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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 8/9 Analysis

Garnet Barnsdale|Aug 07, 2019
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats – 174 – 526 / 899.30 (-$151.70)
Best Bets – 29 - 50 / $88.70 (-$11.30)
Spot Plays – 11 – 49 / $53.30 (- $44.70)
Best Bet -
DRAGON LADY ART - (7TH)
Spot Play - PEAKY SNEAKY (5TH)
Pick 5 – 1,5,6/7/3,7/2,3,4,6/3,4,5 = $14.40
Early Pick 4 – 2,3,4,6/3,4,5/1,3,5/6 = $36
Late Pick 4 – 6/2,5/1,4,7/2,5,6,8,9 = $30

Race 1 – Ontario Sired 3YO Fillies, Grassroots Starters in 2019 - GTD $50K Pick 5
(6) GREEN POINT has been live in both starts for Gallucci, but she's come under heavy pressure. In this short field, she may get it a bit easier which should make the difference. (1) TWIN B BETTY was flying late in a similar race two starts back and she is in with an upset chance here. (5) WINDSONG PARISIAN raced better last time and she should be coming late here. (7) VILLAGE JOULES may end up getting a similar shuffle behind the choice like the one she got last time. I'll use her underneath.
Race 2 – CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000
(7) DOVUTO HANOVER appears to be able to clear immediately here. Catch him to visit the cashier. (1) REAL WICKED remarkably has 14 seconds in 26 starts this year and number 15 could be coming here. (4) OH K MAN comes up tagged here and he should at least be closing for a piece of this. (2) SHADOW OF LINDY should get a good following trip behind the choice here and stick around for a share.
Race 3 - OSS Gold 2YO Fillies
(7) SHEER ENERGY stands out here off her July 23rd win, and she'll be tough to beat if she stays flat. (3) SHE MUST BE MAGIC's race two back puts her right there. She was a bit over her head in the Doherty. (6) SHE STARTED IT has shown some talent but has had gait issues. She can compete here if she minds her manners. (4) SHES KADABRA COOL can build on an okay opener and hit the ticket at a price here.
Race 4 - F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $46,500 LT - GTD $50K Pick 4
Tough race here with several chances. I'll side with (6) SWIFT ALLY who looked good winning as a big chalk last time vs. easier. (4) LADY FINETUNE just wins and she gets to drop from non-winners of four to non-winners of three here based on earnings. She is impossible to leave out for me. (3) SPRINGBRIDGE SASSY put it all together last time and got up late. She can be very dangerous if she is 100% sound now. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER is another last-out winner to consider here.
Race 5 - 2YO Fillies NW $13,500 LT
(6) PEAKY SNEAKY can build off a decent debut here and picking up McNair - who has been hot recently - won't hurt. (3) WIGGLE DELIGHT was closing too late last time. She can be closer if she starts her move earlier. (4) ROSE RUN VICTORY has three slices in five tries and she isn't impossible in this spot. (1) MYSTIC SHADOW needs to find more late speed; small share predicted.
Race 6 - OSS Gold 2YO Fillies
(3) PRINCESSPARTYPANTS was a predictable winner last time and she can likely produce more speed if needed; slight nod. (1) GP DREAMIN was an impressive winner despite being completely dismissed on the board in her debut. She should be a big threat right back. (5) P L NIKITA couldn’t\t stay with an undefeated filly last time, but she certainly measures up well here and is a contender. (7) JULA SHES MAGIC was a runaway last time but she managed to last to the wire. These types don't typically string wins together.
Race 7 - F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 - Pick 4
(6) DRAGON LADY ART won at a higher class three starts back, then got no money in two straight which allows her to drop to the bottom conditioned level. She should be tough to beat here. (3) FINA PATINA comes off a solid try and she should be an Exacta factor here. (7) WHISTYS PARADISE can pass a few of these late and take a share. (1) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY is another who will be closing who is a good one to use on the bottom here.
Race 8 - OSS Gold - 2YO Fillies
Nice race here with a good matchup between (2) INTENSE JUSTICE and the unbeaten (5) WARAWEE VICKY. The former allowed the latter to get away on her two starts back, but she came back with a very sharp effort capped off with a big kicker on the end of the mile. Perhaps this is the night that Intense Justice turns the tables. (4) GODDESS DE VIE comes off a good try and she should be in the mix here. (9) P L NOTSONICE is worth a look off her last mile where she raced well despite being parked the mile.
Race 9 - F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 or NW5 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000
You know (7) HELLO LOVE is sharp when J Mac rolls her from outer posts twice in three starts. She gets the slightest nod in a very tough race. (4) ARTISTIC MADISON seemed to find another gear late in her last mile when chasing the favorite home. She could win this with a trip. (1) AMERICAN SARA should be right there on the class drop and she is one of several that can win this. (3) SUNDAY AFTERNOON should be forwardly-placed early and stick around for a share.
Race 10 - F&M NW $15,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLA $35,000
(2) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP made up a lot of ground last time now she moves inside while making her 4th start back. It's go time. (6) ALEXIS FAITH has a better chance here moving to one of the best posts. (5) BETTER BE DONNA N is on a great win streak but faces some tougher ones here. I'll play to beat her this time. (9) CATCH AN ACE and (8) SANDBETWEENURTOES both take multi-level drops, and either can beat these predictions with trips.

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