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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Wednesday 12/26 Analysis

Garnet Barnsdale|Dec 22, 2018
Mohawk Park logo

Best Bet: DONATO LANE (3rd)

Spot Play: EMMALULU (7th)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 3,4,6/2,4,5,7/2/3,4,8/5,6 = $14.40

EARLY PICK: 3,4,8/5,6/4,5,6/1,5,9 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 1,2/6/2,3,4/2,4,7,8,9,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 95 - 290 / $542.20 (-$37.80)

BEST BETS: 10 - 26 / $37.40 (-$14.60)

SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 27 / $81.90 (+$27,90)

Race 1

(3) JUST WAVE GOODBYE is logical here moving inside coming off a solid try from post 10; top call in the opener. (6) R U TALKIN – a $10K Harrisburg buy – contends here off his 27-flat kicker in his lone qualifier. (4) FOX VALLEY RIVIIERA may be the one to catch again and he’ll get there one of these weeks. (2) BEACH BABY BEE is the first foal to race out of a dam that was solid locally. She looks ready to produce a good effort.

Race 2

(5) LED FOOT should improve sharply getting back in with maidens here; slight nod. (2) MORNING HAS BROKEN is a homebred half-sister to several decent ones and she looks ready to roll; using. (7) AND THEN THERES YOU is another homebred who had a good late kick in her lone qualifier. She can contend here. (4) LATTE GRANDE is yet another firster who merits a look in a race where tactics will be critical.

Race 3

(2) DONATO LANE woke up big-time on the barn change last time and he gets the call to repeat off that sharp win. (4) POWER AND GRACE opened up a big lead and held on, but this is a tougher chore racing against the rejuvenated choice; exacta factor. (5) PENNANT SEELSTER is capable of better and he adds Lasix here; using underneath. (10) EMBOLDEN is another good one to use underneath. He can add value to the Super from out there.

Race 4

(4) SPORTS CHARM has to get better position early here moving to an inner post and that should make the difference; top call. (3) HOLDEN STEADY’s only win was recorded in his debut, so you know he can produce when fresh; using. (8) BADLANDS BOBBY may actually be facing easier here despite moving from a claimer into the conditioned ranks. I’ll toss him in my multi-race bets. (1) DELOREAN SEELSTER isn’t out of this, but the breaks in stride from this post last time are troubling.

Race 5

(5) MYSTERY BET is on a roll for trainer/driver Vanderkemp and he stands a good chance to extend his winning streak here. (6) DAYLON MAGICIAN is getting closer and if he could steal a breather to the 1/2, this race might be over. (4) TOUCHDOWN AS is one of the busiest horses on the grounds, but he tries every week and he should hit the board here. (3) MUSICAL SPELL should contend for a lesser share racing near the front.

Race 6

(6) LYONS HEDGEABET was an impressive winner last week and while she will need to be mindful of pace and positioning here, she should prove best in this stakes series final. (4) ODDS ON STEPHANIE made a big move over the wet track that she couldn’t sustain. She can win this with a different trip. (5) SHADOW WORLD was a good second to the choice last week and she’s sure to be forwardly placed, which makes her a threat. (7) THRILLONTHEBEACH is capable but getting the worst post here may make her a bit player.

Race 7

(9) EMMALULU gets a barn change to a stable that has been good all year and she adds Lasix racing off the claim. This isn’t the toughest field. She gets the nod. (1) MIGHTY NICKY is unpredictable, but his best race would win this easily; using. (5) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY won last time he raced at this level. He’s definitely worth a look on the class drop. (3) PRESQUILLE can close for another smaller share.

Race 8

(2) ON A SUNNY DAY was an unlucky loser to a pocket-sitter who got room late. She looks best here. (1) FLY BEYOND keeps improving and he’s in the mix vs. these. (7) BUZZ wasn’t far behind the choice last time, but he drifted out badly down the lane, so he’s hard for me to like on top here. (6) MAJOR MUSCLE steps up off a sharp win and he should contend for at least a share this time.

Race 9

(6) PHANTOM SEELSTER has been too good for me to make a legitimate case to take a stand against him in this stakes series final. He’s a late Pick 4 single for me. (4) LEGAL POWER will be the one to catch again, but so far, he hasn’t been able to hold off the choice. (8) R BAZINGGA is in great form and he has an upset chance if he can workout a good trip. (1) LARRYS PETROCK seems a cut below the best ones in here, but he should be closing for a slice.

Race 10

(3) TRY TRY AGAIN takes a big class plunge here and he should be hard to beat as chalk. (2) ETRUSCAN HANOVER is coming back to his best form and if he behaves again, he can be right there vs. these. (4) MYSTICAL MISSION is another with improving form that is worthy of Pick 4 consideration. (1) PARKHILL NONSTOP makes sense to use underneath in this spot. He can sit a good trip and hang around for a share.

Race 11

(7) STOLEN ART had good late speed again last week, but he couldn’t get to a stubborn leader who wasn’t slowing down. He gets top call here. (9) BARN ONE is in great form and he is another who should be flying late here. (2) BOOTS N BRIAN went a phenomenal uncovered trip last time. If he can grab cover here, he may upset. (4) MISTER GODRO should go better moving inside, but he’s yet to win over this track; using underneath. (8) SHADOW OF LINDY races better from the front, but it appears he is likely to take back here, so I’ll use underneath.

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