Yonkers: Analysis for Wednesday 5/19

MEET STATS: 81 - 315 / $501.50 (-$128.50)
BEST BETS: 15 - 32 / $57.60 (-$6.40)
SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 32 / $18.20 (-$45.80)
BEST BET - INDUSTRIAL HEMP (1st)
SPOT PLAY - FULL DECK (8th)

Race 1 - 3YO Fillies NW1 Pace

(2) INDUSTRIAL HEMP qualified well at Harrah's Philadelphia and the Meadowlands for her debut here and is a sister to two millionaires in If I Can Dream and Western Terror. (3) PATTY JO M closed well to dead-heat for third against maidens a week ago and gets another chance with leading driver Jordan Stratton from an improved post. (1) ROLL WITH SHORTY backed up a winning local qualifier on 4-30 by tying with Patty Jo M for third in that race last Wednesday. She gets the pole tonight and might be on the engine.

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Race 2 - F&M NW6/75000LT / NW4/50000LT Drawn Inside Pace

(1) MOSSDALE LOTTEE N bounced back from a breaking effort two weeks ago with an eye-catching win a fast time last Wednesday. I'll use again from the pole position. (2) GALLERIA GAL moves back to an inside draw this time but has had every opportunity to win thus far in 2021 and hasn't been able to. I'd definitely want underneath. (5) MOANING LISA had to work the hard work from first-up and tired in the last quarter a week ago. She does get a new driver for the first time in a while with Stratton taking the call, and she might get cover to follow.

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Race 3 - F&M NW2/25000LT / NW33500LT Pace

(1) CHART TOPPER races for a high-percentage trainer in Mike Deters and comes in off a win at Tioga, which I think gives her an advantage over these others that have struggled to get a victory lately. (2) BEAUTY BAYAMA closed in 27 4/5 to finish fourth in what I think was a pretty strong NW2 event a week ago. I think this is probably a softer group. (7) SUNSHINE HALL returns to Yonkers after racing at Harrah's Philadelphia in her last pair. She got the nod from Dan Dube over another one in this race, and she's been able to overcome outside draws here before.

Race 4 - F&M NW2/25000LT Pace

(2) OLIVIA BLU just missed from an outside post in her first Yonkers appearance on 5-5 and moves in from post seven to the two-hole here. I wouldn't be surprised if Joe Bongiorno had her on or near the lead tonight. (1) DELIGHTFUL Z TAM already owns two victories in this class and landed the pole position for this attempt. (4) UPTOWN CALLIE had pace through the stretch to finish third a week ago. She's just one-for-29 in the win column, but I think can be used in exactas and trifectas.

Race 5 - NW6000L5/12500CLM Trot

(6) P L KETCHUP squeezed into this race by $21, and so he gets to drop after finishing third versus NW7500L5's a week ago. I used him then, and I'll give him another shot here. (4) NEW YORK CHAPTER advanced from seventh to fourth in the final quarter last Wednesday and starts from an improved post tonight. (2) LIFE WELL LIVED comes in from Pocono having hit the board in his last three and gets James MacDonald to drive again.

Race 6 - F&M NW4/50000LT Pace

(6) HEART OF MINE won a division of the Reynolds on 5-7 to improve to two-for-two in 2021 and is probably the one they'll have to beat tonight. (1) CITY BY THE BAY steps up after beating NW2's a week ago. She goes for the potent tandem of George Brennan and Ron Burke and has a good history on half-mile tracks, which she showed again in that triumph. (3) SUMMER RAE has been knocking on the door with three second-place efforts in four tries in 2021. She gets Austin Siegelman back in the seat with Todd McCarthy not here tonight.

Race 7 - NW7500L5/Winners in Last Start of the Base Class NW5000L5/15000CLM Trot

(4) MIGHTY SURF owns plenty of wins at Yonkers from back when she was with trainer Dennis Laterza and was competing well against high-level foes down at Pompano prior to coming north. The horses I saw from trainer Jake Huff appeared competitive last week, and I will give her a shot. (2) HOMER HALL had pretty much every chance to win last Wednesday against NW10000L5's as an odds-on choice but faded. I think you have to take a swing against him again here, even with the additional class relief. (6) CASINO CUTIE IT is another horse with a pretty good history of success at Yonkers and ships up off a third-place result at the corresponding level to this one at Harrah's Philadelphia.

Race 8 - F&M NW5000L5/12500CLM Pace

(1) FULL DECK is zero-for-two since coming into the Bongiorno barn from Ohio, but those were from outside posts at Freehold, and she gets the pole here. I'll bank on her waking up here, and I think she has a similar profile to Cinderella Delight, another mare Jenn and Joe improved on from the Buckeye State before she was claimed. (2) HIGH ROLLING A certainly merits respect as she drops and moves inside for a hot duo in Stratton and trainer Peter Tritton. (3) THREEDEE DELIGHT A wound up with a terrible trip a week ago and couldn't build on her second-place finish on 4-29. I think she's capable of rebounding with an on-the-board finish here.

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Race 9 - NW10400L5/Winners in Last Start of the Base Class NW7500L5/20000CLM Trot

(3) WHETHER OR NOT FI found a soft spot at Harrah's Philadelphia last time out and took advantage with a win. This should be a tougher test, but this horse has won ten times at Yonkers since coming over from Europe and trainer Andrew Harris's barn is doing well right now. (1) FOMOR takes another step up in class but his last two wins were ultra-impressive and he retained Stratton over others in this race. (6) KANDY SWEET also hikes up a level, but she prevailed handily in a NW7500L5 contest a week ago. She gets an aggressive driver in Doug McNair, and he might be keen to do well with this Nick Devita trainee.

Race 10 - NW5000L5 Pace

(2) REAGAN'S AVENGER tried hard from first-up last week but couldn't wear down a tough favorite in Sweet Truth. He gets reunited with Brennan tonight, and I'll look for maybe a front-stepping effort this time. (3) LAREDO TORPEDO N caused an accident at Harrah's Philadelphia on 5-9, so it's just good to see him back in the box here. I do think he's a contender in this event, especially given the handy fashion he scored two back. (1) NOCH TEN raced in a NW3000L5 contest that wound up finishing a quick time over at Pocono in his last try. He did hold third in that mile, and I think this is probably a better spot.