Yonkers: Saturday 9/13 Analysis
Race 5 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
MEET STATS: 21 - 60 / $110.30 BEST BETS: 3 - 5 / $10.70
Best Bet: MARKET RALLY (5th)
Spot Play: BARN DOLL (2nd)
Race 1
(2) PANCETTA gets an inside post to work with and Brian Sears in the bike. He should be helped by the speedy (1) DREAM OUT LOUD N to his inside, who should leave fast enough to help the top choice get a pocket trip. The latter could be tough on the engine if allowed to get a soft half. (5) FRANKIES DRAGON is sharp enough to win given a decent trip.
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Race 2
(5) BARN DOLL is quite simply the fastest 2-year-old filly in this championship race. Best of all, she seems likely to offer value. (2) CONCENTRATION was a pretty easy winner in her lone start with Brian Sears in the bike; post one helps. (1) BETCHA gets a major driver change to Jim Morrill, Jr. and could easily improve. (3) ZANNA BLU is another horse picking up a catch-driver; playable.
Race 3
There are four or five fillies in this race to seem to have a chance at winning, but (2) IT WAS FASCINATION drew well and has shown the ability to handle an aggressive drive when in the right spot. (1) SPREESTER doesn’t miss many opportunities to get her picture taken but is far from a lock. (7) MAJOR DANCER would probably have been the favorite from a better post; dangerous. (3) TABLE TALK is capable on her best days.
Race 4
BAND OF ANGELS will probably win this race, but since the entire Ron Burke entry is banned from the wagering, trying to figure out trips and winners gets very complicated. (5) MY LITTLE DELIGHT has displayed the ability to come up with a big mile from time to time and for pari-mutuel purposes should work out a pretty good second-over trip. (3) DEVIL CHILD seems to enjoy leaving, but that might get her buried along the rail behind the Burke horses. (4) MOSQUITO BLUE CHIP could be the favorite but is far from a guarantee.
Race 5
(2A) MARKET RALLY only has one loss to her credit since May and she still finished second that night despite making a break. Barring a miscue, she should win. (2) AVALICIOUS looks like the second fastest filly in the race, and her entrymate just happens to be the fastest; solid 1-5 coupling. (5) DRIVING MISS CRAZY has the early zip to leave for position and make some noise.
Race 6
(1) CRAZY WOW has been a bit of an all or nothing type, but he certainly looked good zipping around the track last week. I’ll land here and hope for a better price than (6) BUEN CAMINO may offer. The latter has been super of late and only has the outside post to overcome. (5) GABE THE BEAR DEAN is almost certainly going to be firing off the gate, and that makes him dangerous. (8) INSOMNIAC faces a tough task from post eight, but if a few to his inside break stride, this son of Crazed could get involved.
Race 7
(1A) ALL BETS OFF is one to two seconds faster than his competition on Saturday and comes into this race off a nine-length romp. There is no way I could play against him. (5) STAY UP LATE has come into his own lately for trainer Casie Coleman. (2) WSTERN CONQUEST drew the inside post and should use it to his advantage.
Race 8
(1) SOUTHWIND MASIMO started his career with four straight wins, then was an okay third despite coming off a scratched-sick line and a tough trip. Pat Lachance trainee should be handled very aggressively in this spot. (2) BETTING EXCHANGE comes into this race off consecutive victories and looks like the most likely favorite. (5) AMERICANPRIMETIME has some early speed and talent. (7) ONEISALONELYNUMBER is a potential longshot player if he minds his manners.
Race 9
(2) FLYHAWK EL DURADO picked up victories in each of his last four NYSS races. All the money will be on (1) GURAL HANOVER, who has won seven straight races, but my top pick seems just as fast. This is a two-horse race on paper. (7) ROYAL MAX has plenty of early speed if he can find a quick tuck from post eight.
Race 10
(2) JUSTIFIED drops back down to the level of his last win and should be handled aggressively. (6) WORD POWER certainly has the class to win. (4) IT’S A GOOD THING seems sharp enough to make his presence felt.
Race 11
(2) HILLBILLY HANOVER has a class edge in this spot and figures to be very tough to beat. (1) STATION THREEOHSIX drops back down the ladder; threat. (7) DOMETHATAGAIN is dangerous if Sears elects to leave the gate.
Race 12
(2) LUCAN HANOVER has taken some time to adjust to life as a 4-year-old, but seems to be on the right track now. (7) BOLT THE DUER tends to do well in these easier spots and the extra distance into the first turn should allow him to gun to the front. (3) ASLAN has a shot at hitting the exotics with a smooth trip.
Race 13
(8) AMERICAN RAGE comes off a nice score and should be able to secure the top in this added distance race. (6) BIG N BAD has been a consistent performer at this level. (7) RONNY BUGATTI is clearly in form.
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