Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 2/8 Analysis
Best Bet: MISTER GODRO (8th)
Spot Play: XELENE BAYAMA (5th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5:4,6/7/5,6,8/5,8/3,4,10 = $7.20
EARLY PICK: 5,8/3,4,10/5,9/1,5,6 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 8/4,5,6/1,3,4,7/6,7 = $24
MEET STATS: 143 - 462 / $802.90 (-$121.10)
BEST BETS: 18 - 41 / $66.00 (-$16.00)
SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 41 / $90.20 (+$8.20)
Race 1
(4) TEST RIDE jumped up in class off the 'O Sullivan claim and raced very well to fall just short. He should get a solid pace to chase here and the short field helps; top call. (6) OH K MAN had enough to hold off the choice at the wire and he should be right there again. (1) LUCKLST BLUEGRASS is in a good spot to follow along and take a decent share; using underneath. (5) UPTOWN FUNK wasn't as good last week racing off the claim, so it's a bit of a guessing game as to how long he will last on the lead here.
Race 2
(7) EXPLOSIVE JET goes for the Fine barn off the claim and in this spot, he will be hard to deny. (5) OVERCOMEBYVICTORY's last effort was too bad to be true. Moving to the middle of the gate I'll give him a look for the exacta here. (2) BOP TOO THE TOP goes to a barn that can move one up right away; consider for exotics. (6) SHIVERED comes off a rest and is capable of hitting the Super in this field.
Race 3
(6) SOMEHOWSOMEDAY comes up tagged for the first time and a win combined with a claim is a strong possibility here. (8) LORIS ROCK STAR merits use in the multis off his strong win last time. (5) SMOKIN N TRIPIN gets Lasix and Auciello here which makes me want to use him, too. (4) FOX VALLEY RIVIERA can take at least a slice racing near the front throughout.
Race 4
(8) NASTY RUMOUR has found her niche racing in this class and Cullen has been driving her well; call to repeat. (5) CHICKIE LOVE moves into a high percentage barn and she has been knocking on the door recently; using. (1) NO PANIC has been very sharp racing out of town; consider for use in the exacta and Tri. (2) HERESTOJESSICA is a consistent sort who has performed well on this circuit in the past. She can add some value to the exotics here.
Race 5
(10) XELENE BAYAMA kicked home well for driver Plante, now she gets Filion back here. I'll take a stab, post 10 and all. (4) DONTBRUISECARRIE is logical with the post relief; using. (3) BOURBON SEELSTER probably faces a bit easier here exiting the top class at Flamboro and she should get put into play early. (1) ROYALTYWESTHO will get good position early which gives her a chance to stick around for a share.
Race 6
(5) WIKI HANOVER was 1 for 25 three starts ago and since then has won two of three and she's looked good doing it; call to repeat. (9) SIGN HERE N HERE is another that is on a roll and on paper, the race should come down to these two. (8) GLIDER MAN raced tough last time. He should be in the mix early and he can share here. (3) DRAFT YEAR is always in the hunt it seems, but he hasn't won in more than a year and I'll use him underneath here.
Race 7
(1) OBVIOUS BLUE CHIP won racing a class higher than this five starts back and she should trip well from this post; top call. (5) REQUEST FOR PAROLE got hung the route last time but leaving from the middle of the gate gives her a much better chance here. (6) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN rallied well in a lower class last week. She's in with an upset chance here. (4) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY is always passing horses and that makes her a great one to use underneath.
Race 8
(8) MISTER GODRO won by unleashing an impressive late charge last week and the outside post may not bother him here. (2) SANTANNA TONY tired late while finishing with broken equipment. He should rebound with a better effort here. (4) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP has done okay since being claimed three starts back. He is in the exotics mix here. (6) CAPTAIN DRAGON will be racing from close range early and he should stick around for a share again.
Race 9
(6) MISTER MUSCLE should have won last time he raced this low, except a break in stride that night stopped him. He looks best here. (5) BURNIN MONEY doesn't win often but he's sharp and dangerous in this spot. (4) CLOUD NINE HANOVER drops, and he wouldn't be a big shock if he popped. (2) DOTTIE hung again last week, and another smaller share seems likely for her.
Race 10
(4) LYONS HEDGEABET rallied too late to catch the strong winner of the Blizzard series, but she should be tough in here along with (3) SAND ARTIST, who raced first up in that mile. (7) ODDS ON STEPHANIE has been rallying well and the short field should help her get on the board here. (1) VINES TO HEAVEN is another sharp mare that merits a look for use underneath here.
Race 11
(6) SOS BAMBIE was live last week as most expected, but she couldn't seal the deal late. She could be even sharper now; slight nod. (7) DAZZLING ROCKETTE was too far back last time. If she gets within striking range by the 3/4 pole, she will be a threat. (5) JUSTABIT MEAN should be rallying for a slice as she usually does. (4) ON THE MINUTE MARK can go better here if she can avoid getting in traffic as happened last week. (2) CHOCOLATE THUNDER raced tough from an outer post last week, She should make it onto the High-5 ticket.