Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 1/30 Analysis

Meet Stats – 139 – 450 / $794.90 (-$107.80)
Best Bets – 17 – 44 / $55.50 (- $32.50)
Spot Plays – 9 – 44 / $69.80 (-$18.20)
Best Bet – CAVIART CALE – (10TH)
Spot Play – CASIMIR OVERDRIVE (5TH)
Early Pick 5 – 1,2,6,8/6,7/4,6/4,6/1,7 = $12.80
Late Pick 5 – 4,7,8/2,6/5,10/3,4,5/4 = $7.20
Early Pick 4 – 4,6/1,7/4,7,8/2,6 = $24
Late Pick 4 – 2,6/5,10/3,4,5/4 = $12
Race 1 – 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,000 LT- **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**
(1) NONEYABIZZNESS won in this class two starts back then he was used up early vs. tougher. He can get a better trip here moving inside; top call. (2) ILL PLAY IT ALONE showed some late interest in his comeback race and he too gets to move inside and away from the worst post; using. (6) DYLANS BANK is a three-time winner facing rivals that have the same number of wins lifetime combined. He’s worth a look here. (8) CANTFINDABETTORMAN qualified well for owner/trainer/driver Hudon. Tab the tote for clues with this colt.
Race 2- CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000
The short field plays into the hands of (7) EASY FLYER, who will blast and either look to lead all the way or let one go then get another great trip. He gets the nod. (6) BARN ONE faces much easier here and he will likely be the chalk; the one to beat. (3) SPEED TO MARKET had too far to come last week. The small field should help him also; using underneath. (5) OH K MAN is another who should be passing horses late; using.
Race 3 – CLM HDCP $12,000 TO $15,000
(4) MISTER MAGIC is risky but if he stays flat, he beats these, and his January 23rd qualifier was excellent. (6) ALPHA SEELSTER was used up early when claimed and he can get a better trip here; using. (7) P L MOLLY has been on a roll, but she faces tougher here and I won’t take a short price. (10) HOPES SOLO should be coming on late again for a share.
Race 4 – F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 – Pick 4
(4) LAURAS LOVE showed some good late pace in her debut and making her second start here, bettors’ interest increases and her price decreases; slight nod. (6) WINDSUN JUNO was in a tough spot last time trying to close into an accelerating late pace. She remains a viable contender. (1) MISS WATERBUFFALO should be in the mix here starting from the inside and she can hit the ticket. (9) MOONLITEBEACH is one that may improve with a start under her belt; consider for the exotics.
Race 5 – CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000
Trainer Shepherd has been lights out with fresh claims so far this year and he sends out (7) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE here after haltering him last week; top call. (1) MOSSIES ART is due to get a better trip and I'll use him on my multi-race tickets. (2) E L WILD SPIRIT is in the mix every week and he should be in the hunt here for at least a slice. (9) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS raced well here in his first start off the claim and he can take another share at a price.
Race 6 – WINE & ROSES TROTTING SERIES - 1ST LEG - 3 & 4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES
(7) VILLEFRANCHE AS had the perfect tightener for this series last week when racing off a six-week break. She should be much sharper here. (8) NORTHERN ROYALE beat a decent field two starts back and he should get a more aggressive steer here; using. (4) CORNERSTONE has shown enough speed in the past to be a threat if he is cranked up for this first race off the shelf. (3) CHICA should get a decent trip and land in the Super.
Race 7 – 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,000 LT - Pick 4
(6) BIG KRELL raced well enough in his debut that he should be a big threat here and driver McNair continues to run hot; top call. (2) JOURNALISTIC finished just ahead of the choice last time. This race could come down to a battle between these two. (1) BRUSHCUT should be fit after qualifying twice over "good" tracks and he can sneak onto the Tri here. (7) KEYSTONE PRESTIGE is worth a look for the bottom of the Super adding Lasix here.
Race 8 – NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10
(10) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE and (5) MISTER OF ALL are the two big class droppers in this field and one of these should prevail here. Slight nod to the former who has better recent form. (4) CHEATALOTPOV can hit the board here if he works out a trip. (3) SPARE SEED gets his nose back on the gate here and he is worth a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super.
Race 9 – CLM $15,000 for NW $32,000 or NW2 in 2019-20
(4) DONT DILLY DALLY has raced well at this class in two races straight and he has the best recent form here. He gets the nod over (3) CHOCOLATE SWIRL, who may move up on the barn change. (5) FARMERS TAN wasn't far behind the choice last time and he gets a barn change here, too; using. (1) MALL PEEN HAMMER was close at this level three starts back. He could wake up with a better try here.
Race 10 – 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT
(4) CAVIART CALE was game in victory last week and he paced a quick final 1/4; call to repeat. (2) HOPE FOR HEAVEN also looks for a repeat win, but he may need more speed to topple the choice. (1) LETS GET PICKLED paced a big mile on the rim a long way the other day at Flamboro Downs and he can take a share here. (10) SUNSHINES FINEST finished fast last week. He's not out of this and he could beat this prediction with a trip. (6) SIZE ME UP is a good one to use underneath in this spot.

