Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 3/6 Analysis

Meet Stats – 204 – 652 / $1131.00 (-$173.00)
Best Bets – 28 – 63 / $98.20 (- $27.80)
Spot Plays – 14 – 62 / $91.90 (-$32.10)
Best Bet – SUGAR DANCE (4TH)
Spot Play – JUST HER LUCK (10TH)
Early Pick 5 - 1,3,4,5/2,5,6/3,5,8/3/1,3 = $14.40
Late Pick 5 – 1,2,7/4,7,8/4,5,7/4,5,6,7/1 = $21.60
Early Pick 4 – 3/1,3/1,2,7/4,7,8 = $18
Late Pick 4 – 4,7,8/4,5,7/4,5,6,7/1 = $36

Race 1 – NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(5) TAX SAVINGS faces tougher here, but the barn is on fire, having won with all of its last five starters. I’ll stab here hoping for a price on the class rise. (1) ESQUIRE tried hard last week but he couldn’t get by a class-dropper who plowed through the snow and was unyielding. He should be right there again. (4) MONOPOLY drops again and he should be heard from in this spot. (3) VEYRON is usually around the money at this level. Look for him to come on late and finish in the Super.

Race 2- F&M 5YO and Younger NW4 or $50,000 LT

(2) CHOCOLATEMILKTOAST lands in a good spot here and I expect her to get put into this race early; top call. (5) SHEMARS LADY HAVOC is clearly much-improved and if she gets a legitimate pace to chase, she may roll by late. (6) BIG NARANCIA gets her nose on the gate here and she should be forwardly-placed early. She should be part of the Tri. (3) SMILE SALLY steps up off a sharp win but I see her finishing on the edges vs. tougher here.

Race 3 – F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT

(8) COVER STORY was a good second racing in the snow last week despite having missed four weeks between starts. The outer post should help boost her price; top call. (5) LAURAS LOVE is clearly one of the better ones in here, but she is a bit risky coming off a sick scratch. (3) MOCODRA is developing a nice closing kick and she isn’t impossible in this spot. (1) RETICENT HANOVER should start quicker here and that puts her in the exotics mix.

Race 4 – F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $21,000 L10 or NW $65,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000 - Pick 4

(3) SUGAR DANCE was terrific racing in the snow last week and she should take beating here. (5) SUNDAY AFTERNOON is sharp and the most likely to upset the choice in this race. (6) OUR VACATION rallied for 2nd last week but the winner was dropping multiple class levels and she was untouchable; use underneath. (10) BALFAST N figures to get a decent following trip here and come on late for a slice.

Race 5 – F&M NW $16,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(3) SPORTY TORI is stepping up off a win but she was super last week racing in the snow and she gets the call to repeat. (1) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE is right there every week and she could get a golden trip here racing just off the speed; using. (4) DON’T STOP BELIEVIN dropped and was just short against the choice. Her price will go up here and she remains a viable contender. (7) CRACKLIN ROSIE was sharp in winning her debut for a new barn but she steps up here and will need more late speed vs. these.

Race 6 – F&M CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $80,000 LT or NW $1,000 L5 - Late Pick 5

(2) MYSTIC SEELSTER lands in another good spot where she should be tough either controlling the pace or racing out of the pocket. (1) DIVA DALI has improved racing out of the Fellows barn and she should be the main threat here. (7) AKITA BAYAMA is right there every week but she keeps falling a bit short. I’ll use her underneath here. (6) P L LIGHTNING will be passing some of these mares late and she can take a small slice again.

Race 7 – NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $15,000 - Pick 4

(7) MISTER MAGIC is in easier here and he should get a more aggressive steer in this spot. (8) A J DESTINY drops out of the same race and he makes his second start out of the Fellows barn. He can improve in this spot and he likely will. (4) HEAD TURNING JAG came on late but the winner’s trip was just too good. He has a decent chance in here. (1) STORMONT CHARLOTTE converted a golden trip last week to win. She may not get the same kind of trip here. I’ll use her on the bottom.

Race 8 – F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(7) OUTLAW FIREBALL has reached peak form as seen by her multi-move close second last week and this looks like a good spot for her to take her first win of 2020. (5) PRETTY HOT races best at this level and she rarely gets bet. She's on my late multi-race tickets. (4) TOBINS TERROR qualified faster than she has ever raced since being claimed by Johnson. She could surprise here. (8) KIWI FOCUS N can get involved early here on the class drop. Consider her for Tri and Super bets.

Race 9 - CLM HDCP $15,000 TO $18,000

(4) COOL ROCK raced well off the Shepherd claim and he drops back in for a tag here in a spot where he could get a golden setup for his patented late kick; slight nod. (5) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS goes for Moreau off the claim after taking a new life's mark two starts back. Expect a big speed try here. (6) SPEED TO MARKET and (7) LEGAL BETTOR have been taking turns beating each other and they are two more possibilities in a contentious dash that is likely to come down to trip.

Race 10 – F&M NW $8,900 L5

Last time (1) JUST HER LUCK raced this low she was a winner. She should be tough here getting class and post relief. (6) CHARMBO BRIE returned from a break with two sharp efforts. She's worth a price look here. (10) MISS MADY can get a good trip following the choice here and hit the ticket. (9) BETTER SINGLE would be rated higher from a better post. I'll use her underneath this week. (5) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY should get a better trip here and there are no Hello Loves in this field. She can grab a small slice.