Woodbine Mohawk Park: Monday 10/8 Analysis
Best Bet: CHEYENNE FORD (6th)
Spot Play: ALERT HANOVER (7th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,3,5/1,3,6/2,4/6,7,9/8,10 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 6,7,9/3,8,10/8/2,5,9 = $27
LATE PICK 4: 2,5,9/2,7/4,7,8/4,7,9 = $54
MEET STATS: 377 - 1167 / $2,141.40 BEST BETS: 63 - 104 / $217.60
SPOT PLAYS: 34 - 102 / $201.40
Race 1
(1) KEYSTONE PRESTIGE should find these rivals much easier and he gets the call to take his maiden win here. (5) BOYS TURN is another who should appreciate easier company here and he's on my Pick 5 ticket. (3) QUATRAIN BLUE CHIP has won two straight and he should be the one to chase down late; using. (4) ATLANTIS got an easy opening half in the rain last week which made him uncatchable. I'll play to beat him this time.
Race 2
(6) GREEN POINT paced a good kicker last time and getting off the inside post will likely help her; slight nod. (1) THAT'S INCREDIBLE kept coming and eventually wore the leader down while also beating the choice. She should be tough right back. (3) WALTZING WITH TINA is better than her last start showed and she'd worth a look dropping out of Gold company here. (2) PRINCESS LAYLA is always around at the finish and she should take another slice here.
Race 3
(4) AT WILL is on a roll and she will likely be hard to stop here. (2) ARVIKA looked like a winner then suffered an equipment break in the stretch last week. She should be a threat again. (3) MINOR OBSESSION is consistently in the exacta and she should be right there again. (5) SETTE DEO rode the inside to victory last time, but the same trip seems unlikely here; smaller share predicted.
Race 4
Tough race with little form. I'll side with (6) BEACHIN LINDY, who should beat these if he can behave. (7) E L WILD SPIRIT improved when racing in this class last time and he's worth a look off that effort. (9) SWELLENDAM gets a big driver switch here which makes him usable. (1) JAYDENS PLACE has faced tougher recently. He can hit the ticket vs. these.
Race 5
(8) MUSICAL SPELL catches a field that he can beat if he is sent hard for position off the gate. (10) LADY CATERINA drops, and she should be headed straight to the front at the start; using. (3) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY raced okay for driver Henry two and three starts back. He has some upset potential here. (4) WALK THE PLANK comes in off a sharp win out of town; consider for exotics.
Race 6
(8) CHEYENNE FORD looked a winner the whole way until he was chased down by the heavy chalk in the last strides. This field is easier and he'll take beating. (2) LAUTNER SEELSTER came to life for pilot Roy last week. He's worth a look here. (6) CAMS TUX spun his wheels a bit in the slop last week. He can hit the ticket vs. these. (5) OAKROCK ELDORADO ships in with good form for veteran trainer/driver Gassien; consider for the exotics.
Race 7
(5) ALERT HANOVER closed mildly vs. much tougher last week. He gets the nod here. (2) T BARRR has been racing tough in Grassroots company and his good tactical speed puts him in the picture here. (9) SNEEKER HANOVER steps up off a nice win, but she stole a cheap opening half then. This should be a tougher assignment. (4) TREASURED TEE set the table for the winner who ride his cover last week. He can improve here if he can work out a better trip.
Race 8
(7) FLASH A SMILE's miles two and three starts back are good enough to beat these. Put a line through her most recent start when overmatched vs. Gold foes. (2) CHARMBO BRIE has been kicking home quickly which should make her a player here. (6) HIGHMOON SUNSHINE comes off a decent third-place finish Thursday night here and I'll use her underneath if she goes. (1) FARMGIRL TOUGH has a hint of ability and she can take a share racing close up here.
Race 9
(4) BRICKMAN dug in late to win when claimed and he gets the call to repeat going for the Moreau barn here. (8) OPEN WATER is another claimed horse that should be the one to catch here as he shoots for five straight wins. (7) JENKINS CREEK stole a breather in the slop and he was impossible to catch. He's a contender here, but there are some in here who look tougher than those that he beat then. (5) BLUE LINE goes for Montini here off a decent effort; consider for exotics.
Race 10
(4) NOTETOSELF HANOVER tracked some hot splits then got up late at a huge price. In a wide-open race, I'll give him a slight nod to repeat. (7) MUSSELSFRMBRUSSELS raced better with McNair in the bike and he should threaten here. (9) UF BETTORS HANOVER could get a collapsing late pace to attack here. The question is, will he be close enough to capitalize? (2) MAC RAIDER and (3) THE LOAN RANGER can both sit trips and come on late; consider using underneath.
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