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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Monday 2/10 Analysis

Garnet Barnsdale|Feb 07, 2020
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats – 151 – 501 / $847.70 (-$154.30)
Best Bets – 19 – 49 / $59.30 (- $32.70)
Spot Plays – 10 – 49 / $76.10 (-$21.90)
Best Bet –
P L JILL - (3RD)
Spot Play – INDIGO ART - (10TH)
Early Pick 5 – 5,7/1,2,6/3/2,3,4,7/1,10 = $9.60
Late Pick 5 – 1,4,5/1,4,6,7/2,5/5,7/1,3,4 = $28.80
Early Pick 4 – 4,7/1,10/1,4,5/1,4,6,7 = $48
Late Pick 4 – 1,4,6,7/2,5/5,7/1,3,4 = $48

Race 1 – F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000 - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(7) E R RHONDA left her move too late last week and she was eating up ground rapidly but she ran out of racetrack. She can atone here with a better-timed move. (5) HAMMERING HALEY goes for Auciello off the claim here which means she will likely get put into play earlier this time; using. (6) LUCKY PLAYER parlayed a 59 4/5 middle 1/2 breather into a win last week, holding the choice safe late, but she isn’t likely to get that same trip here. I’ll use her underneath. (1) RUSTYS FLYING will likely sit a nice trip and land in the Tri or Super again.

Race 2- 4YO and Younger NW 1 or $7,000

(6) CHARMBO PRINCE had a nice debut and he should get put into this race earlier. There’s no reason why he can’t graduate at second asking. (2) JOANI TREELANE has come close a few times and her form stacks up well here; using. (1) EMILY ANTOINETTE faced tougher than these in some races last year and if she is over her recent lameness issues, she can be right there vs. these. (4) HETTIES MAGIC should pass a few of these late to land in the Super or Tri.

Race 3 – NW $16,000 L5 or NW $29,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $40,000

(3) P L JILL was a dominant winner in this class last week and she will be a short price to double up here; top call. (7) R FIRST CLASS fits this class like a glove and he should be one of the main contenders racing from just off the pace here. (5) DERF HANOVER raced well last week, but he was no match for the choice; using underneath. (1) WHAT A RUSH should be closing late for another small share.

Race 4 – CLM HDCP $10,000 TO $12,000 – PICK 4

(4) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE just wins in this class – three of his last four starts – and he goes for Moreau off the claim here which should make him tough again. (7) TOMY TERROR keeps ending up first-over and falling just short. One of these weeks he will ride cover to victory; maybe tonight? (3) WINDSONG NAPOLEON was sharp last week when moving up off the claim and perhaps a bit unlucky to get nailed in the last stride by a rival that sat a perfect trip and was full of pace late. He’s not out of this. (2) REAL WICKED should improve moving inside; consider for the exotics.

Race 5 – PEPSI TROTTING SERIES - 2ND LEG - 3 & 4 YEAR OLD 5 COLTS AND GELDINGS

(10) STEUBEN HANOVER raced okay in his first start back while having to deal with broken equipment now he starts behind the likely chalk (1) REFI who is sure to be heavily bet again. I’ll call the former to upset. (2) KNOPFLER loomed last time, but the slow pace hurt him late. He can be in the mix again here. (6) STORMONT RARE – second to Refi last week – can better this placing with a trip.

Race 6 – 5YO and Younger NW3 (F&M4) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT - Late Pick 5

(1) H P BRUXELLES was a good third vs. NW2 last time and she may have disliked the off track. I’ll give her the nod here over (5) TLF ROYAL LAKE who looks for a second straight win after impressively reaching up late in his debut. (4) KOMBUCHA was nailed very late by the one above but he remains a viable contender in a contentious field. (3) GOLDEN DYNAMITE broke early and still won but these are tougher; small share predicted vs. these.

Race 7 – CLM HDCP $20,000 to $25,000 - Pick 4

(1) BUDDHA BLUE CHIP races for trainer Forgie off the claim here and she sent out Easy Flyer off the fresh claim to crush on Thursday night. Starting from a good post, he gets the nod. (4) OCEANVIEW MAGNUM took plenty of action last week when making his first start following the Fellows claim and he converted. He should be tough right back. (7) ALLSTAR SEELSTER chased the speedy Ideal Jet last time and - as many can't - he couldn't go with him late. This is a much better spot and he is another live Pick 4 option. (6) LARRYS PETROCK drops in for a tag and he keeps driver Henry here. He will be passing horses late and he's not out of this.

Race 8 – PREFERRED

(2) ON THE ROPES is rolling right now and he draws perfectly here. Expect another backstretch assault; top call. (5) B YOYO is sharp, but he has finished 2nd four times in the past five starts; demand a price. (7) ODDS ON AMETHYST couldn't go with the choice last week, but he can close for another slice here. (1) ROYAL WITCH is capable of better and she should start quicker here; using underneath.

Race 9 – CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $91,000 LT

(7) STRATOSPHERE is coming around for trainer Auciello now and I'll go price shopping here with him to turn the tables on the hot (5) ARUKIDINME CABBIE who will have to be caught again here; using both in this late Pick 4. (6) YOUNG DRUNK PUNK drops and he should improve here, but he often gets too far back early; using on the bottom. (2) TRIDENT SEELSTER will sit another trip and probably sneak into the Tri or Super.

Race 10 – NW $3,000 L5 or $7,500 L10

(1) INDIGO ART gets several changes here (trainer, driver, post) and he should get a fast track. All of those changes should lead to a wakeup performance; top call. (4) PHIL THE THRILL has developed a nice closing kick racing in this class and he should be right there again. (3) OSBORNE SEELSTER races best for McNair and it wouldn't be a shock if he lasted much longer here. (7) CORTEZ THE KILLER comes off a nice effort and he could get a great trip racing near the front here; using underneath. (5) OLLIESTRIKESFAME will be closing again late and he is a good one to use in the 3-4-5 spots of the exotics.

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