Woodbine Mohawk Park: Monday 10/29 Analysis
Best Bet: ST JAMES GATE (5th)
Spot Play: CUE HALL (7th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 4,5/2,3/3,5,9/4,6,7/4 = $7.20
EARLY PICK 4: 4,6,7/4/1,4,7/1,6,8,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 1,6,8,9/1,4/3,5,6/3,9 = $48
MEET STATS: 417 - 1273 / $2,354.30 BEST BETS: 69 - 114 / $240.30
SPOT PLAYS: 37 - 113 / $227.40
Race 1
(5) CASIMIR RAMBLER gets a notable driver change here to kick off this stakes series and he's already won over this track; top call. (4) MISS ROCKADALI goes for Moreau here following a troubled trip in Ottawa. She could pop first time racing in the new barn. (8) PRINCESS ABIE W got used up early last time. She could surprise here with a different trip. (7) IVESEENTHEFUTURE is a great one to use on the bottom of Tris and Supers.
Race 2
(2) MISS ADAM T gets a big driver change here and I expect sharp improvement. (3) POWER AND GRACE also gets a notable pilot switch as well shipping in off a win; using. (1) SHOTGUN SALLY is in solid form and she can hit the ticket off a following trip here. (4) P L LAYLA is worth a look as the only three-time winner in the race.
Race 3
(9) BREEZY moves into Moreau's barn here and notice Roy almost won with her three starts back; slight nod. (3) SHADOW WORLD is in good form and she should get another good trip on or near the lead here. (5) MCKENNA HANOVER made a move she couldn't sustain last week in a mile that featured strong fractions. She has upset possibilities here. (7) P L LIGHTNING should be passing a few of these down the lane She could sneak into the Tri or Super.
Race 4
(7) LUCKLST BLUEGRASS returns quickly after just failing to bottom out the field in this class on Thursday night. He gets the nod here. (6) BURNING MIDNIGHT has faced tougher all year and he should be a perfect fit in this class. (4) MACHAL JORDAN drops off a dull effort but taking wins on class drops is his specialty; using. (9) DANCIN DOUG will be overbet off his sub-1:51 miles in Kentucky. I'll play to beat him.
Race 5
(4) ST JAMES GATE was surely best last week but had way too far to come in the final quarter due to trip. A better journey gets him a win here. (6) CHESTNUT SCHOFIELD beat the choice by bottoming out the field and he will likely try the same tactic here. He's dangerous again. (10) EXEMPLAR drops but post likely limits him to a smaller share here. (5) DAYLON MAGICIAN is obviously classy enough for these, needing only $12K to break the $2 million mark in earnings, but he's been off 16 months. I'll watch him this time.
Race 6
(7) BRICKMAN was on terrible cover last week which cost him all chance at the win. He gets McClure back and he won with him two starts back; top call here. I like the 28 1/5 kicker from (4) TELL US MORE's September 18th qualifier; using. (1) LATE NIGHT comes off an impossible trip win at London when claimed. He merits Pick 4 inclusion here. (3) PRINCE GIOVANNI woke up last time, but he may be overbet off that line and he rarely strings two wins together.
Race 7
(8) CUE HALL was buried with trot down the lane last week. His price should be good starting from out there and I'll stick with him. (6) CATCH THE DREAM is always around the money at this class level and Hudon may activate him sooner here. (9) TRY TRY AGAIN's recent form is impeccable, but he may find it tough to take another win starting from out there. (1) FREE WILLY HANOVER has been racing tough every week. He's not out of this.
Race 8
(4) LADY GRANDE was getting to the big chalk late last week and she should be able to work out a good trip here; slight nod. (1) I SHADOW U predictably woke up when facing easier and she's a threat right back. (3) OXFORD COMMA made two moves then faltered. She can be a threat if she trips out. (5) TINKERBELLA can close late to take a smaller share.
Race 9
(6) PRINT MEDIA drops with a good chance to pop vs. this group. (3) A FARMBOYS SUCCESS was perfectly tripped out by Drury last week to get the job done, but he figures in here, too; using. (5) UNDRAFTED did all the heavy lifting and stayed game. He's another that's in with a decent chance here. (2) NICKLE BAG has been victim of some bad trips lately. If he gets put into this race earlier, he could be tough.
Race 10
(9) JDCYRIL was used hard for the first 3/4 of the race when claimed. He could resume his winning ways here if tripped out. (3) OSIRIS BLUE CHIP goes to Moreau after breaking when claimed. He should be right there if he stays flat. (6) CAPTAIN DRAGON almost beat the choice last time. He can be a speed threat again but note that he's stuck on one 2018 win. (10) REAL WILLEY gets no breaks with post draws, but he should pass many of these in the lane. (2) ROYAL COURTIER should take at least a share with a good following trip.