Woodbine Mohawk Park: Tuesday 8/21 Analysis

Best Bet: LINDY THE GREAT (8th)

Spot Play: FORBIDDEN TRADE (2nd)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,4,7,8 / 2 / 5,6,7 / 2,4,7 / 2,4,5 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,7 / 2,4,5 / 1,6 / 2,3,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,7 / 1 / 1,3,6 / 8,9 = $18

MEET STATS: 269 - 828 / $1,595.20 BEST BETS: 45 - 75 / $157.20

SPOT PLAYS: 26 - 72 / $150.60

Race 1

(4) PLAY TIMES OVER raced tough first up last time and just failed to seal the deal. He can beat these with a slightly better trip. (1) TWIN B JAYS is obvious having faced some of the better 2-year-olds and he would be no surprise here, but he figures to get bet heavily. (8) TIME TO DANCE had an okay opener and now he gets Roy. He has some upset appeal. (7) SPORTS JACKET can close for a small share if the pace is more even here.

Race 2

(2) FORBIDDEN TRADE made no mistakes as the big chalk last time and he’s in a good spot here to double up. (1) KNIGHT ANGEL is another exiting a good OSS Gold try who should be prominent here. (4) DARLINGTON HALL seems to have some talent and he could crash the exotics at a price if he behaves. (5) A ROYAL LINE is sure-gaited and consistent which are two important traits for these races; using underneath.

Race 3

(6) CHARMBO ORBIT was loaded the whole way last time and he got the jump on (5) LISVINNIE, who came on strong late. I’ll give the latter the nod and take both ahead of likely chalk (7) ERLE DALE N, who takes a somewhat suspicious drop into claiming company here. (4) JIMMY BE GOOD typically follows along and closes late for a share, which is likely here again.

Race 4

(4) SUGARTOWN gets a notable driver switch to Roy here and notice he qualified him twice; top call. (2) BIG KIZ raced well in both starts and he seems logical in this spot; using. (7) MILLENIUM SEELSTER comes in with a good opener in tow and his price will drop, but he’s a contender here. (3) CASSIUS can improve off his opener with a move to a better post.

Race 5

(4) SINGHAMPTON KENNY produced a relentless late rally to win and now he moves to a better post; call to repeat. (2) WEB CAM goes to Moreau here and he should wake up with a much better try. (5) NEEDLECREST is worth a look racing off the Pereira claim and he should get a setup here. (9) JENKINS CREEK comes off a sharp score, but he may not clear as easily here, so I will play against him to win.

Race 6

(1) JUDGE KEN’s race two back would be more than enough to take this if he can stay on stride this time. (6) CAREY ON is another who was good two back then broke, which makes this race very unpredictable, but I’ll use him in the Pick 4. (2) WINDSONG PATRIOT was one of the better-looking colts at last fall’s London Select sale and if he has solved his gate issues, he could surprise here. (8) FINGALS WAVE hinted at some talent in his debut and he has some longshot appeal.

Race 7

(2) FARGO HANOVER raced better last week vs. maidens and she faces similar here; slight nod in a race with a few chances. (3) BODICEA got a great drive from Henry to win last week and she should be tough here right back. (7) TURNCOAT has races at Northfield that stack up well; using. (8) GOODNIGHT IRENE should be coming late again to take another small share.

Race 8

(1) LINDY THE GREAT looked like he was in a tough spot at the 3/4 last week, but his talent and class overcame; he should repeat here. (2) NOT SO COOL gave the choice a good race and he is capable of a repeat effort to complete the exacta. (6) DIA MONDE returns quicker and he could get put into play early, which would make things interesting. (7) CASH FOR GOLD figures to rally for another small share in this spot.

Race 9

(1) CABLE BEACH A was overtaken by the winner on the backside last time despite chopping out some solid fractions. This looks like an easier spot and he may not relinquish the front this time. (6) JULIO LAUXMONT has some sharp form and he was flying late last time at Georgian; using. (3) REBEL VOYAGER seems to be coming back around now and he has shown in the past that he knows where the wire is. (7) HIDDEN POTENTIAL has taken slices 50 percent of the time this year and another is likely here.

Race 10

(9) FREE WILLY HANOVER drops to a likely spot and Drury should have him blasting off the gate here. (8) ST JAMES GATE blew up last time, but he was going good before that; using. (3) MARQUIS VOLO also has found his best form recently and he can rally for a share. (1) RENEGADE MAGIC gets a much better post; expect improvement. (6) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL always gets a check it seems; use underneath.