Woodbine Mohawk Park: Saturday 2/8 Analysis

Meet Stats – 151 – 491 / $847.70 (-$134.30)
Best Bets – 19 – 48 / $59.30 (- $30.70)
Spot Plays – 10 – 48 / $76.10 (-$19.90)
Best Bet – MATTICULOUS GB – (10TH)
Spot Play – CONBOYVILLE (11TH)
Early Pick 5 – 2,3,5,7/1,4/3,10/1,2,7/1,3,5,7 = $38.40
Late Pick 5 – 4,6/2,5,6/3,6,7,10/1,3/2 = $9.60
Early Pick 4 – 1,2,7/1,3,5,7/4,6/2,6 = $48
Late Pick 4 – 3,6,7/1,3/2/1,5,8 = $18
Can Am Pick 4 – 2/1,3,6,7/1,5,8/2,3,5,8,10 = $60

Race 1 – NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(3) NICKLE BAG was in a tough spot last week and he was racing with broken equipment. He is one of several dropping in class here, which really makes this race closer to a NW $8K L5; slight nod. (2) KEEP COMING exits the same race and he also should move up in this spot. (5) LISBURN was close last time Roy drove and that teamster returns here; using. (7) SWEET N FAST N has upset possibilities here moving off the worst post.

Race 2- NW4 (F&M5) or $49,000 (F&M $60,000)

(4) ROYAL RHYTHM was good when coming off a break, but she provided perfect cover for (1) P C JUSTA DREAM, who got her measure late. I'll give the nod to the former this time but use both in the Pick 5. (2) LIFETIME ROYALTY should improve in this spot and he could split the top two and make it into the Exacta. (3) WESTFIFTYSECOND is likely to take another share in this spot; using underneath.

Race 3 – NW $3,100 L5 or $7,000 L10

(10) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ drops and he stands a good chance to pop vs. these. (3) BETTER MOONON OVER raced well off the break last week but the winner was too good. He can improve here, and he is a Pick 5 must-use for me. (2) MAJOR HILL raced better when dropped to this class last time and now he moves to a much better post; using. (4) JAYDENS PLACE is a good one to use on the bottom of Tris and Supers.

Race 4 – Horses who have raced for a purse less than $9,000 in one of last 4 starts - Pick 4

(2) JAY EYE EM is sharp, and he draws well. I'll give him a slight nod in a wide-open race. (7) UF BETTORS HANOVER is also in good form and he should be a threat in this spot. (1) PRO BEACH projects to get a good trip here and he is another - of many - to consider for multi-race tickets. (4) SMOOTH MARA N figures to come on for another small share here.

Race 5 – NW $8,400 L5 or $16.500 L10 or NW6 LT

(7) DRAGON TIME finds a spot where he fits better here, and Cullen should be sending him for good position leaving the gate here; top call. (5) ISITFRIDAYYET tried it first up last week and tired late. If he can work out a better trip, he can beat these. (1) EXIT SMILING is getting closer and starting from the inside he can be closer early here; using. (3) DREAMY FELLA is worth a price look with Roy driving in this spot.

Race 6 – NW $30,000 L5 or $235,000 LT AE: Mares - Late Pick 5

(4) EASY LOVER HANOVER got back on track racing at this level last week and he is the class of this field; top call. (6) POINTS NORTH gets away from Sintra here and that gives him a better chance. (3) KENDALL SEELSTER takes on the boys here, but she is razor-sharp and a contender for at least a share. (5) CHEAPSKATE HANOVER has been in excellent form for several weeks and he faces his toughest field yet while racing off the claim, but he can sneak into the Super here.

Race 7 – F&M NW $18,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(6) BETTER BE DONNA N meets a field she should beat here, and I expect her to get sent right down the road. (2) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE faces tougher but she is very sharp, and she can be an Exacta factor here. (5) COUSIN MARY's current form isn't great, but she can wake up in this spot. She’s in with an upset chance. (7) DONT STOP BELIEVIN is in solid form and she should be a good price here starting from the widest post; consider using underneath.

Race 8 – NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000 – Pick 4

(6) SEVEN IRON was sharp in his local debut for trainer Auciello and he draws well here; call to repeat. (3) HOCKEY HANOVER also steps up off a win, but McNair will put him into play early here and he should be the one to catch. (7) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO fits well here, but his typical racing style often leaves him at the mercy of pace, trip and racing luck; demand a price. (10) WHITE TIGER will be coming late, and he should pass several of these to take a slice.

Race 9 – NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 or NW $75,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(3) PHYSICALLYINCLINED had a wild trip last week now he drops to a level where he should be looking to boss this field from start-to-finish. (1) BETTOR BE GOING took a new life’s mark on a night when the track was yielding fast times, but it was still a sub-1:51 mile at the end of January; using. (10) JULERICA rarely misses the top 4 and he should be coming on late here to take another share. (5) HEZA THRILL N’s most recent start is quite good and he is another to look for in deep stretch here.

Race 10 – NW $16,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(2) MATTICULOUS GB had an interesting trip last week now he gets a big driver change, drops and returns much quicker; all systems go. (5) IDEAL JET draws perfectly to try another speed blast here and he may be the one to catch late if the choice doesn’t move on him early. (7) ROYAL RENEGADE fits much better here and he should be passing horses in the lane; using underneath. (3) P L JACKSON also fits well at this level and I see him blasting for position then emerging late to land in the Super.

Race 11 – 5YO and Younger NW 3 or $62,000 LT

(8) CONBOYVILLE had a very tough trip in the Snowshoe series final and he still managed to get a check. He can beat these if he gets put into the race early enough. (5) JKNR LIKETELL exits a fast race is a higher class where he did well to come on and nab third. His price drops here but his chances increase. (1) WINDSUN RICKY has the look of an upsetter moving to a better post and I’ll use him on late multi-race tickets. (3) EXCAVATOR is worth a look for the bottom of Tris and Supers exiting the same race as the choice. (10) LYONS PEGASUS fits well here but I’m not sure what kind of trip he can get leaving from the second tier; using on the bottom.