Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 3/8 Analysis
Best Bet: DOUBLE A MINT (9th)
Spot Play: REI’S STAR CROSS (10th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,9/1/1,6,7/7,8,9/1,2,5,7 = $14.40
EARLY PICK 4: 7,8,9/1,2,5,7/1,7,8/5 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 2,3,5/2,3,7/1/2,3,4 = $27
MEET STATS: 189 - 632 / $1,043.80 (-$230.20)
BEST BETS: 26 - 57 / $91.30 (-$22.70)
SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 57 / $114.20 (+$0.20)
Race 1
(1) DAN DAR MAL drops back to face maidens and he looks best here with a post advantage over (9) HAKIMA, but I'll use both to kick off the Pick 5. (4) SCOTIANNANCYDIANE also drops back to the maiden class but she seems likely to fill out the Tri or Super. (6) SWEET CITY GIRL had a decent race over the track and she's another Superfecta contender here.
Race 2
(1) BIRCH ISLAND BETTY sticks out here dropping back down from non-winners of five to non-winners of two and she should handle this group. (7) BIDFORAHUG should go better in her second start back and she's an exacta factor racing from close range. (6) WHOZYOMOMMA was third to the choice last time and she figures to compete for another share here. (5) MEDICI HANOVER is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics now that she's had a race over the track.
Race 3
(6) BEAUTY CUTIE blew up the tote board last time she raced in this class and she should be a square price here coming off a break in stride; slight nod. (7) WIKI HANOVER is an obvious contender who gets a much better post here; using. (1) ALPHA SEELSTER's 27 1/5 kicker in her last start will draw plenty of action and while she may get overbet, she can win this. (2) STENHOUSE HANOVER was used up by the stretch last time. With a trip, he can be closer here.
Race 4
(9) ONLY ONE STAR drops in for a price for the first time and there's a good chance she'll get taken here, so she should be all-systems-go. (7) NASTY RUMOUR is on a roll for a hot barn and she's hard to leave out at this point. (8) TAME THE DAME can go better here in her second start for Moreau; using. (2) ROCKNROLLS IMAGE isn't likely to trip out like she did last week; using on the bottom here.
Race 5
(1) LEAVING A LEGACY gets a better draw following two sharp efforts from outer posts and stepping out of claimers will help her price here. (5) PRETTY HOT got used too hard too early last week. She's still viable at this level and she should get a better trip here. (2) ASKMYSECRETARY is logical moving inside and keeping driver Roy following a good effort from the worst post. (8) GRANNY PANTS goes first time for a barn that's been on fire lately. I'll use her too in the multis.
Race 6
(7) OSIRIS BLUE CHIP was against it last time racing against a winner who had a big pace advantage when another fast leaver was scratched. He should get a better setup here. (8) LORIS ROCK STAR was lights out when claimed and you know where Drury is pointing when the gate leaves here; using. (1) SANTANNA TONY goes from Moreau to Shepherd and he's the other one that I will put on the Early Pick 4 ticket. (2) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP continues to take shares and he should get a piece of this.
Race 7
(5) MANOFMANYIMAGES was pointed for the front when he jumped it off last week and now he gets to drop even farther. He should be tough to beat if he can hold it together. (2) TOUCHDOWN AS also drops and draws well, and Henry should trip him out in this spot. (3) WESMONT burned some money last week, but he's capable and he may get sent this time. (6) BLAMEITONTHEWHISKY can take another slice racing close to the front.
Race 8
(2) LYONS HEDGEABET can double up here facing many of the same rivals. (7) SLY ELEANOR N will be closing at the leader late as usual and the short field helps her. She could turn the tables on the choice here if close enough at the 3/4 pole. (3) WOODMERE CEILIDH is getting closer and she's not out of this, but a smaller share seems likely. (1) VINES TO HEAVEN should get a better trip this time. She has upset possibilities.
Race 9
(1) DOUBLE A MINT is the current queen of this division and she'll take beating again at odds-on. (2) TAJMEALLOVER beat the choice three starts back when she got the jump, but with her main rival starting inside of her this time, completing the exacta seems logical. (3) DONT STOP BELIEVIN could do better with a change in tactics here. (6) SANDBETWEENURTOES - stablemate of the choice - can better this prediction with a decent trip.
Race 10
(3) REIS STAR CROSS moves up off a loss which should help her price but she's sharp, capable and due for some better racing luck. (2) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN is another that has to get better racing luck soon and she could break the 2019 goose egg in the win column here. (4) XELENE BAYAMA is a must-use for me off the Auciello claim. (10) MAKE MINE MOCHA is right in the mix every week and she can get onto the High-5 ticket here. (7) BOURBON SEELSTER can do much better if she can avoid getting hung out here.