Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 2/7 Analysis

Meet Stats – 151 – 491 / $847.70 (-$134.30)
Best Bets – 19 – 48 / $59.30 (- $30.70)
Spot Plays – 10 – 48 / $76.10 (-$19.90)
Best Bet – INVERSE HANOVER – (6TH)
Spot Play – SHESONEHOTWRITER – (3RD)
Early Pick 5 – 2,9/1,5,8/1,4/1,6,7,8/2,4,5 = $28.80
Late Pick 5 – 1/2,3,4,6/5,6,7/2,5,7,8/2,4,10 = $28.80
Early Pick 4 – 1,6,7,8/2,4,5/1/2,3,4,6 = $48
Late Pick 4 – 2/5,6,7/2,5,7,8/2,4,10 = $36

Race 1 – F&M CLM HDCP for NW $75,000 LT - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(2) K J ALISON paced a big mile on the rim last week to win, tying her lifetime mark that she set only three starts back. She is clearly in top form and she gets the nod in the opening leg of the early Pick 5. (9) PATRICKS COOKIE is also in great form and Macdonald is one of the better drivers from outer posts at this track; using. (5) MONEYMAKEHERSMILE has raced okay here mixing starts in at Flamboro in the past month, too. She should be coming on late for a share again. (3) HIGHMOON SUNSHINE was heavily bet last time and she set the pace, but she could not repel the persistent choice. I’ll use her on the bottom of Tris and Supers here.

Race 2 - F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) TURBO DIVA came close to winning at this level two starts back and on the class drop she looks best here; top call. (8) SOUTHWIND ION returns quicker and she may get sent forward leaving the gate here; give her a price look. (1) BAROCKEY is capable at this level and maybe Roy can wake her up; using. (3) BIDFORA HUG should be good for a share in this field.

Race 3 – F&M NW2 or $30,000

(4) SHESONEHOTWRITER faces much easier here and she should look to boss these mares. (1) ALLY ELIZABETH had an impossible trip last time. She should leave quicker here and that puts her in the mix. (3) KICKIN COWGIRL is only 1 for 28 lifetime, buy she has been racing well for the past month and she should be in the Tri again. (2) SMILE SALLY should sit a following trip racing near the front, and she can take a small slice here.

Race 4 – NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 - Pick 4

(1) MORALLY FLEXIBLE trotted a big mile in defeat last week and now he draws inside where he should get some cover for part of the race; top call. (6) WIKI HANOVER finished just behind the choice in an improved effort and she should be the main threat. (7) Y C BROADWAY moves off the worst post and that makes him worth using underneath here. (8) MUSCLES JARED is likely to flash speed here and if he gets a breather, he could take these a long way on the front end.

Race 5 – 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(4) BERNIE really turned up his late speed racing in the Snowshoe series and he gets the nod here, but he could get overbet. (5) BLU CREW should improve sharply exiting the same series and getting his nose on the gate now; using. (2) HOPE FOR HEAVEN was gaining late in a quick final 1/4 and he could take this if he gets a trip. (6) SIDE HILL GOUGER chased a very fast pace in the Snowshoe final and he should improve here.

Race 6 – F&M NW $6,100 L5 or $13,000 L10 - Late Pick 5

(1) INVERSE HANOVER takes a big drop here and she sticks out vs. these. (6) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP got back on track at Flamboro and she can be an Exacta factor vs. these. (4) WHISTYS PARADISE should be closing again here and she should land in the Tri or Super. (5) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY has popped at a big price twice recently. In this field, I'll use her underneath at a price.

Race 7 – NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 - Pick 4

(2) MISTER MAGIC overpowered weaker last week, but, if he behaves again, he can double up vs. these. (3) ON THE SLY had a tough trip last week and he still hung in there decently. He should be the main threat. (6) ZEUS LIGHTNING races tough most weeks and he fit well in this class; using. (4) GOLD EDITION is capable at this level if he brings his best effort, and he should offer a big price based on recent form.

Race 8 – F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $50,000 LT

(7) BETSEA left, cleared, took a shuffle then came back on to hit the board in the Blizzard series final. She may wire these. (5) VINTAGE WHEY produced a big late kick to shade the choice for 2nd and she should be the main threat. (6) BIG NARANCIA is another exiting the same stakes series that could do with the right trip here. (3) CHOCOLATEMILKTOAST was good in her return race. She should close again for another slice here.

Race 9 – F&M NW $6,100 L5 or $13,000 L10

In a race where it’s hard to love any of them, I’ll take a swing with (2) TWIN B TIPSTER who should get put into this race earlier after stretching her legs last week when coming off a break. (5) NAUGHTY LADY B rallied well last week after starting from the second tier. There are some things to like here as she gets her nose back on the gate and picks up McNair. (7) LYONS JENNILEE was close here racing in the slop two starts back and she is worth a look for multi-race tickets. (8) OUR VACATION will likely be winding up from the back turning for home and any mid-race battling helps her chances.

Race 10 – F&M NW $10,500 L5 or $20,000 L10 or NW $62,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(10) JUST HER LUCK paced a huge mile on the rim to beat easier last week. She may be able to find a helmet to follow here which would help compensate for the step up in class; top call. (2) SPORTY TORI steps outside of her London comfort zone here, but she has won here before and she has the speed and talent to compete with these; using. (4) SANDBETWEENURTOES should be better here making her second start back and dropping one level but she also could get overbet. Let price be your guide. (6) LADY ROCKNROLLA A draws well again and she brings it every week. She should be part of the Super. (1) DEB can sit a nice trip here and take a small share.