Woodbine Mohawk Park: Monday 11/26 Analysis

Best Bet: IL SOGNO DREAM (10th)

Spot Play: TYMAL PEACEMAKER (9th)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 2,4,6/3,6/5,6,7/4,9/6,7 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 4,9/6,7/3,4,6/1,3,6,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,6,8/1,2/1,2,6/2 = $24

MEET STATS: 43 - 130 / $236.10 (-$23.90)

BEST BETS: 5 - 11 / $21.70 (-$0.30)

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 13 / $21.80 (-$4.20)

Race 1

(2) STREAMSONG shows a powerful win four races back when he last raced in this class and off that mile, he gets the nod. (4) TOUCHDOWN A S was interestingly double entered in this class. Tab how he raced Friday for some clues. (6) HETTIES COMMANDER was perfectly driven to win last time, but these aren’t much tougher, and he merits consideration for the Pick 5. (8) BLAMEITONTHEWHISKY usually heads to the front when racing in this class and we know McNair won’t be shy to send him. He’s more likely to take a slice than a win, however.

Race 2

(3) WHAT CHAPTER appeared to shut himself down at the 1/4 pole last week, then he ended up buried behind a stopper which likely cost him a win. He can bounce back here if he behaves. (6) FLY BEYOND was a narrow loser in a good effort in the same race; using. (4) CHEATALOTPOV also exits the same race and he wasn’t far behind the choices. He can come on late here for a share. (1) JUST JEWEL is in tougher here stepping up off a maiden win; small share predicted.

Race 3

Trainer Nick Gallucci has been on fire recently, so I’ll take a stab on (6) REYS IN A ROCKET here, who debuts in his barn. (5) BID WRITER comes off a decent effort and Roy should put her into play here. (7) LO HOLD A MOONBEAM has a great record this year and the mare that beat her last time would likely handle this group. (2) NASTY RUMOUR should sit a good following trip here then come on late to take a slice.

Race 4

(4) Y C EASY moves to Moreau’s barn following a blowout maiden score and she likely won’t be the chalk here, so I’ll side with her. (9) LYONS HEDGEABET powered away to an impressive score in the Harvest series final and she will be bet heavily off that mile, but her trip was also very good and from post 9 she might be beatable here. (3) BIDFORA HUG is capable of a better result facing this group; consider for exotics. (6) DOCS DARLIN will be closing late for a piece as she usually does.

Race 5

(7) VEYRON had no answer for a streaking B Yoyo in the third 1/4 last week, but he rates highly vs. easier here. (6) O NARUTAC PERFETTO closed into a fast final 1/4 and he’s ready to win one but he needs a trip. (9) BUZZ comes off a very sharp try but gets a worse post; using underneath. (1) WILD AND CRAZY GUY moves off post 10 and he should be good for at least a share.

Race 6

(3) P L JILL produced a season’s best winning effort in her first start in the new barn last week and if she stays on her game, this class rise won’t matter; call to repeat. (5) CUE HALL was used up by the three-quarters facing tougher but he should take these a long way if sent on a speed mission. (6) HEAD TURNING JAG rarely gets bet, but he tries every week; using in the Pick 4. (1) APRIL ROSE should leave and sit a trip near the front again to nab a slice.

Race 7

(1) FREDDY BEAR gets to drop to the bottom conditioned level here while making his first start out of the Auciello barn. He should be hard to deny. (8) HIS BOY ELROY paced a solid mile after breaking at the start and dropping to the bottom; puts him in the picture here. (6) CARTOON DADDY was live in the lane last week. He’s another to consider for Pick 4 bets. (3) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP goes into Moreau’s barn here and the 28-flat kicker in the snow in his November 15th qualifier intrigues; possible.

Race 8

(1) DUNBAR HALL is the king of this castle right now and with him starting from the inside a three-peat looms. (3) DANCER HALL is the most likely to take the choice down and he may offer a better price. (2) B YOYO is in great form, but this is a different game now; smaller share predicted. (5) MUSICAL RHYTHM is coming around and he’ll win one of these soon, but the top two may just be too good right now.

Race 9

(6) TYMAL PEACEMAKER has a barn change that I have done well with in the past and notice he took his life’s mark at this track last year; angle play. (2) BRODYS SCRAPPER comes off a solid try at a similar level and he’s in with a good chance. (1) PAULY WALLY was too far back last time. He should get put into play here and he’s not out of this. (8) DARKEST SECRET is worth a look moving in a couple of posts and returning quicker this time.

Race 10

(2) IL SOGNO DREAM was a bit one-paced racing first-up last week, but he gets to drop again, and McNair will likely look to control things this time. (7) MIGHTY NICKY had a decent qualifier in the snow and he’s worth a look to crash the exotics at a price. (8) ADVERSITY made a sweeping move last week, but the heavy chalk got the jump in him. He’s in good form and can close for a piece of this. (4) GISELE TREELANE motored home to win last week despite missing close to a month. She can be quirky but she’s dangerous when she’s on her game. (6) SETANTA was decent last time and if he gets sent off the gate again, he should stick around for a smaller share.