Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 8/30 Analysis
Best Bet: BEAUTIFUL SIN (5th)
Spot Play: AMERICAN MUSIC (6th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,3,5/1,4,7/1,5,8/4,5,6,8,9/9 = $27
EARLY PICK 4: 4,5,6,8,9/9/1,7/7 = $10
LATE PICK 4: 7/2,3,9/1,4,7/2,3,4,5,6 = $45
MEET STATS: 296 - 905 / $1,713.00 BEST BETS: 50 - 82 / $173.40
SPOT PLAYS: 27 - 79 / $153.40
Race 1
(1) JOHNNY BRAVO keeps closing well in each start and perhaps the move inside will allow him to get away better at the start; slight nod. (5) JULA GRAND CREW did all the work then faltered late last time. He should contend here, but he needs to find more late. (3) METEORITE came to life against lesser two back when racing out of town with the trainer driving. He has some longshot appeal here. (4) PRINCESS STEPHANIE gets Jamieson here following an improved effort and she's another in with a shot in a race where there are no standouts.
Race 2
It's hard to fault the form of (1) HP TITANIA RUNNER at this point and she should add to her win streak here if the intent is there. (7) ARVIKA has a sneaky 27 3/5 third quarter in her debut chart line and she should be dangerous here with that race under her belt. (4) DELILAH SEELSTER flew home to win last time and while she'll have to trot faster to beat these, the high late speed is encouraging. (6) BLUE RIBBON GAL is always around at the finish it seems; use underneath here.
Race 3
(8) SISTERS PROMISE has looked promising so far and she gets Tetrick back here for this Grand Circuit try. Expect a more aggressive steer this time. (1) PETRO HALL is a good local hope who has been sharp in all of her last three starts; using. (5) SUSY has shown enough speed to contend here and she brings Gingras with her. She's on my Pick 5 ticket. (3) CONFESSION SESSION is a good one to use underneath at a price here.
Race 4
(5) QUINTSENTIAL TERROR did all the work but couldn't hold on last week. With a race over the track, he could be better this time; slight nod. (8) MYSTERY PHIL faces much easier here and if he can get positioned near the front early, he should be right there. (9) MISSION THREE beat the choice last time, but post position is against him here. (6) INTRIGUED AGAIN is in a better spot here and he isn't out of this.
Race 5
On class and speed, (9) BEAUTIFUL SIN appears to tower over this field. I'll make her a multi-race single. (10) CAMBRIDGE KATE's only blemish came two starts back when she broke when she was on her way to an easy win. She has some exotics appeal at a price here. (5) TEDDYS LITTLEANGEL consistently puts out good efforts and she should hit the ticket here. (7) PRESTO CHANGE O is another filly who has been consistent, and she can close for a piece of this.
Race 6
(1) AMERICAN MUSIC had some good races here in the spring and last week's closing effort should set him up for a top try here. (7) SO MUCH BETTOR's last line can be thrown out due to equipment troubles. His race two back puts him right there. (5) STONEBRIDGE GUARD's good early speed puts him in the mix for a smaller share as does (3) RONS EOM. Consider using those ones underneath.
Race 7
It seems that if (7) THE ICE DUTCHESS stays trotting here, she should have no trouble with these. I'll give her break over a sloppy track last time a pass; top call. (5) ANGIES LUCKYLADY is right there every week and she should be in the picture again here. (1) SPEED TITAN has shown promise so far and if she gets away okay from the tricky inside post, she can be on the ticket here. (8) GRIMMIE HANOVER has ratcheted up her finishing speed and she could crash the exotics as a big bomb here.
Race 8
(2) DOCS DARLIN looked promising in her debut closing well to be 2nd. She can handle these if close enough early. (9) CARBON CAPTURE failed as chalk after brushing to the front then being overtaken on the backside. She has the look of a contender here and the price should go up. (3) TEQUILA PARTY is well-bred, and she could be ready to pop at first asking here; using. (5) WESTBEACH is on the fringes each week it seems. I'll use her underneath here.
Race 9
(4) CHEATALOTPOV has shown the best closing speed of any of these. He may be able to get up late in this one. (7) DONATO LANE - shooting for three straight wins - is the one the choice will likely have to catch; using. (1) P L KETCHUP took plenty of action last week and raced well. He's not out of this. (2) IMF should get back to contending following a failed sires stakes try but a smaller share is likely for her.
Race 10
(6) MAGICAL GLIDER gets a key driver change here if you look at her 4th, 5th and 6th start back; top call. (4) COLLATERAL BEAUTY lost to a sharp winner last time in a good effort. She is a contender in this wide-open dash. (3) APPRENTICE M is only one for 16 but she seems to fit here; using. (2) EXS AND OHS races well for McClure but she is another stuck on one win. (5) SWEET STREET is a three-time winner who is also in with a shot in a race where I'll spread deep.
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