Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 3/1 Analysis
Best Bet: BUTTERMILK HANOVER (6th)
Spot Play: SANTANNA TONY (2nd)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,4,8/2,6/1,6/1,2,4/1,2,6,7,10 = $36
EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4/1,2,6,7,10/3/5,8 = $30
LATE PICK 4: 5,8/3,6/7/1,3,4,5,6,10 = $24
MEET STATS: 181 - 592 / $1,006.70 (-$177.30)
BEST BETS: 25 - 53 / $89.10 (-$16.90)
SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 53 / $110.30 (+$4.30)
Race 1
(8) A J CASH has been lights out at London the past month-and-a-half, recording five blowout wins in a row and he may be able to continue the streak in this spot if he gets put into the race early. I'll give him a slight nod over (4) SIGN HERE N HERE who has also been razor-sharp of late for hot driver Filion. (1) GALLANT MAN fell just short last time when nailed by a tripped-out winner. He's another in with a good chance here. (2) KUIL DEVA figures to come on late again for a smaller share.
Race 2
(2) SANTANNA TONY exits a very quick mile and drops back down to the level where he was claimed two starts back; top call. (6) MY TEEN IDOL also drops, and he was an easy winner last time he raced at this level; using. (4) MELANIES MAGIC is worth a look off the Shepherd claim, but a smaller share seems likely. (3) HEZA BIG DEALER is another fresh claim who should take at least a slice here.
Race 3
(1) BATTING STATS almost got the job done in this class two starts back; slight nod in a wide-open race. (6) LMC MASS OAK faces what appears to be easier here and I'll toss him in the Pick 5. (5) CARMENS FLUKE has been racing better and he should be along for a share again. (3) BURNIN MONEY completely tripped out to win last week and while he's not out of this, he rarely pairs up wins.
Race 4
(4) QUITE A SIGHT took a massive shuffle last week and had no hope of passing more than a few in the lane. She could get a great trip here racing near the front. (2) EXHILARATED drops to a better spot after suffering a long park out from an outer post last time. She is likely the one to beat here. (1) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN closed impressively for a hot barn last time. She is another that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (8) DOCS SAUSALITO should have a better chance of hitting the ticket dropping one class here.
Race 5
(2) BIRCH ISLAND BETTY faces tougher here, but after taking a new life's mark last week, she may be up to it. (6) BEACHES BE CRAZY paced a big back 1/2 last week to no avail because the pace was accelerating. She can be right there with some better racing luck. (10) SLY ELEANOR N will likely need to pass them all, but she is very sharp and not out of this. (1) LYONS HEDGEABET would likely be rated higher if she hadn't missed three weeks. I'll use her underneath in this spot.
Race 6
(3) BUTTERMILK HANOVER takes a big drop here after racing decently in the top class for a few weeks. She should be a chalky Pick 4 single. (1) WATCH MY LUCK was impressive last week and she should be an exacta factor here. (4) ARTISTIC MADISON is likely to take a smaller share racing near the front this time. (5) OUTLAW FIREBALL drops, and she can take a small share vs. these.
Race 7
(5) PRETTY HOT faces easier here and she should get put into this race earlier; top call. (8) REIS STAR CROSS should be more dangerous this week returning in 7 days after missing more than a month between her last two starts; using. (1) KAYS SHADOW races better at this level, but I'm not she can handle both choices. (6) SOS BAMBIE also performs better at this level; consider using underneath.
Race 8
(6) OUR VACATION looks good to repeat coming off a sharp maiden win to begin her four-year-old campaign. (3) JUST MY SHADOW flew home last week, and she could do here if she can start a little quicker. (4) DAN DAR MAL improved last week, but she was no match for the choice; using underneath. (7) BIDFORAHUG fits here, but she has five slices and only one win from 18 starts; using underneath.
Race 9
(7) DOUBLE A MINT was relentless with her late kick last week despite needing to track down a leader who enjoyed a soft opening half. She's too sharp for me to try to beat right now. (4) TAJMEALLOVER figures to get a better trip here and note she beat the choice two starts back. (1) OBVIOUS BLUE CHIP has hit her best stride and she will be a price again here; using on the bottom. (2) SANDBETWEENURTOES - the choice's stablemate - should keep the early pace honest and stick around for a share.
Race 10
(1) JOYFUL KATE had a good record last year and her fast kicker from her February 14 qualifier has me interested. This isn't that tough a spot; slight nod. (5) KAYMAR CHROME looked like a winner in mid-stretch last week, but she tired late. She looks like one of the main contenders again. (3) TAME THE DAME is worth a look off the Moreau claim alone. (10) LEAVING A LEGACY can close for another share and she should be a big price again. (6) DREAM OF MONA brings a good record in from Flamboro and she can hit the High-5 ticket here.