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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Monday 2/24 Analysis

Garnet Barnsdale|Feb 21, 2020
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats – 180 – 582 / $1011.20 (-$152.80)
Best Bets – 24 – 56 / $80.60 (- $31.40)
Spot Plays – 12 – 57 / $87.30 (-$26.70)
Best Bet –
UP AND TRENDING - (1ST)
Spot Play – CORNERSTONE - (7TH)
Early Pick 5 – 1/1,3,4,6/6,7,8/3,8/6,7,9 = $14.40
Late Pick 5 – 1,5,6/3,4/7,8/2,3/1,6 = $9.60
Early Pick 4 – 3,8/6,7,9/1,5,6/3,4 = $36
Late Pick 4 – 3,4/7,8/2,3/1,6 = $16

Race 1 - 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,500 LT - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(1) UP AND TRENDING will take heavy action here off last week's effort from the 9-hole in which he closed like a jet down the lane. Top call, but his price in the win pool may be unappealing. (4) HOYA SAXA finished right with the choice on the wire and he is the most likely upsetter here. (9) EMILY ANTOINETTE can show speed again here if she stays flat and it wouldn't be a shock if McNair stole this race on the front end. (8) MALCOLM G rarely misses finishing in the top four; using on the bottom of Tris and Supers.

Race 2- CLM HDCP $20,000 to $25,000

(6) LONE WOLF TERROR is as sharp as he gets and he will only need to pass five horses here. The only concern here is that he may not get an honest pace to chase. (4) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED was shaded by the choice right on the line last week and he will no doubt get the jump on him here and have to be caught; using. (1) LEADER TONIGHT should be laying closer early and that puts him in the exotics picture here. (3) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE took a mid-race shuffle last week. He isn't without a chance here if he can get a better trip.

Race 3 – NW $10,000 L5 or $23,500 L10 or NW 6 LT AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(7) SORTIE was tremendous last week and while he has inherent risk due to his recurring gait issues, I'll give him the nod here. (6) HOCKEY HANOVER will likely be sent hard and allowed to set the pace this time and that makes him a threat. (8) MONOPOLY takes a multi-level class drop but his price should still be good here and he merits a look. (3) P L MATT has been perfect so far racing out of a new barn but he beat up on much weaker opponents and I'll play to beat him in this spot.

Race 4 – NW $18,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $40,000 - Pick 4

(3) HEY LIVVY had a useful start back now she draws well and driver Henry is likely to get more aggressive in this spot; top call. (8) PIKACHU HANOVER missed 3 1/2 weeks between starts but he produced a furious stretch kick last week to power past a leader that was trotting a 27 1/5 final 1/4. He can add some value here starting from the worst post. (5) BUZZ returns to the barn where he has had most of his success and he could be a big price here; worth a stab? (7) REFI was no match for Steuben Hanover in the final of the Pepsi series but he has been sharp for a while now and he should be in the hunt here again.

Race 5 – F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(7) LUCKY PLAYER was a winner for new connections last week as expected and she should get a similar trip up front again here; call to repeat. (6) HAMMERING HALEY has probably been a bit unlucky to not have notched a win for Auciello yet and she can turn the tables here with the right trip. (9) E R RHONDA drops back down to this class and she can never be counted out at this level. (2) XELENE BAYAMA was close at this level two starts back. She's worth a look for Tris and Supers.

Race 6 – NW $10,000 L5 or $23,500 L10 or NW 6 LT AE: OPT CLM $30,000 - Late Pick 5

(5) MISTER OF ALL finished with trot last week and he should get positioned near the front early here. I'll give him a slight nod in a wide-open race. (1) ROYAL WITCH won at a level higher than this six starts back and she should wake up with a much better try here. (6) ZEUS LIGHTNING gets McNair here which should mean a more aggressive drive; using. (3) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO draws nicely here and he should be able to set up his late move from midpack. He's another in with a decent shot in this contentious dash.

Race 7 – 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT - Pick 4

(4) CORNERSTONE appeared to be setting up a big late rally when she rolled off stride at the head of the lane last time. She should get a much more aggressive steer here. (3) GOLDEN DYNAMITE is in good form and he was flying late last time. He should be a threat here. (5) PRICELESS RULER shows speed every week but is still stuck on one win. I'll use him underneath. (6) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER is sneaky in here and he could add some value to the Tri and Super.

Race 8 – Preferred

(7) P L JILL is at her best right now and she is capable of stepping into the top class and winning when she is firing on all cylinders. (8) ON THE ROPES is also razor-sharp but he draws worst here; demand a price. (2) B YOYO is right in the mix every week and he should get a good piece of this. (1) R FIRST CLASS is a great one to use underneath but he rarely wins at these levels.

Race 9 - NW4 (F&M5) or $55,000 (F&M $60,000)

(2) VILLEFRANCHE AS had some tough trips recently now she picks up Henry is a spot where she fits well; top call. (3) H P BRUXELLES is sharp and dangerous despite moving up in class and the barn continues to run hot. (4) HOLDIN ACES should be coming on late for another share here. (5) JOHNNYS REVENGE faces slightly easier here and he can enter contention if he stays flat.

Race 10 - CLM $10,000 to $12,000

(1) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE rarely loses in this class despite changing barns almost every week and he is the one to beat here again. (6) TOMY TERROR has been racing tough every week and he'll knock the choice off one of these times. (7) WINDSONG NAPOLEON hasn't been able to beat the choice but he has been close and he should take another share here. (3) COOL ROCK has seen better days but maybe a drop to the bottom claiming level will wake him up here; consider for Tris and Supers. (2) MYBROTHERGEORGE does better when he draws inside. He should be in this High-5 somewhere at a price.

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