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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Saturday 2/22 Analysis

Garnet Barnsdale|Feb 20, 2020
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats – 177 – 572 / $992.20 (-$151.80)
Best Bets – 24 – 56 / $80.60 (- $31.40)
Spot Plays – 11 – 56 / $82.60 (-$29.40)
Best Bet –
MILITARY SECRET - (7TH)
Spot Play – U NEED STONES (6TH)
Early Pick 5 – 2,3,6/5,6/3,6,7/1,4,7/1,3,8 = $32.40
Late Pick 5 – 6,8/2,8/1,2/4,8/4,5,6,7,9 = $16
Early Pick 4 – 1,4,7/1,3,8/6,8/2,8 = $36
Late Pick 4 – 2,8/1,2/4,8/4,5,6,7,9 = $40

Race 1 - NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(3) MACH CODE faces much easier here and he gets his nose on the gate; top call. (2) SHADES OF BAY was back to his old tricks last week, drifting towards the stands in deep stretch, but he was motoring. He may drift and win here anyway. (6) PHIL THE THRILL has developed a nice closing kick at this level and he is another in with a decent chance here. (8) PRINT MEDIA is worth a look for the exotics dropping to the bottom level.

Race 2 - PREFERRED

(5) FIXED IDEA raced tough uncovered on the rim last week and he could upset here if he can find some live cover. (6) EASY LOVER HANOVER was kept in last week again but he may not have beaten the hot mare who isn't in this field tonight. He's on my Pick 5 ticket. (7) WHEELS ON FIRE was a sharp winner in his local debut despite having missed three weeks and he's worth a look for the exotics here. (3) DOUBLE A MINT is always in the hunt for a share and she should land in the Super here.

Race 3 – NW $5,000 L5 or $13,000 L10

(6) SWEET N FAST N just missed at this level last time and he should be tough here facing many that are stepping up one level. (3) CROFT BAY N raced huge to just miss at a big price and while he won't offer anything close to 61 to 1 here, he should be one of the main contenders. Nothing went right for (7) DARKEST SECRET racing in the snow last time, but he gets class relief now and he could wake up in this second start back. (5) H P NAPOLEON should be coming on late to take another share.

Race 4 – Horses who have raced for a purse less than $9,000 in one of last 3 starts - Pick 4

(7) SIN CITY BOOGIE was flying late now he gets his nose on the gate for his third start over this track; slight nod. (1) PRO BEACH was an easy winner racing in a similar class two starts back and he is likely the one to beat here. (4) AMERICAN WIGGLE fits well here and he isn't out of this. He should be sent hard for position at the start. (2) JAY EYE EM always seems to be in the mix. He could win here if he trips out.

Race 5 – NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(8) OCEANVIEW MAGNUM is one of the hottest horses on the grounds and drawing outside should help his price here; top call. (3) REAL WILLEY fits better here and he gets Roy back; using. (1) JULERICA also drops and he would need a trip here, but he isn't impossible. (10) BEACHIN LINDY can pass a few of these late and take a slice.

Race 6 – NW $6,100 L5 or $15,000 L10

(6) U NEED STONES ships in with good form and goes for new connections here facing many that are stepping up in class and he gets the nod. (8) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE raced well in defeat last time and he should be a threat here. (2) MAGIC NIGHT is typically good for a share here and he can land in the Tri or Super against these. (9) GOLD EDITION would be rated higher if he drew better but he is likely to have a few competing with him for the front early and he may be forced to take back.

Race 7 – 5YO and Younger NW5 or $76,000

(2) MILITARY SECRET is just too sharp to go against here, so I won't try to beat him. (8) LEGION SEELSTER was close to the choice two starts back then he plowed through the snow for an impressive win last week. He will be the danger if there is any. (7) AREUKIDDINME CABBIE has been on a roll but these are much tougher; small share predicted. (6) CHEDDAR BAY should be closing late again and he can nab 3rd or 4th here.

Race 8 – F&M NW $25,000 L5 or $200,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

(1) RECLAMATION closed well racing in a blizzard on a track that favored front-enders. Her price will be better here and she can turn the tables on (2) SYLPH HANOVER this time if she is close enough at the 3/4 pole. I'll use both on late multi-race tickets, however. (3) SLY ELEANOR N has never been better and she should be in the hunt here for at least a share again. (4) HELLO LOVE is worth a look for the exotics coming off a rest.

Race 9 - NW $8,900 L5 or $18,200 L10

(4) PHYSICALLYINCLINED was kept inside at even money last week and that didn't work out, but missing a check there he gets to face easier here and there aren't many that show they want to leave. He could go coast-to-coast on the engine here. (8) WHITE HAIR ROCKS drops and he is one that could get sent early too, which may net him a nice trip racing near the front; using. (2) PLAY JET RAY closes late to take a decent share mist weeks and he should be in the Tri here. (9) DREAMFAIR B J gets out of the second tier for the first time in three starts; price look for the exotics.

Race 10 - NW $16,700 L5 or $31,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(4) P L JACKSON was flying late last week on a snow-covered track that favored the leaders and he steps up here which should ensure a good price; top call. (5) ISITFRIDAYYET has a similar profile as the choice and he fits well here; using. (9) EAST END was good when dropped to this class last week and he is another who is in with a decent shot that should offer a square price. (6) HEZA THRILL N will be closing again late; using underneath. (7) PEACE OUT POSSE steps up off a sharp win but these are tougher and I prefer to use him underneath.

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