Woodbine Mohawk Park: Monday 6/3 Analysis
BEST BET: HAVEONEFORME (3RD)
SPOT PLAY: LEAFS AND WINGS (7TH)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Pick 5 - 7,8/2/8/1,5,7/2,9,10 = $3.60
Early Pick 4 - 1,5,7/2,9,10/7,9/1,8 = $36
Late Pick 4 - 1,8/3,4,6/5,9/1,2 = $24
MEET STATS: 20 - 72 / $95.80 (-$48.20)
BEST BETS: 4 - 7 / $10.00 (-$4.00)
SPOT PLAYS: 2- 7 / $9.00 (-$5.00)
Race 1
(7) WHAT CHAPTER was a stride short last time in a sharp effort and he appears to be sitting on a win now. (8) CRUISING IN STYLE qualified like a beast on May 24th and he should be right in the mix in his four-year-old debut. (6) TREASURED TEE improved sharply in his past two starts and he should hit the board here, at least. (1) SUPERLATIVE was very good last year but she raced mostly against sophomore fillies then. I'll give her a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super here.
Race 2
(2) SPORTSLINE was simply sensational at Flamboro and any repeat of that effort gets the job done here. (1) STOLEN ART was held up until very late last week, but he ate up racetrack quickly at the end of the mile to reach up. He can close for a good piece of this. (5) ALTA SHELBY N did all the roadwork and just got picked off in a nice effort. He should be a threat right back. (4) TALBOTCREEKWHISKEY can sit a good trip and come on late for a slice here.
Race 3
(8) HAVEONEFORME was sensational in the SBOA stakes and this spot may be even easier. It's hard to imagine her getting beat if she stays flat. (7) ROYAL ESTEEM had two good tighteners for this and she has a good chance to complete a chalky exacta. (4) HP TITANIA RUNNER qualified well and she was excellent last year - when she stayed trotting. She can be formidable if she behaves. (1) MATTYS SMILIN is a good one to use on the bottom as she will likely stay glued to the pylons and emerge late for a share.
Race 4
(7) MONGOLIAN HERO takes a big class drop here and this is a group he should handle. (1) DREAMY FELLA is in terrific form and he could win this with the right trip. (5) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ is sneaky in here as he will be winding up from the back in the lane and if the pace is slowing he could roll by them all. (6) INTRIGUED AGAIN qualified well enough to suggest he will be a late factor here.
Race 5
In a race where I don't love any of them, I'll take a swing on (10) CANTABERNET off the Gallucci claim. At least his price should be good from out there. (2) CABERTOSS was one of those "they knew" horses last time but someone forgot to tell the horse. His price should go up here and he is viable in this spot. (9) SEVERUS HANOVER makes his second start for Moreau and he isn't out of this. A Roy blast could be coming. (8) KENDRAS COCO is another who could flash come early speed who is worth a look in this spot.
Race 6
(9) BRIGHT EYES M has been solid in every start but she just came up against a tiger in the SBOA Final. She looks best here despite getting the outermost post. (7) CHAMPAGNE JANE is capable of a big mile on her best day and if she stays trotting this time, she should be a major threat. (8) ROYAL RHYTHM may be better racing off a helmet and she could get overlooked here based on her most recent result; consider for exotics. (6) HP BRUXELLES has some speed and talent on display and she should find her way onto the Super ticket here.
Race 7
(8) LEAFS AND WINGS is a horse that I have caught many times at big prices when shipping into Mohawk Park from a "B" track. This is an automatic play for me based on that angle. (1) ASAP HANOVER will get a lot of play here off his last start and deservedly so; using. (3) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE can get a much better trip here moving inside and he is worth a look at a price. (2) OFFICER JONES will be passing horses late to take a small share, most likely.
Race 8
I don't typically take horses on top that have missed a month, but, (4) HOCKEY HANOVER can beat these if the top trainer has him ready to fire a bullet and his price should be good here. (6) BAUTISTA will get bet heavily off his close third to Preferred droppers last week. He's the one to beat. (3) ODD BALL blew up at the worst time, but I doubt he was holding the pocket-sitter off anyway. He can beat these but I'll proceed with caution based on his history of gait issues in the past. (10) EYES COOL would be rated higher from a better post; small share predicted for him.
Race 9
(9) MUSICAL RHYTHM is the King of the Preferred castle until dethroned and he is the obvious one to beat again. (5) MUSCLES FOR LIFE took a new life's mark under tight lines last week and if anyone is going to register an upset, it's him. (8) B YOYO took his time but he was relentless down the lane to get up late. From out there a smaller share is likely. (7) FREE WILLY HANOVER is another who figures underneath in this spot.
Race 10
(2) JAY EYE M had no shot with the trip he got last week, but he was visibly flying late and he'll be a square price here. I'll stick with him. (1) PRINCE ADAIR will be a big chalk based on last week's big mile and he is the one to knock off. (4) BETTER THAN CASH should go much better here starting from the inside; consider for exotics. (5) FIXED IDEA got in a lit of traffic last time and these are easier. He could better this prediction with a good trip. (5) BERNIE steps up off a nice win but these are much tougher; small share only.
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