last week but he didn't leave the gate and that was that; he drops again and I would be shocked if Dube wasn't aggressive with him. (1) TWIN B HOLLISTER had a troubled trip last week but he never looked like he was going to fire anyway; he will go better tonight from the rail. (3) IN COMMANDO failed in his last two in lower conditions at Saratoga which is a bit troubling but he's raced well with better here in the past.
Race 5
(8) LUMINOSITY bounced back from his break two back with a solid win last week defeating Meladys Monet in the process; he will be forwardly placed again and could be slightly better value than nemesis (7) NOT AFRAID. The latter just missed versus Obrigado last out in a great try and he does have the slight post edge; great matchup. (2) UVA HANOVER may currently be a notch below the top class but he's developing into a solid trotter and he should be good for a share from this inside spot.
Race 6
(5) SOMEWHERE IN L A returns from a nice effort at Scioto versus the best of the best and his start prior he was a game second to lock-city E Z Noah; Takter trainee looks best in this different-look Open. (1) CROMBIE A gets serious post relief and figures to be more involved. (6) MACHS BEACH BOY took his usual Lachance money last week upon hiking to this level and raced pretty well; he merits consideration.
Race 7
(2) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE returns locally with some class relief and he rarely puts in a bad performance; gelding has a post edge on his main rivals which may make the difference. (5) SECOND WIND N also drops a notch and I would be surprised if Stratton didn't have him in play early. (1) LIVE ON doesn't win often but he should be involved from the rail.
Race 8
(8) ALWAYS AT MY PLACE looks for his seventh straight and he was dead-game in victory last week out of the eight hole; he's the King of this class until proven otherwise. (5) YS LOTUS left hard in front of the winner last week, released and sat the trip then was held at bay; despite the presence of other speed types it's conceivable the same scenario plays out tonight. (3) SOMEWHERE FANCY rallied for a small piece last out and the Toscano trainee is a proven entity at this level.
Race 9
(3) MUSSELSFRMBRUSSELS returns locally for Allard and when this veteran is good, he's really good. I think he might be a nice fit at this claiming level. (1) VALIDUS DEO gets much-needed post relief and it's hard to ignore him from this spot. (8) KIWI IDEAL N is stuck outside again but he's in shape and I'll try to sneak him into the number at a price.
Race 10
(1) ALBERTO CONTADOR N was a winner his last two starts at this level and with the best draw he clearly deserves top billing. (2) LIFE UP FRONT put in a good effort last week versus lesser in a race where everyone was bothered at the five-eighths; he's up in class tonight but he's a proven entity at this level. (3) HERE WE GO AGAIN lucked out last week in the race mentioned above and he can figure for a small share.
Race 11
(8) DW'S NY YANK hasn't been in this soft in a long time and he's too classy to ignore here, despite the eight hole draw. (1) ZOOMING was a solid winner two back then picked up a small share in last week's Open; Buter's gelding is clearly the main threat. (2) BOURBON BAY likes to win and the four-year-old has proven that he has class to him.
Race 12
(2) BETTOR'S EDGE returns locally off a nice wakeup score last week upon dropping out of stakes competition and he looks just a bit better than these. This looks like a Burke/Brennan back class double looming. (6) THE REAL ONE rarely misses a check racing in the Open week in and week out; expect Lachance to be a player here. (3) FREESPIN N dominated a softer group of NW25000 last week; it won't be as easy tonight.
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