Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 2/20 Analysis

Meet Stats – 177 – 572 / $992.20 (-$151.80)

Best Bets – 24 – 56 / $80.60 (- $31.40)

Spot Plays – 11 – 56 / $82.60 (-$29.40)

Best Bet – (1) LAURAS LOVE – (9TH)

Spot Play – (8) STRATOSPHERE – (1ST)

Early Pick 5 – 8/3,4,7/1,2,4,6/3,7,9/3,7,9 = $21.60

Late Pick 5 – 1,6/1,4,5/2,4,6/1/2,5,6,7,9,10 = $21.60

Early Pick 4 – 3,7,9/3,7,9/1,6/1,4,5 = $54

Late Pick 4 – 1,4,5/2,4,6/1/2,5,6,7,9,10 = $54

Race 1 – CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $93,000 LT - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(8) STRATOSPHERE was a sharp 2nd to a strong winner last time and his 26 4/5 kicker sticks out here. He should be tough in this spot making his fourth start racing out of the Auciello barn. (2) UNPRECEDENTED was good in his first start off the claim and he can be an Exacta factor. (6) MISSION THREE comes in off three good efforts in a row, but he is 0 for the past two seasons still and I'll use him underneath. (4) STATE OF PLAY - who finished third in the same race the choice exits - should be good for a share.

Race 2- CLM $15,000 for NW $75,000 LT

(7) GUCCIOS OFFICE brings some nice form back to Mohawk Park and he picks up Roy here in what appears to be a spot that isn't that tough, top call. (3) P L MOLLY should improve dropping back in for a tag here and she should be right there vs. these. (4) SPARE SEED was a winner the only time he raced in this conditioned claimer class and he beat P L Molly that night; using. (1) ENCHANTED MISSION fits better at this level and he can take a slice.

Race 3 – F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(1) RETICENT HANOVER isn't likely to find a better spot to make her sophomore debut and she looks ready based on her three qualifiers; top call. (2) LAILA BLUE was no match for a sharp rival last week, but she should be one of the main contenders in here. (6) LA BELLE REBELLA wouldn't need to improve much to give these a run for their money and her 27-flat kicker sticks out; using. (4) IN THE NEWS goes for a barn that sends many ready; using.

Race 4 – CLM $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT - Pick 4

With so much speed lined up on the outside of the gate here, a quick opening half is likely and (3) BETTORS PARLAY could get another nice setup here; slight nod. (9) QUAN BLUE CHIP took a new life's mark when racing off the Montini claim last time and unless he gets badly stung early, he should be the one to catch. (7) ARCANE SEELSTER should be close early and if he lands in the pocket, he'll be dangerous. (8) TOMORROWS HEADLINE should be part of the early pace, but I prefer to use him underneath here.

Race 5 – CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(3) OSIRIS BLUE CHIP drops to the bottom claiming class here and he could wake up facing lesser while getting a barn change. If he is live, the tote may do the talking. (9) OAKROCK ELDORADO is the one to beat, but what price will you take on him leaving from the worst post? (7) J J MYSTIC STORM was used up early last time and his price is likely to climb here, but he fits well in this field. Consider him when making multi-race bets. (1) MISTER GODRO could be closer if he can find cover for a longer stretch. He's not out of this.

Race 6 – NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(6) ODD BALL is good enough to beat these if he is ready. This could be another case of the tote providing some clues. (1) CHARLIE IS A JOKER didn't show much at Flamboro the other day, but he fits well here, and he should go better in this spot. (2) ALEXUS EH has some of the best form in here and she isn't out of the question facing these. (3) KING OF MAGIC had an adventurous trip last time. He can be closer here off what is expected to be an improved trip.

Race 7 – 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 - Pick 4

(1) ILLBEWATCHINGU looks like a different - and much faster - racehorse free-legged and he should have a big shot here. (4) BRUSHCUT was no match for a sharp winner but that one has already returned to throttle non-winners of two. He is an obvious contender here. (5) CANTFINDABETTORMAN is a bit sneaky in here. He should be coming late, and he may pass them all with the right setup. (7) STAR DOG wasn't far behind Brush Cut last time. He's worth a look for the exotics.

Race 8 – NW $3,000 L5 or $7,300 L10 AE: Not Averaging More Than $1K/Start 2019-2020

(6) DREAMFAIR CHARRO drops to a spot where he can blast and clear to the front and he may lead this group on a merry chase. (2) OLLIESTRIKESFAME isn't known for stacking wins, but he gets to come back in this same class only on the earnings average eligibility and he figures based on recent form; using. (4) MACHIN A TRICK gets post relief and Roy back for a second drive. He's worth a look in this spot. (1) CINNABAR DRAGON should be close early and stick around for a small share.

Race 9 - Fillies and Mares 4YO and Younger NW2 or $25,000 LT

(1) LAURAS LOVE was an impressive winner last week and she should be tough to beat here as she goes for a threepeat. (3) CHASETHECLOUDSAWAY followed the choice home and she gets a better post here, but I think she is best used underneath. (8) GREYSTONE NATALI O has been dynamite reeling off wins at London, but these are much tougher, and I'll use her on the bottom. (4) BIG DIAMOND also faces tougher here and I expect her to finish on the edges.

Race 10 - F&M who have raced for a purse less than $9,000 in one of last 3 starts

Interesting condition for this race that makes it very competitive. I'll give a slight nod to (5) SOS BAMBIE, who should get sent forward by Drury leaving the gate. (10) THREE ACCOUNTS’ last couple of races are good and she could trip-out here; using. (2) ANDERSON SEELSTER almost beat similar last time and she's another who is capable here. (6) BETTER SINGLE should improve in her second start back; using underneath. (9) AINT THREE OK should be winding up from the back and passing a few of these late.