Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 6/13 Analysis

MEET STATS: 42-135 / $221.90 (-$48.10)

BEST BETS: 7-13 / $17.90 (-$8.10)

SPOT PLAYS: 2-13 / $9.00 (-$17.00)

BEST BET - CLIFFHANGER - (5TH)

SPOT PLAY - DOMINUM DEO - (3RD)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5 - 1,8/1,4,5/3,7/3,4,6/2,3 = $14.40

Early Pick 4 - 3,4,6/2,3/1,4,6/5,8 = $36

Late Pick 4 - 5,8/6,8,9/2,3/2,5 = $24

Race 1 - 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7K LT

(8) HP BRUXELLES finds a spot where she should convert after finishing third to a very nice Gold filly; top call. (1) HEY JOCK closed well for McClure last time and he appears to be the main threat here. (4) TYMAL TULLO tries hard and gets lots of checks. He figures to hit the board here again. (7) STORMONT RARE could last longer here if he can avoid a long park out this time, consider using underneath.

Race 2 - F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,600 LT

(5) SALUTATION has a 27-flat kicker from last week that sticks out here and she may graduate in her 14th try. (1) MACH OF SHAME got pounded at the windows at Georgian Downs and she didn't disappoint. This spot isn't that tough, and she can contend. (4) LUS ILLUSION is bred too well to not show something, Maybe tonight she will go forward. (3) DRESS TO THE NINES failed as chalk last time and she may get hammered again here. I'll play to beat her.

Race 3 - CLM HDCP $12K to $15K

(7) DOMINUM DEO raced too good to lose last time. I'll stick with him here. (3) VERO AMORE BI found room in time to beat the choice last time, but he is a contender here nonetheless. (2) TINAS WAR has been racing very well out of town, but this is tougher, and a smaller share is likely. (1) ESQUIRE goes back to Moreau after one start. If he is right, he could beat these.

Race 4 - CLM $15K for NW $41K LT

(3) CAMSKING goes to Moreau off the claim and picks up driver Roy. Improvement is expected, and he gets a slight nod over (4) STELIOS who shoots for three straight and figures to get another good trip racing on or near the front. (6) STATE OF PLAY is right there every week and he will convert one of these times; maybe tonight? (1) MOSSIES ART is a good one to use on the bottom of Tris and Supers.

Race 5 - 4YO and Younger NW 2 or $25K LT

(2) CLIFFHANGER woke up in a big way last time, pacing to a new life mark; call to repeat. (3) WINDSUN RICKY had no shot last time where he was positioned. A better post and a more alert start put him in the picture here. (4) PHILS SUN was a good second to the choice and he’s in the mix for the exotics here. (7) STONEBRIDGE SURF is very consistent, but, I prefer to use him underneath here.

Race 6 - 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20K LT (F&M $25K)

(6) LIFETIME ROYALTY trotted home in 55 4/5 last time. He only needs better positioning to have a big shot and the better post should help here. (1) FINGALS WAVE was impressive breaking his maiden last week and he merits a long look here. (4) SHAMROCK SHAKER has been right there in two straight and she's another in with a good shot in a race which should come down to trip. (3) JUSTICE SOCIETY woke up big time in a Grassroots event which makes me wonder if this race is a prep for the next Grassroots.

Race 7 - CLM HDCP $15K to $18K for NW $75K LT

(5) MY TEEN IDOL was involved in some heavy early pace battling last time and did well to hang around for 2nd. He should be tough here. (8) L WEATHER B couldn't find a spot early and he was hung the route. Moving off the 10-hole will help here; using. (10) BARN ONE had the freshest legs late and took advantage of some winded leaders. He isn't impossible here, but a repeat seems unlikely. (4) DUNESIDE SPORT should be good for another small share.

Race 8 - Ontario Sired 3YO Grassroots Starters in 2019

(8) RAISING ROYALTY looks to keep his perfect 2019 record intact and he has already won in good time over this track; top call. (6) ENCARNACION should be the main threat racing on the lead; using. (9) GOLD EDITION comes off a sharp win at Grand River and he could upset if he gets put into the race leaving the gate. (5) ESA beat easier last time and I prefer using him underneath here.

Race 9 - 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,500 LT

(2) TOMORROWS HEADLINE was a solid 2nd to a big chalk last time and he simply looks best here. (3) HP NAPOLEON showed some quick early speed then stopped which can be a sign of pending improvement. I'll include him at a price. (7) OK KUDO is usually around the money and he broke last time and still hit the Super; using underneath. (6) GAMBLING TERROR is 0 for 20 but has a few shares. He is another to consider for the bottom of the Tri and Super.

Race 10 - 4YO and Younger NW2 or $25K LT

(2) BETTER UP gets away from Century Farroh here and that gives him a big shot to take his second lifetime win. (5) MOONSHINE KISSES is hard to leave out of the Pick 4 coming off a 1:51 3/5 win. (4) BERNIE figures to be closing for another slice vs. the top two. (3) PRESTIGE SEELSTER should get good position at the start and hang around for a share. (7) AGEDCHEDAR HANOVER is always on the ticket; using in the 3-4-5 slots.

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