Yonkers: Analysis for Thursday 11/11

MEET STATS: 253 - 861 / $1,402.70 (-$319.30)
BEST BETS: 42 - 79 / $136.20 (-$21.80)
SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 79 / $62.30 (-$95.70)
BEST BET - PETTYCOAT BUSINESS (12th)
SPOT PLAY - PONDER THE ODDS (6th)

Race 1 - NW2/25000LT Trot

(4) SOUTHERN SWAN MAN won two back against NW2's at Yonkers and is going to get a driver switch tonight to Marcus Miller. (1) MNEMONIC made a pretty good impression against NW3's down at Harrah's Philadelphia on 10-27, finishing fourth. She does enter off a sick scratch, but she has the pole and Jordan Stratton, a combination that works in her favor. (5) JESSIES OUTLAWED hasn't missed the board in four appearances since invading from Indiana. He won in this class a week ago and is certainly worth a long look.

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Race 2 - NW7500L5/Winners in Last Start of the Base Class NW5000L5 Pace

(3) ABERDEEN HANOVER takes a second crack at this class tonight and drew inside tonight after having posts seven and eight in his last pair. (5) EPIC ACE was a gaining third at this level a week ago and was Jason Bartlett's choice in this contest. (7) ORILLIA JOE moves outside on the gate here but races for high-percentage connections and was third to two quality foes in a NW7500L5 event on November 2.

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Race 3 - NW4/50000LT Trot

(2) CASTYOURCROWN is on quite a run of sharp form and won the Buckeye Stallion Series final in his last start on a half-mile oval. (1) YUCATAN PARTY MAN gained some ground late in a NW4 event a week ago. He drew the pole tonight and Austin Siegelman got along pretty well with him back in September. (7) CHURCH SOUT cruised to a pretty handy win off a pocket trip on 10-28. He is back at the same level tonight and is usable.

Race 4 - NW2/25000LT Trot

(2) GOOGOO ON STAGE doesn't always stay flat, but when he does, he has done well against NW2's and NW3's in Pennsylvania. Matt Kakaley just missed with him on 10-5 at Pocono and has the call here. (3) GREG exits a solid second-place result a week ago and does have post relief tonight, too, but his win record makes him tough to back and he's likely to take a lot of wagering attention as well. (4) TRIUMPHUS went a long way on the engine a week ago before getting collared late. I'll slot underneath.

Race 5 - NW4/50000LT Trot

(6) BLUEBIRD ROCKY missed out on making his Yonkers debut a week ago, but I'll back him again here since he drops out of the Indiana Sires Stakes final for older horses and is now with Ron Burke. (4) CREDIT CON returns to Yonkers tonight after downing NW4's at Pocono. He had a good enough campaign in the NY Sire Stakes to make the final. (8) DROP THE MIC drew the eight-hole and steps up from the NW2's, but he's very sharp right now and hasn't done anything wrong in any of his local appearances.

Race 6 - F&M NW15000L5/Winner in Last Start of the Base Class NW10000L5/25000CLM/NW9 PM Races LT Pace

(2) PONDER THE ODDS makes her second start back off the shelf here and flashed a good final quarter last Thursday. She moves in from the eight-hole to post two tonight and also gets reunited with Jim Marohn Jr., who has had a lot of success with her. (5) DRAGONS LUCKY LADY has a win and two seconds locally since coming in from Ohio and was Kakaley's choice over my top pick. (3) BETTORS HEART N ships up from Harrah's Philadelphia with two victories and a third in her last three efforts and got the nod from Bartlett.

Race 7 - NW6/75000LT Trot

(4) EMOTIONS RICHES hasn't raced since 10-16, but that was in the Ontario Sires Stakes Super Final. I'll trust trainer Dennis Laterza to have him ready, and I don't mind that he wound up with Kakaley. (3) YOU WILL BE QUEEN couldn't hold on after cutting the mile a week ago, but I think she might be better chasing horses, which could be the strategy here. (5) CHAPOLIER gained positions in the back-half of his mile on October 28 and won in stout fashion versus NW4's prior to that.

Race 8 - F&M NW20700L5/30000CLM/NW10 PM Races LT Pace

(2) TUAPEKA JESSIE N ships in from Batavia with three straight wins against Open mares and was Stratton's choice of two. (3) BETTERB CHEVRON N really had zero excuse not to hold on a week ago. She switches drivers back to Scott Zeron tonight, and if she beats me, I'll tip my cap. (4) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A was a little disappointing back in August and September as she was unable to win either here or at the Meadowlands. She races out of the high-percentage Nik Drennan barn, though, which is hard to overlook.

Race 9 - F&M Open Handicap Pace

(5) MYSTICAL CARRIE closed strongly last week from off-the-pace. She showed a versatile racing style in Indiana, and I think is worth a shot. (4) DRAGON ROLL turned in another excellent performance a week ago in winning the Open and might be the sharpest horse at the track. She's enjoying a super campaign and will be a contender again. (6) RACINE BELL raced very well in the Breeders Crown, finishing a locked-in fourth from the pocket. She hasn't won since 8-19 and always gets bet, though, so I'll swing against.

Race 10 - F&M NW30001L5 Pace

(5) LADYBELUCKYTONITE gained spots and ground in the final quarter on 10-28. She gets a little post relief tonight, moving in from the seven-hole to the five, and won the last time Stratton piloted her on 9-30. (6) YS TALLIA drops out of the Open this week and hit the board a couple times at this level in October. (4) ROSE RUN VICTORY took some wagering attention in this class last Thursday and finished third. She has the tandem of George Brennan and Ron Burke in her corner.

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Race 11 - F&M NW7500L5/Winners in Last Start of the Base Class NW5000L5/15000CLM Pace

(4) ANGEL'S PRIDE usually turns the corner back the right way when she gets down this low on the class ladder, and she also moves out of the eight-hole. (3) NORMAN'S MADELINE made an uncharacteristic break in stride behind the gate a week ago. She's going to switch drivers to Brent Holland tonight on the drop and might have been well-meant given all the wagering attention she got. (2) LARJON LEAH also slides down from the NW10000L5's and had a solid third against NW15000L5's two back after a first-over trip.

Race 12 - F&M NW5000L5/12500CLM Pace

(1) PETTYCOAT BUSINESS may just try and wire this bunch as she slides down to the bottom level and has the pole position. (7) VELOCITY MCSWEETS kicked home in 28 and change last Thursday to gain spots and ground in the last quarter. She's going to go back to Tyler Buter in the bike tonight, and they just missed together at Pocono in mid-October. (3) WINDSONG PARISIAN owns just a two-for-50 win record over the last two seasons, but she has hit the board three times in her last seven tries, and two of her last three.