Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 12/5 Analysis

Best Bet - BIG MACHIN JIM (5TH)

Spot Play - MASTER ELEMENT (8TH)

Meet Stats – 69 – 216 / $394.60 (-$16.80)

Best Bets – 8 – 21 / $27.70 (- $14.30)

Spot Plays – 3 – 21 / $29.20 (-$12.80)

Pick 5 - 3,7,8,10/1,2,5/1,2,5/2,3,6/2 = $21.60

Early Pick 4 - 2,3,6/2/4,6,7,9/1,2,3 = $36

Late Pick 4 - 1,2,3/3,6,8/3,8,10/2,10 = $54

Race 1 - 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 (F&M $9,200) LT - GTD $50,000 Pick 5

(10) P C JUSTA DREAM raced well with hot driver Young in the bike last week and she lands in a good spot to take her maiden victory in her ninth try. (7) FLEETWOOD closed well in a race where getting a clean line may have been the main objective. I wouldn't be shocked if he showed more early speed this time. (8) DO NO LINDY's race two starts back at Hoosier puts him in the picture here; using in the Pick 5. (3) POT STOCK should be prominent most of the way. He's a good one to use on the bottom of Tris and Supers in this spot.

Race 2- F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $10,500 LT

(2) LYONS TILT HANOVER made a big move last week that she couldn't sustain but moving inside gives her a good chance to get a better trip here; top call. (1) SPORTS MIRACLE shipped in from Flamboro and outraced her odds, closing well to get a piece. This isn't the toughest spot and she's worth a look here. (5) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL gets bet every week but she hasn't been able to convert; your call. (7) BIG NARANCIA can come on late to take a share.

Race 3 - CLM $15,000 for NW $66,000 LT

(2) CHIK MAGUIRE couldn't go with a very sharp winner last time, but he rates highly in this field and he should have a big shot. (1) ST LADS CAPTAIN moves off the dreaded 9-hole and you can see looking at his start two races back that he is capable of much better; using. (5) BR ROYAL BOOM finished ahead of the choice last time and he should get a good trip near the front here. He's another in with a decent shot. (7) LARRY IS DEBS ROCK can close for another small share.

Race 4 - CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 GTD $50,000 Pick 4

(2) SETANTA has been win-shy for a while, but maybe he just needs some class relief and he gets that here coming up tagged; slight nod. (3) MASS BALANCE is worth a look racing off the claim in a race with no standouts. (6) SMOKE MONKEY gets his nose on the gate this time and he should show speed; consider for multi-race tickets. (4) HELLO CHIPPER should pass some of these. Use him on the bottom of Tris and Supers.

Race 5 - 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) BIG MACHIN JIM was hammered to 1-2 on the driver change from Renaud to McClure last time but he faltered in the slop. This is a great spot for him to rebound. (4) GOING FAST set the pace then faltered in the same race. He could upset here with an easier trip. (6) FARROS REIGN should pass some of these late to take a slice. (7) SMART THINKING raced okay first-up last time, but he has a 0 for 40 record staring you in the face. I'll use him underneath.

Race 6 - 4YO and Younger NW2 or $25,000 LT

(6) TOMORROWS HEADLINE gets protected here for trainer Moreau racing off the claim and he gets a slight nod in a race with many chances. (7) STRATEGIC THINKING gets away from a monster and he should improve sharply here. (9) BETTER B GOING almost won from an impossible spot last week, but you have to wonder how he can get a better trip here starting from the worst post. (4) CHOCOLATE SWIRL is worth a look on the barn change here. Tab the tote for clues.

Race 7 - NW $3,300 L5 or $7,000 L10 - Pick 4

(3) PARKHILL NONSTOP beat a horse who came back four days later to win easily, and he can repeat here. (1) HILL OF A COLT is an obvious good class fit here, but he has missed five weeks and I couldn't take a short price staring at that stale date. The horse that won the race (2) WIKI HANOVER was in last week has already come back to win. She's not impossible here. (7) SEVERUS HANOVER makes his second start off the claim and he will likely get sent off as an overlay here. Consider at a price.

Race 8 - CLM $15,000 for NW $66,000 LT

(6) MASTER ELEMENT put in an incredible effort last time, making several moves while being driven hard for most of the 1 1/16th race. Now the owner/trainer/driver hands the lines to hot teamster Drury. I'll take a stab here. (8) DONT DILLY DALLY will likely blast early again and he can be tough if he makes front. (3) BETTORS PARLAY drops and he can enter contention here; using. (4) EAST BOUND EDDIE is one that I'll use underneath in this spot.

Race 9 - 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT

(8) VILLEFRANCHE AS was sharp in victory last week and this spot isn't much tougher; call to repeat. (10) ZIG ZAG looks ready for a good effort coming off the shelf and the second tier post should be good for him. (3) PRICELESS RULER comes off a good try and his sharp early speed makes him a contender here. (1) CHICA should be passing some of these late; consider for the exotics.

Race 10 - CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

The two Moreau trainees may battle here with (2) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE getting the nod over (10) OAKROCK ELDORADO due mainly to post, but I'll use both in the Pick 4. (8) HUGHGETTHECREDIT was used up too early last time and he understandably tired. He can go better here. (9) BRINGHOME THEBLUE will be closing again but he may be too far back vs. these to take more than a small share. (4) UNPRECEDENTED raced well off the claim last time and he should be good for a slice