Yonkers: Analysis for Thursday 11/12

MEET STATS: 192 - 596 / $1,164.70 (-$27.30)

BEST BETS: 34 - 62 / $120.30 (-$3.70)

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 62 / $60.10 (-$63.90)

BEST BET-D GS ELSA (10th)

SPOT PLAY-BUXTON (9th)

Race 1 - F&M NW5000L5/12500CLM Pace

(6) TIGER'S SUE has finished up her last couple of miles pretty well in this class and switches drivers back to Stratton this time. I think she's worth a look at a possible price. (3) HOW ABOUT MURPH is just one-for-21 in 2020 but did make up several lengths in the final quarter on 11-3 and moves inside tonight. (5) NORMAN'S MADELINE is certainly capable of winning against the bottom level mares, but she threw in a real clunker as the favorite last Tuesday, and I will try and beat her.

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Race 2 - NW8/100000LT Trot

(4) WINNERUP raced pretty conservatively last week but did finish up his mile well. I look for an improved performance in his second start off the layoff. (3) FULL RIGHTS owns a win over NW8's at Yonkers on 8-13 and his sharp early foot usually lands him a trip near the front where he can capitalize. (6) KASHA V was fourth in the same race Winnerup comes out of last Thursday. Siegelman might take a shot and send him in here like he was winning down at Freehold.

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Race 3 - NW2/25000LT Trot

(1) BUSY DOING TRIX stayed flat last week, which was a step in the right direction. She makes her second start out of the high-percentage Renaud barn here and retains the pole position. (7) BURBERRY recovered pretty well after making an early break last week to finish third. Brennan gets another shot with her tonight, and I expect she'll be able to win for Alexander pretty soon. (3) MANHATTANUP NO ICE raced well in his second attempt for trainer Mark Ford, finishing second to a well-meant Banzai AS, and gets to slide in a couple notches on the gate.

Race 4 - F&M NW15000L5/Winner in Last Start of the Base Class NW10000L5/25000CLM Pace

(5) VORST won in this class on 10-15, and I think there's a decent chance she'll be on the lead like she was that night. (3) ROBYN CAMDEN gets another drop tonight, and she might be closer to the action given she starts from a rare inside post. Given she beat the Opens in September, she's a logical threat here. (6) PAMMY JO took one shot against the NW20000L5's and now returns to the level where she was victorious two back.

Race 5 - F&M NW5375L5/12500CLM Pace

(3) COLOR ENVY woke up last Thursday with a vastly improved performance and gets to drop down from the NW7500L5's to the bottom level here. (2) LOVERS COVE had the one bad result two back but other than that has been in good form and broke through for a victory on 11-3. (1) CRYSTAL SPARKLES N gets both post and class relief, and I expect Stratton to be pretty aggressive with her.

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Race 6 - F&M NW7500L5/Winners in Last Start of the Base Class NW5000L5/15000CLM Pace

(6) SANDY WIN was a winner on 9-24 in the last chance she got to compete against NW7500L5's and exits a solid fourth-place finish in the NW10000L5 class a week ago. (1) MY RONA GOLD N picked up a long overdue win when she got to drop down to the NW5000L5's on November 3, and that should have given her some confidence as she moves back up. (5) SOMETHING REEL scored over NW10000L5's on October 1 and showed no lingering issues in her Freehold qualifier from whatever caused her to stop when last seen at Yonkers.

Race 7 - F&M Preferred Handicap Pace

(7) LADY DELA RENTA A looked like she got locked on a line a bit and then rolled into a break when she last raced on October 29. I'll bank on that being a one-time problem and use tonight. (6) SNOBBYTOWN went a big first-over mile to win in that same race on 10-29 and the mare she beat, Seaswift Joy N, came back to win last week. (5) ALEXA'S POWER had every chance to win that last edition of the Preferred my top two picks exit as she got an easy lead but came up empty in crunch time. She's bounced back from performances like that before and adds Bartlett here.

Race 8 - F&M NW15000L5/Winner in Last Start of the Base Class NW10000L5/25000CLM Pace

(1) I'M VERY SPECIAL hikes up and loses Bartlett tonight, but I thought that win last week was pretty good over a classy foe in Clear Idea, and she gets to start from post one. (3) FEELIN RED HOT slides down finishing third in a NW20000L5 last Thursday. She isn't as reliable as she was last year, but she's still capable of winning against these types. (2) PONDER THE ODDS got on a hot streak back in September and October when Jim Marohn Jr. was driving her, and they're reunited here as she gets some class relief.

Race 9 - NW6/75000LT / NW4 Drawn Inside Trot

(7) BUXTON romped over NW5's in his debut for Pat Lachance down at Harrah's Philadelphia, and everything he's sending out from his barn is a must-use right now. This horse made the Ohio Sires Stakes final and was second to the talented Action Uncle at the Delaware County Fair in the Buckeye State. (3) AFTER ALL PAUL makes his second start for Lance Hudson tonight after posting a runner-up finish to the well-meant Sky Castles last Thursday and kept Stratton. (2) REIGN OF HONOR is likely to be the favorite in here as he was in the Breeders Crown last time and owns a prior win over NW8's, but he's burned his share of money before, and I'll only use underneath.

Race 10 - F&M NW10000L5/Winners in Last Start of the Base Class NW7500L5/20000CLM Pace

(3) D GS ELSA closed in 27 4/5 last week to finish fourth against better and drops a notch tonight. She also picks up Stratton in the bike. (2) BYE BYE MICHELLE was on a good roll until she got too high up in class. She slides down another level here and also gets an inside post to work with. (5) ANGEL'S PRIDE had no chance from post eight last Thursday but draws better this time. She romped over NW7500L5's two back and was a close second against NW10000L5's prior to that.