Woodbine Mohawk Park: Saturday 2/15 Analysis

Meet Stats – 151 – 501 / $847.70 (-$154.30)
Best Bets – 19 – 49 / $59.30 (- $32.70)
Spot Plays – 10 – 49 / $76.10 (-$21.90)
Best Bet – LEGION SEELSTER - (6TH)
Spot Play – EXIT SMILING - (3RD)
Early Pick 5 – 6,10/1,7,8/4,7/4,6,7/7,9 = $14.40
Late Pick 5 – 6/4,7/4,7/3,6/1,3 = $3.20
Early Pick 4 – 4,6,7/7,9/6/4,7 = $12
Late Pick 4 – 4,7/3,6/1,3/7,8,10 = $24
Can Am Pick 4 – 1,3/5,7/7,8,10/1,4,7,8 = $48

Race 1 – NW $3,100 L5 or $7,000 L10 - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(10) H P NAPOLEON drops, and he should get a good setup here stalking some questionable speed types. He gets the nod going for a hot barn. (6) CINNABAR DRAGON got used up early last time when sent hard from the 9-hole. He gets a much better post here and he can get a better trip; using. (5) CYCLONE JOE is always coming on late it seems. He's a good one to use in the bottom of Tri and Super bets. (3) BETTER MOONON OVER makes his third start back and if he is asked to sit a trip this time, he can improve sharply.

Race 2- NW4 (F&M5) or $50,000 (F&M $67,000)

(8) P L MATT was a sharp winner racing out of a new barn last week and if he makes front at any point of this race, he should be hard to beat, although him drawing worst makes things a bit more interesting. (7) LIFETIME ROYALTY was much better last week when second to the choice and he's in with an upset chance here. (1) P C JUSTA DREAM was kept in last week when racing against the two choices, but she did finish with trot. She's not out of this. (2) ROYAL RHYTHM should race near the front again and stick around to take a slice.

Race 3 – NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(4) EXIT SMILING drops and gets Henry back. Expect aggression from this gelding. (7) INDIGO ART was treading water in the back 1/2 last week, but he had been off a month now he returns much quicker. He can go much better here, and his price will be good. (6) KEEP COMING raced okay at this level last week in a fast race and he can share again. (3) DREAMY FELLA should be passing many of these late racing at a reduced level; using underneath.

Race 4 – NW $16,000 L5 or $32,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000 - Pick 4

(7) EVENWOOD SONOFAGUN was an easy winner last time Roy drove and he returns here; top call. (6) FANCOURT was a narrow loser to one that was dropping several classes last week. He fits well here, and he should be heard from. (4) MONGOLIAN HERO N is razor-sharp right now and if he can work out another good trip, he can win again. (3) JULERICA was full of pace late last week and he should be coming on again here to land in the Tri or Super.

Race 5 – 5YO or Younger NW2 or $38,500 LT

(9) SIDE HILL GOUGER was a strong winner last week and moving to the worst post should help his price here; call to repeat. (7) BIG BULLY has developed a strong closing kick when he is in the right spots and he fits well here so I'll use him on multi-race tickets. (6) BERNIE tried hard racing first up last time, but he couldn't get to the choice. He could improve here with an easier trip. (1) BLU CREW will be coming late again, and he could better this placing if he is close enough at the head of the lane.

Race 6 – 5YO and Younger NW5 or $75,000 - Late Pick 5

(6) LEGION SEELSTER paced a huge mile when narrowly beaten by a sharp rival last week. He should be tough to beat here. (3) WINDSUN RICKY beat easier and he will be closing again, but if the choice replicates last week’s effort, he will probably be racing for second. (4) GRAND POOBAH will likely sit in again and that makes him a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri and Super. (5) CAPTAIN CASH requalified well for this. Give him a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7 – NW $11,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE:OPT CLM $30,000

(4) OCEANVIEW MAGNUM comes in off the fresh claim having taken a new lifetime mark last week; a threepeat looms. (7) P L JACKSON should be aggressive early here and he fits well; using. (2) WHITE HAIR ROCKS should be closer early here and that gives him a decent shot to hit the board. (3) LISBURN is in solid form and he can sit a trip and take a small slice.

Race 8 – F&M NW $25,000 L5 or NW $200,000 LT AE: OPT CL $60,000

(7) SLY ELEANOR N took a new life's mark last time and she has clearly never been better. She should be tough right back. (4) RECLAMATION finds a spot where she fits well making her first local start for trainer Moreau; using. (1) BETTER BE DONNA steps up off a predictable win. A smaller share is likely for her in this spot. (3) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE should sit a trip and hang around to finish on the edges.

Race 9 – PREFERRED

(3) EASY LOVER HANOVER sat in last week which was mission impossible the way the race played out. I expect a much more aggressive try here. (6) SO MUCH MORE had no issue facing males as she powered by late. She's hard to ignore off that sharp effort. (1) AMERICAN VIRGIN was a good 2nd racing against many of these last week; using underneath. (2) FIXED IDEA has a habit of winning at a big price and he could get ignored here; beware.

Race 10 – NW $16,000 L5 or $32,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE:OPT CLM $45,000

Class-droppers (3) NIRVANA SEELSTER and (1) EAST END will likely fight it out here and I'll give the nod to the former who could lead every step in this spot. (8) HEZA THRILL N is sharp right now and he should be closing for a slice here. (2) THE REV should follow the top two early and stay for a small share.

Race 11 - NW $8,800 L5 or $17,200 L10 - MANDATORY HIGH-5 PAYOUT w/CARRYOVER

(7) DRAGON TIME raced better last week but he was forced to take a shuffle. He could lead all the way here. (10) DREAMFAIR B J obviously fits better here and he is the one to fear. (8) FOOT SOLDIER was a winner last time he raced at a similar level; using. (3) FREDDY BEAR should get a better trip here starting with his nose on the gate; consider using underneath at a price. (1) POINTOMYGRANSON is another who is likely to get a better trip and he should finish on the fringes.

20-cent High-5 ticket: 7,8,10/7,8,10/1,3,4,7,8,10/1,3,4,7,8,10/ALL = $100.80