Woodbine Mohawk Park: Saturday 6/29 Analysis

Best Bet – TYGA HANOVER – (7TH)

Spot Play - PLAY JET RAY – (9TH)

Meet Stats - 75 – 241 / $385.80 (-$96.20)

Best Bets – 14– 22 / $39.40 (-$4.90)

Spot Plays – 4 – 23 / $16.60 (- $27.40)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Pick 5 – 7,9/1,2,7/1,3/2,5,8/2,12 = $14.40

Early Pick 4 – 2,5,8/2,12/1,5/7 =$12

Late Pick 4 – 7/2,4,5/6,7/1,4,5,6,7 = $30

Race 1 – F&M 5YO and Younger NW4 or $50K LT GTD $50K Pick 5

(7) BETTER BE DONNA N jogged in her first North American start as expected and while this is tougher, she may be up to it; slight nod. (9) BEACH BAR wasn’t disgraced racing the best sophomore pacing fillies on the continent and she should deservedly get plenty of play here. (2) TEQUILA PARTY is in solid form and she can sit a trip and take a slice here. (4) IDEATION HANOVER appears to be coming back into form, but this isn’t an easy spot. I’ll use her underneath.

[SUN STAKES: Free Harness Eye PPs, 20% Rebate & Live Video for Sun Stakes Saturday at The Downs at Pocono.]

Race 2 - NW $7,500 L5 or $15K L10

(2) IDEAL JET has had gait issues before the start in each of his last two starts but he certainly is good enough to beat these if he can get straightened out and his price should jump here. (7) XTERNAL was decent in a rapid mile at this class last week. He should be a top contender here. (1) JAYDENS PLACE steps up off an even effort. He could leave, sit an inside trip and upset if the trip plays out. (4) DRAGON STRIKER can make it onto the Super here if he lays closer to the leader early.

Race 3 – Two Year Olds

(3) EXAMINER HANOVER and (1) TEAM BEST both impressed in recent qualifiers, but the former was a bit faster and he gets the nod. I will use both in the multis however. (2) LIGHT UP THE PARK should get a good trip near the front and he should at least take a share at first asking. (9) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE was nailed late by a good one on June 22nd. He could add some value to the exotics here.

Race 4 – NW$11K L5 or NW $22K L10 – GTD $50K Pick 4

(5) DRAGON TIME raced tough last week, but the winner was in a different zip code. He will be tough in here with a repeat effort. (2) P L JACKSON should be prominent throughout and he has a big shot here; using. (8) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE jumps up in class looking for four straight and while this is much tougher, he can’t be tossed with the way he has raced this month. (1) LONE WOLF TERROR always flies home, but he’s hard to land on here the way this track has been playing to speed lately.

Race 5 – NWOSS Gold 3YO Colts and Geldings

(2) STAG PARTY may have been right there had he drawn better in the North America Cup as he looked more like his old self. If he’s back to his Metro Pace form, his rivals here are racing for second. (12) CENTURY FARROH has impressed me this spring and he gets to follow the choice out here. He can upset if the choice falters. (8) BEST IN SHOW looks next best but I’ll use him underneath starting from out there. (7) FAST N FIRST comes off two sharp wins and he may sneak into the Super at a price in this tougher spot.

Race 6 - Preferred

(1) EASY LOVER HANOVER meets many of the same as last week here and he could get a similarly good setup; top call. (5) NIRVANA SEELSTER will likely try to wire these. His chances depend on how much movement there is early. (4) AMERICAN HUSTLE never misses the board. Toss him in your Tri and Super bets. (3) FANCOURT is in tremendous form but he will likely be relegated to a smaller share here.

Race 7 – 5YO and Younger NW5 or $93K LT

(7) TYGA HANOVER takes as big a class drop as you might ever see here, and it would be a shocker if he didn’t jog. (4) FASHIONONTHEBEACH is in good form and he can sit a nice trip behind the choice and stick around to complete the Exacta. (1) FOOT SOLDIER was very good on Monday but there will be no 1:25 FLAT three-quarter clocking here; using underneath. (2) UPTOWN FUNK should pass a few of these and take a small slice.

Race 8 - 5YO and Younger NW5 or $93K LT – Pick 4

(4) AMERICAN VIRGIN has been a victim of the speed-favoring surface recently. Maybe McNair moves him early here; slight nod. (2) HEZA THRILL N took a new life’s mark last week as a big overlay and he rates a long look here. (3) REGAL SON is always tough at this level; using. (5) CASIMIR RICHIE P is in solid form and he should be along for a share racing near the front.

Race 9 - NW $16K L5 or $26K L10 AE OPT CLM $45K

(6) PLAY JET RAY paced a big mile on the rim last week to take a new life's mark and now he gets a better post this time; call to repeat. (7) YACHT SEELSTER is likely to blast to the front on the class drop here and he's the other one I'll use in the Pick 4. (4) MAROMA BEACH was third to the choice last week. He can take another share here. (1) PEDRO HANOVER also took a new life's mark over this surface last week, but these are tougher; smaller award predicted for him.

Race 10 – F&M NW$10K L5 or $21K L10 AE OPT CLM $25K

(5) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE looked good powering up late to win in this class last week; call to repeat. (1) FRANSCHOEK comes off a sharp try and Henry fits her well; using. (6) AZURE SEELSTER couldn’t hold off the choice late but that was a good try and she isn’t out of this. (7) BUTTERMILK HANOVER drops and should take at least a share at this level. (4) THE JOY LUCK CLUB also drops, and she should be heard from.