Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 1/17 Analysis
Best Bet: SAND ARTIST (6th)
Spot Play: BEE IN CHARGE (5th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 3/1,2,7/2,9/2,3,9/6,7,8 = $10.80
EARLY PICK: 2,3,9/6,7,8/6/3,6,7,8 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,6,7,8/5,6,9/7/2,5,7,10 = $48
MEET STATS: 120 - 370 / $662.30 (-$77.70)
BEST BETS: 14 - 34 / $51.00 (-$17.00)
SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 34 / $81.90 (+$13.90)
Race 1
(3) MISTER MAGIC has a mark several seconds the fastest in here and his qualifier was good enough for me to single him in the Pick 5. (7) KUIL DEVA will win again one of these nights, but this time she is likely to be closing too late for a slice. (1) GOLD EDITION ships in off a strong win, but he'll need to drop a few seconds to beat the choice. (6) IMJUSTTICKETYBOO can close for a piece if she stays flat this time.
Race 2
(2) SANTANNA TONY ships in with great form and he goes for a live barn here; top call. (7) CAPTAIN DRAGON should last longer on the class drop here; using. (1) MISTER GODRO can sit a good trip here and emerge late to take a share. (9) UPTOWN FUNK is worth a look here going for the Shepherd barn.
Race 3
(2) BIGBOY ROSCO took a lot of money last week and had a decent effort on the front end. I'll give him a try here in a weak field. (9) FAN THE FLAMES has a case of seconditis, but he may get there vs. these; using. (4) BRYDOWN HOUSTON is a good one for taking shares in this class; using underneath. (7) TITANIUM SEELSTER could be a threat if he stays flat, but that seems hard to predict.
Race 4
(3) SUNNY DEE - 1/2-sister to millionaire LA Delight - looks ready to roll at first asking and she'll take beating here. (2) AND NOW THERES YOU has two almost identical chart lines to start her career and I would think Jamieson will look to trip her out here. She can improve in this spot. (9) MORNING HAS BROKEN is a logical one to hit the board despite her post. (7) ZARCONIA SEELSTER could go better with a race over the track and take a slice.
Race 5
(8) BEE IN CHARGE gets a driver upgrade off the Shepherd claim and he may take these down the road. (7) EXPLOSIVE JET raced much better last week, and he should be a strong contender here. (6) LMC MASS OAK fits in this class and his last 1/4 in his qualifier indicates he could be ready; using. (3) MASSMADE can be a speed threat and stick around for a share.
Race 6
(6) SAND ARTIST took a short break with this stakes series in mind. She looks much the best in here. (3) CHARMS LITTLE SIS took a ton of money last week and showed little. Perhaps she needed the race. (2) PROTECT BLUE CHIP was decent in the Niagara series. She can take a share here. (1) SHES ON A ROLL has a start over the track and she merits a look for the exotics here.
Race 7
In a race where it's hard to love anything, I'll take a swing with (7) MUSCLE MATTERS who gets a driver switch to McClure. Maybe he can wake him up at a price. (8) HANKS TANK looked good at the 3/4 pole last week then faltered late. He could win this with a slightly easier trip. (6) ADVERSITY fits well in this class, but he is often trip dependent; your call. (3) NIGHTONTHEROAD won in this class two starts back. I'll use him in the Pick 4s.
Race 8
(9) NO HABLO INGLES finished with broken equipment in his debut when bet down to favoritism. I'll give him another chance here. (5) PICKEM and (6) LETS HAVE ANOTHER both make their debuts here is a spot that isn't that tough; using both. (7) READYFORTHEBEACH is improving and he can take another share here.
Race 9
(7) LYONS HEDGABET won the Niagara series final but was set back for stretch interference. She sticks out vs. these and should convert at a short price. (1) SPRINGBRIDGEVISION comes off an upset win after shipping in and she should be an exacta factor here. (5) SHADOW SPARKS has some sneaky form and she could be right in this is she leaves this time. (8) COSETTE is a good one to use underneath in Tris and Supers.
Race 10
(2) KWICKY KWANZAA got hung out with no hope last week. Look for a different trip and better result here. (7) BLUE EYED COWBOY is one of few with some form racing in this class; using. (5) HEZA BIG DEALER was close at this level two starts back, but his weak win record is a concern. (10) REIKI drops to the bottom and he should be a good price from out there; consider. (3) HOPIESDRAGININTHEDO is a good one to use on the bottom of exotic bets here.