Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 7/19 Analysis

Meet Stats - 118 – 373 / $610.90 (-$135.10)

Best Bets – 18– 34/ $47.60 (-$17.50)

Spot Plays – 7 – 34 / $33.60 (- $34.40)

Best Bet – THRILLONTHEBEACH (6TH)

Spot Play – HIGHLAND DYNAMITE (10TH)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Pick 5 – 5,6/2,3,5/5,6,8/1,6,8/2,3,4,6 = $43.20

Early Pick 4 – 1,6,8/2,3,4,6/5/2,4,6 = $36

Late Pick 4 – 4/5/4,8/1,2 = $4

20-CENT Can Am Pick 4 – 4,10/1,2,5,9,10/1,2/4,8,9 = $12

Race 1 – NW $3K L5 or NW $7K L10 – GTD $50K Pick 5

(5) ODD BALL got two clean lines in a row now he drops. He’ll get bet here, but, if he stays flat, he should handle these. (6) KENDRAS COCO does her best work on the front end and she was outsprinted early last week. Starting from post 6 gives her a better chance to clear to the front and that’s where she is most dangerous. (9) MISTER MAGIC was sluggish first up when beaten at odds of 2 to 5 in this class two starts back. I’ll use him underneath here. (1) PRESQUILLE was beaten by a perfectly tripped-out winner last time. He’s in with a shot here but is more likely to finish on the edges.

Race 2 – F&M 5YO and Younger NW 4 or $49K LT

(5) ABUELITA HANOVER continues to race well and she has the right style for this track. A threepeat looms. (3) SO MUCH MORE tasted her first defeat of the year in the Kin Stakes Final at Clinton. She may like the big track better and she is a player here. (2) SWIFT ALLY faces easier here which means McNair will likely put her into action earlier; using in the Pick 5. (1) SKATER CHICK will be closing for a slice as usual.

Race 3 – OSS Gold 2YO Fillies

(8) ALICORN rallied gamely from an impossible spot last time. I have to think Roy will be looking to get better position of the gate this time. Call to upset. (6) OFF THE PRESS was a sharp winner and she is likely the one to beat again. (5) FREE FLYIN TICKET produced a huge back 1/2 to win her debut and she’s another filly that you need on this Pick 4 ticket. (2) NEED UR OPINION should get a good following trip here. Consider using her underneath.

Race 4 – Ontario Sires 3YO Fillies NW $25K in 2019 - $50K GTD Pick 4

(8) CAFE SOCIETY may have beaten better than these when she won on Monday night. She gets the call to repeat here. (6) SOUTHWIND PRIMA is capable of better – see her race three starts back – and I’ll use her in the Pick 4 and Pick 5 as a price option. (1) BLUEWATER BEACH could trip out following the choice here and she is another to consider for multi-race tickets. (9) WHITEHAVEN BEACH would be rated higher from a better post. From out there, I’ll sue her underneath.

Race 5 – F&M NW $6,400 L5 or NW $16,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $15K

(6) FOLLOWTHEWIND N had too tough of a trip last time and she paid the price late. She can bounce back here at a price. (2) CASINO CLASSIC drops and she should wake up in this spot; using. (4) MANHATTAN AGAIN steps up off a gutsy win and she shouldn’t be taken lightly here. (3) SHEZAREALDEAL is another who is sharp that could do here with the right trip.

Race 6 – F&M NW $3K L5 or NW $7,700 L9

(5) THRILLONTHEBEACH was a huge winner here in this class three starts back when she last raced in this class and she took a new life’s mark that night. She should be very tough in here. (6) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY raced better with Drury driving last time and she can get a good piece of this. (3) DONTBRUISECARRIE is usually in the mix at this level and she can trip out and take a share here. (2) KAYS SHADOW was closing mildly late vs. a strong winner last time. She is another good one to use underneath here.

Race 7 – Ontario Sired 3YO Grassroots Starters in 2019, NW $20,500 in 2019

(6) LOUD SPLASH motored home last week despite stalking a slowish pace. She gets the call to repeat over (2) CHEDDAR BAY who she ran down late in that dash. (4) ST LADS THRILLER rallied well at odds of 100 to 1 and her price is sure to drop here but she’s in with a shot. (1) PRESTIGE SEELSTER couldn’t hold the top two choices at bay after stealing a 58 1/5 middle 1/2. I’ll play to beat her again.

Race 8 – OSS Gold 2YO Fillies – Late Pick 4

(4) ALL DAY SUNSHINE flashed speed early and late to win last time and she should be in good position here to repeat. (2) TEMAGAMI SEELSTER couldn’t keep the choice at bay but that was a solid effort and she is an Exacta factor here. (3) MACH MY KISS was in against a very sharp winner in her debut. She could be closer vs. this group. (8) BOLD N SPORTY has some longshot appeal here; consider for the exotics.

Race 9 – 3YO Fillies

(5) BODICEA is the queen of this division right now and I haven’t seen any chinks in her armour. She gets post advantage on her main rival (8) POWERFUL CHRIS so she gets the nod. The latter was right there on the wire with an aged Preferred type mare last week, but I wonder what kind pf a trip she’ll get leaving from the worst post and going for $20K with stakes action likely next on her schedule. (4) SUNNY DEE will likely ride the choice’s pocket throughout and stay for a share. (6) LOVELY DONNA is in great form, but this is a tough task. Tab her for the bottom of the Super.

Race 10 – NW3 (F&M 6) or $54K LT - Can Am Pick 4 Leg 1

(8) HIGHLAND DYNAMITE exploded to a big win in a similar class last week and driver Jamieson seems to have ignited her engine the past two trips. She gets the call to repeat. (4) MISS JUBILEE HILL raced tough last time but couldn’t quite get to the leader late. She’s in with a big shot here. (5) SETTE DEO and (7) BLAZING TRAIL are two closers to consider using underneath.

Race 11 – F&M NW $15K L5 or $30K L10 AE: NW $128,500 LT or OPT CLM $35K - Can Am Pick 4 Leg 3

(1) THE JOY LUCK CLUB almost bottomed out some better mares last week so she should boss this group. (2) CIRCLE THE PAGE may leave in the choice’s pocket which would give her a chance at a perfect trip upset. (7) MACHNHOPE is good at this level but she may have too far to come. I’ll use her underneath. (8) KLLOF STREET also drops and she should be in the High 5 somewhere. (3) SUNDAY AFTERNOON should go better in this spot. Consider her for the exotics at a price.