Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 6/27 Analysis

Meet Stats - 72 – 231 / $375.00 (-$87.00)

Best Bets – 14– 21 / $39.40 (-$2.90)

Spot Plays – 4 – 22 / $16.60 (- $25.40)

Best Bet - PRICELESS BEACH – 10TH

Spot Play – MOONSHINE KISSES – 4TH

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Pick 5 – 1,6/3,4,6,10/4,5,7,8/2/2,7,10 = $19.20

Early Pick 4 – 2/2,7,10/1,2,3,6/7,9 = $24

Late Pick 4 – 7,9/2,3,5,7/4,8/2 = $16

Race 1 - CLM $15K for NW $45K LT

(1) STELIOS lost positions early and he was forced to move first up in the third quarter last time which ended in an off-the-board finish. I expect Henry to have him on the point by the time they reach the 1/2; top call. (6) STATE OF PLAY raced very tough despite being out a long way and he should be a prime contender here. (4) CAMSKING should be up on the pace again and he can hang around for a share. (2) MOSSIES ART is a good one to use in the 3-4 slots here for Tri and Super bets.

Race 2 - 4YO and Younger NW 2 (F&M3) or $20K (F&M$25K) LT

In a race that is seemingly wide-open, I'll go to (6) SOUTHWIND FROST who gets another chance after breaking on a sloppy track last week. (3) SETTE DEO put up some big splits and was picked off late by a horse who enjoyed a perfect trip; obvious threat. (10) HEY JOCK is in solid form and he could add some value to the Pick 5 here. (4) SAMS ARSENAL adds Lasix coming off a sharp effort vs. Gold company and she can threaten but she may get overbet.

Race 3 - Two Year Olds

(4) SOUTHWIND DREDGE shows by far the best race of the ones that have raced for a purse and Vanderkemp handing the lines to Henry shows intent; top call. (8) YS MATHIS was very impressive rolling by late in his June 22nd qualifier and he may end up being the one to fend off late. (7) LAST MACH chased a good one home on June 22nd and he can offer some value here. (5) SAM MCKEE HANOVER has done nothing wrong so far and his stable sends them to win early; using.

Race 4 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Colts and Geldings

(2) MOONSHINE KISSES had a good prep for this in the slop last week now he moves inside for a barn that excels in sires stakes; top call. (4) SILAS SEELSTER raced decently in a quick mile and he should be prominent here. (1) BALDER SON is in with a decent chance, but he will likely get over bet due to his 25 4/5 kicker. The top two have more appeal to me. (3) TWIN B JAYS had two tough trips from outer posts now he moves inside. He has some exotics appeal at a price here.

Race 5 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Colts and Geldings

(2) YARIS SEELSTER popped with a strong winning effort when coming off a break and he looks best here. (10) MISSILE SEELSTER goes from the trainer - who drove at Flamboro - to hot driver Henry who will likely roll this colt early. He is dangerous seven from out there. (7) NAGLE paced some very fast miles at Hanover and he is another strong contender in a contentious race. (4) AGEDCHEDAR HANOVER is a good one to use in the 3-4 slots in the Tri and Super.

Race 6 - 4YO and Younger NW 2 or $25K LT

(2) CAPTAIN NASH took some money at the windows last week, but he went for a spin at the back of the pack. Moving inside could see him wake up in a big way here. (6) JOE SIX PACK qualified faster than his rivals have been racing which makes him a must-use for me. (1) WINDSUN RICKY gets away from the hot Cliffhanger which puts him in a better spot here; using. (3) PRINCE ADAIR is right there every week and hard to leave off Tri and Super tickets.

Race 7 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Colts and Geldings

(7) CLIFFHANGER is very sharp right now and he will look to take control in his first Grassroots start. (9) SUGARTOWN shows one win on his page and it was in one of these Grassroots races; price look. (4) SPORTS CHARM also has a good Grassroots try three starts back; using underneath. (1) BRONSONS DELIGHT could wake up in this third start back following a vet scratch; consider for exotics at a price.

Race 8 - Two Year Olds

(5) A POSITIVE HANOVER overcame some mid-race confusion and went on to a debut win last week; call to repeat. (2) MY BETTORS DEL is by a top sire and both his qualifiers were good; using. (7) FULL VIEW made two moves in a race where the late pace was much stronger; consider at a price. (3) ACES ROCK goes for a barn that wins early and he closed well on June 22nd. He's another in with a shot here.

Race 9 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Colts and Geldings

(8) PHILS SUN paced identical 27 1/5 opening quarters on his way to a sharp win over an off track last week. I'll call him to upset the streaking (4) SPORTSLINE, who is the obvious horse to beat here but will offer a puny price. (5) JAY EYE M is hot, but this is tougher, and a smaller share is likely. (1) GRAND POOBAH can sit an inside trip and perhaps sneak onto the Super at a big price.

Race 10 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Colts and Geldings

(2) PRICELESS BEACH is clearly fastest here, and he will be tough to beat at a short price. (10) BETTER MOONON OVER races better when he is placed near the front and he is worth a price look here for the exotics. (9) THE FIRST STEP went a big trip in defeat last week and he is an exotics factor here. (1) TIME ROLLS ON is a good one to use underneath here. (7) PRESTIGE SEELSTER is another who can make it onto the High-5 ticket.