Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 1/23 analysis

Meet Stats – 126 – 407 / $686.10 (-$127.90)

Best Bets – 16 – 40 / $53.30 (- $26.70)

Spot Plays – 7 – 40 / $45.00 (-$35.00)

Best Bet – (2) DARTH FADER - (1ST)

Spot Play – (6) ALLY ELIZABETH - (9TH)

Early Pick 5 – 2/5,6,7/4,5,7,9/2,4,5,7/1,3,9 = $28.80

Late Pick 5 – 2,4,6,7/7,8/4,7/6,8/1,2,4 = $19.20

Early Pick 4 – 4,7/1,3,9/2,4,6,7/7,8 = $48

Late Pick 4 – 7,8/4,7/6,8/1,2,4 = $24

Race 1 –4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(2) DARTH FADER was live last week for his debut, but the winner was too tough. He should convert here at a short price. (6) LETS GET PICKLED finds a better spot here and he returns much quicker this time; exacta factor. (1) TEETER could go better here in his second start and find his way into the Tri or Super; consider using underneath at a price. (4) EXCELLENT NATION should leave hard again and stick around for a small share vs. these.

Race 2- CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(6) A J DESTINY raced well off the claim last week but there were a couple that were a bit better and neither of those are in this race, so he gets the nod. (7) ALPHA SEELSTER was out a long way and he ended up paying the price. He should get a better trip here and he is a threat. (5) MASS BALANCE comes back quick, and he drops back in for a tag. He should be heard from vs. these. (8) CAVIARS TRIUMPH has been going well at Flamboro Downs, but this is tougher; smaller share predicted.

Race 3 – CLM HDCP $15,000 TO $18,000

(9) LEADER TONIGHT paced a big mile in defeat last week. If he can steal a breather here, he should beat these. (5) SPEED TO MARKET couldn’t get by the choice racing first-up last week, but he could do here with a different trip; using. (4) MISSION THREE left for position last week then he got shuffled out of the race. He is another Pick 5 possibility. (7) OH K MAN has been on a roll racing out of town, but this is tougher; smaller share expected.

Race 4 – BLIZZARD - 2ND LEG - 3 & 4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES

(4) VINTAGE WHEY made a remarkable recovery last week to win in her first start in a new barn; call to repeat. (7) BIG NARANCIA races well every week and she is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (2) SHESONEHOTWRITER was passively driven last week. She could be capable of better and the price will be there. (5) BETSEA can improve here returning quicker and she is another possibility in a contentious dash.

Race 5 - F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(9) MARY KAT has looked good winning her first two starts at Flamboro Downs and you know her price will be good here starting from the worst post. I'll take a swing with her. (1) WINDSUN JUNO was simply outsprinted late last week while pacing a 27 2/5 kicker and she is an obvious contender. (3) COVER STORY - a $27,000 Harrisburg sale buy - qualified well for this debut and she is worth using in multi-race tickets. (6) KAYLIES REAL should be good for another share in this field.

Race 6 - CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000 - Late Pick 5

Trainer Patrick Shepherd has started the year off hot with fresh claims and (2) REAL WICKED should bring a good price here coming off a last-place finish when haltered; slight nod. (6) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE is on a roll and hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (4) MOSSIES ART made several moves last week and he is another in with a decent chance in a contentious race. (7) E L WILD SPIRIT motored by the leaders late last week and if he can find a live helmet here, he should be right there.

Race 7 - BLIZZARD - 2ND LEG - 3 & 4 YEAR OLD FILLIES & MARES – Late Pick 4

(8) MORNING HAS BROKEN had excuses in her past two starts now she moves outside which guarantees a much better price. I'll stick with her here. (7) BACK IN THE GAME is sharp and driver McNair is hot. She's a multi-race must-use for me. (2) ACEFORTYFOUR PAT had some late pace to offer last week and she can take another slice here. (10) SIOCHAN took a ton of action at the windows and she raced well last week. She is a contender here, but I don't love the 10-hole for her.

Race 8 - CLM $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(7) P L MOLLY has found her niche racing at this conditioned claiming level and she should be tough to beat here at a short price. (4) SINFUL is the obvious main threat if she can stay flat, which seems to be a toss up with her. (6) TYMAL TINO should get another quick start here and stick around to take a nice share. (2) CHAOTIC DECISION is a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 9 - F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $32,000 LT

(6) ALLY ELIZABETH was airborne at the wire when winning her last start and teamster Young continues to drive in high style; call to repeat. (8) RED RIVER JANE fits well here and she qualified okay with the trainer driving. A Drury speed blast could be coming. (5) SMILE SALLY is racing decently but she is 1 for her last 29 and I prefer to use her underneath. (4) SUGAR SHADOW is worth a look coming off a maiden win where she finished well.

Race 10 – 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(1) SIDE HILL GOUGER was a good 2nd to a 1-9 shot last week and he looks best here. (2) CAVIART CALE exits the same stakes series as the choice and improvement is likely; using. (4) WHAT UP MO is capable vs. this company but the time off is concerning; using underneath. (9) NONEYABIZZNESS rode the outside bias to a win on January 9th and this is a tougher assignment; small share predicted. (5) SUNSHINES FINEST should get position early here and stick around to land in the High-5.