Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 6/20 Analysis
Meet Stats – 59 - 180 / $293.40 (- $65.40)
Best Bets – 11 - 17 / $30.40 (- $3.60)
Spot Plays – 2 - 17 / $9.00 (-$25.00)
Best Bet: NO ORDINARY MAN (6TH)
Spot Play: SPORTY TORI (7TH)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Pick 5 – 9/2,3,5,6/6/1,5,8/2,7,10 = $7.20
Early Pick 4 – 1,5,8/2,7,10/6/5,9 = $18
Late Pick 4 – 5,9/2/1,3,8/3,7,8 = $18
Race 1 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Fillies
(9) SUMMER CHARM gets major class relief here after testing the best sophomore pacing fillies on the continent. Roy will surely be blasting with her at the start. (1) SHESONEHOTWRITER woke up in a big way last week and she's in with a chance here if she can produce a similar effort. (10) SAINT ALBRAY has been good in both starts here, but she will need to overcome both post position and the top choice to her left. (8) TWIN B FRIENDLY raced well last week and she is worth a look for the exotics here.
Race 2 - 4YO and Younger NW 2 (F&M 3) or $20K (F&M $25K) LT
Stablemates (2) SOUTHWIND FROST and (5) SAMS ARSENAL look best here. I'll give the edge to the former who gets major post relief although the latter comes off a good try in Gold company and fits well here. (3) HEY JOCK is a third Pick 5 option coming off a sharp win and with his form on the upswing. (6) BLAZING TRAIL tried the best company with no success, but he should be closing for at least a share here.
Race 3 - OSS Grassroots - 3YO Fillies
(6) WHITEHAVEN BEACH paced a 26 3/5 third quarter last time and still kicked home in 27 1/5 without threatening. That should be a perfect primer for a big try here. (10) CINDERELLA DELIGHT was 2nd in a Grassroots race two starts back and she could offer some exotics value here. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER flew late last week to score a big upset win. Off that strong effort, I'll use her in this Pick 5. (3) CRISP MANE is in solid form and is another chance in a contentious field.
Race 4 - 4YO and Younger NW2 or $26K LT
(5) THE FIRST STEP couldn't get to the sharp Prince Adair two starts back and last time he was just out of position. He lands in a good spot here and he should be tough. (1) AGEDCHEDDAR HANOVER faced a couple of tough ones last time but he raced decently. He fits better here, and he is an Exacta factor. (8) PHILS SUN had an adventurous trip last time. His race two starts back puts him right there. (3) TWIN B WATCHING can close again for another share.
Race 5 - OSS Grassroots - 3YO Fillies
(2) SWIFT ALLY had good pace on the end of her mile last time and she gets post advantage on many of her chief rivals here; slight nod. (10) CHARMBO BRIE was beaten by a good one last time and she is in with a decent chance here despite leaving from the worst post. (7) MANHATTAN NIGHT is 6 for 12 with nine Exacta finishes and she is hard to leave out here. (1) CAFE SOCIETY's last race was a bit better; consider for the exotics.
Race 6 - 4YO and Younger NW2 or $26K LT
(6) NO ORDINARY MAN was exceptional last week and if he brings that same race to the track tonight, the rest will likely be racing for second. (5) BETTER UP couldn't seal the deal as chalk, but the colt that beat him is pretty good in his own right. He can threaten here. (9) MOONSHINE KISSES is on a roll for a barn that is doing well, but the outer post here may relegate him to taking a smaller share. (4) PRINCE ADAIR figures for a slice here; using underneath.
Race 7 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Fillies
(9) SPORTY TORI gets a big driver change here and she will be bet accordingly, but she gets my top call. (5) FULL MOON FIX is racing well for a hot driver and she merits a long look here. (3) SOUTHWIND PRIMA flew home despite breaking stride and she can close here to hit the Tri or Super. (7) ERIKAS SHADOW may sneak onto the Super ticket here if she can get closer to the leaders by the 3/4 pole.
Race 8 - CLM $15K for NW $40K LT
(2) STELIOS meets virtually the same group he beat last week, and he should be good to take his fourth straight win here. (7) CAMSKING tried the choice in the third quarter but he couldn't get by. It doesn't get any easier here. (3) KINGOFBROKENHEARTS is capable of better and he could get into the Tri or Super leaving form an inside post. (8) STATE OF PLAY is always around the money. He can better this placing with a trip.
Race 9 - OSS Grassroots 3YO Fillies
(1) SPRINGBRIDGEVISION takes a substantial class drop here not having to face the streaking Bodicea. She gets my nod. (3) SWEET YOUNG THING had a good tightener for this and she could wake up at a price. (8) PAZZA HANOVER recovered decently from a break last time and she was impressive at London two starts back; using. (6) FLY IN STYLE is one I'll use on the bottom of the Super at a price.
Race 10 - OSS Grassroots - 3YO Fillies
(3) KYLIE SEELSTER was very impressive winning last week and another short-priced win looms. (8) FREYA SEELSTER paced two sub-27 quarters on the end of her mile last time and driver Macdonald is one of the best getting one off the gate from an outer post; using. (7) PRINCESS LAYLA is worth a look switching to the Alagna barn here. (6) SUNSHINEATTHEBEACH is still winless. I'll use her underneath here. (9) SO MUCH MORE gets Henry here trying to extend her 2019 unbeaten streak but she may find a couple of these too tough.