Woodbine Mohawk Park: Thursday 11/28 Analysis

Meet Stats – 57 – 176 / $322.90 (-$29.10)

Best Bets – 7 – 17 / $25.20 (- $8.80)

Spot Plays – 3 – 17/ $29.20 (+$4.80)

Best Bet - BETTER BE GOING - (5TH)

Spot Play - BAROSSA BLUE JEANS - (6TH)

Pick 5 - 2,3,4,5/2,7,8/1,8/2,4,6,7/6 = $19.20

Early Pick 4 - 2,4,6,7/6/4/1,2,4,8 = $16

Late Pick 4 - 1,2,4,8/1,2/1,5,7/1,2 = $48

Race 1 - 4YO and Younger NW1 (F&M2) or $7,000 LT - GTD $50,000 Pick 5

(5) FLEETWOOD adds Lasix and comes in off a good qualifier; slight nod in a wide-open kickoff to the Pick 5. (3) P C JUSTA DREAM gets a driver switch to the hot Young and she is coming off a good try. She should be a big factor here. (4) BRA IN THE WIND hinted at better things to come with the way she finished last week; using. (2) WARAWEE ULTRA faces easier here and she's another in with a shot in a race where it makes sense to spread.

Race 2 - F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $10,000

(7) LADYLIKE has been very sharp racing out of town and she should be able to make the step up here; top call. (2) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL got hung out to dry in the slop. She should go better here starting from the inside and she is on my Pick 5 ticket. (8) LYONS TILT HANOVER showed little vs. tougher but she beat a field similar to this two starts back; using. (5) CABERNET should come on late here to take a share.

Race 3 - CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(8) ALPHA SEELSTER was 2nd twice in a row to the suddenly sharp Esquire and that one isn't in here, so this gelding gets the nod. (1) MASS BALANCE has raced well at Flamboro off the Shepherd claim and he should contend here. (5) MISTER MAGIC was on a roll for the Auciello barn, was claimed, scratched lame and missed some time. He is obviously capable, but I'd demand a price. (3) SOMBRE raced well at a big price last week and he can take a small share here.

Race 4 - 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - GTD $50,000 Pick 4

In another tough race, I'll side with (2) NORTHERN BACCARAT, who should improve in his second start here. (4) TUCKER CREEK had a bit of late pop last week and he is in with a shot vs. these. (7) FARROS REIGN picks up Jamieson here and he brings some okay form in from Flamboro; using. (6) FEAR THE SHADOW has been racing against a tough one at Flamboro in his last two starts. GIve him a price look.

Race 5 - 4YO and Younger NW2 or $25,500 LT

(6) BETTER B GOING faces easier here and he should be tough in this spot as he exits the Harvest series. (8) POGEY BEACH couldn't reach an unyielding leader last week but he remains a viable contender. (2) JM MANDAMIN made a decent late move last week while the pace was accelerating; price look. (5) BETTORS PARLAY can come on late again here for a share.

Race 6 - CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(4) BAROSSA BLUE GENES was reclaimed by Auciello, who strikes at a rate higher than 50% with horses racing off the fresh claim; top call. (9) VALIDUS DEO draws worst here, but he and his driver are so hot it may not matter. (8) ZEN DA BALLYKEEL gave the choice a good race last week but he was no match late. He is an exotics factor. (7) MISTER GODRO has been racing well for several weeks on the B tracks and he is worth a look for the exotics here racing off the claim.

Race 7 - 4 YO and Younger, NW 2 (FM 3) or $20,000 (FM $25,000) LT

(1) THRU THE WICKETS draws into a good spot coming off a stakes series win where he got a good trip; looks good here with one of the main contenders dropping out at scratch time; top call. (4) VILLEFRANCHE AS should go better here starting with her nose on the gate and I’ll use her in these Pick 4s. (2) THELASTONESTANDING brings some solid form in from the Maritimes. Tab the tote for clues with this one. (8) SHOTGUN PREACHER steps up after beating easier, but he remains in the second tier despite late scratches; should be in the hunt here.

Race 8 - CLM $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(1) CHIK MAGUIRE gets a much better post here and he can rebound with another win. (2) BR ROYAL BOOM fits well in this class and he should be the main threat. (4) DONT DILLY DALI can be right there if he behaves this time, but his break last week after dropping in for a tag is concerning. (3) BUCIZE ROCK can sit a nice trip near the front here and take a small share.

Race 9 - NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(1) PARKHILL NONSTOP comes off two starts where he was in the second tier, and with his nose on the gate here, he has a better shot; slight nod. (5) THEMANOFMYDREAMS faces easier here and he should get put into this race early. I'll use him in this Pick 4. (7) ZEUS LIGHTNING is an obvious threat here if he can stay flat, but his recent breaks are worrisome; your call. (8) CAULFIELD is a great one to use on the bottom of the Super.

Race 10 - CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(2) OAKROCK ELDORADO is remarkably consistent and he goes for Moreau off the claim here and picks up Roy to drive. Expect a big speed try. (1) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE also races off the claim and he should be in the hunt again here; using. (7) MYBROTHERGEORGE will be closing late again and he could win this with the right setup. (5)UNPRECEDENTED won at big odds here at this level three starts back and now he races off the claim. He's not impossible in this spot. (3) MAJO LOU BEKA can pass some of these and land on the bottom of the High-5.