Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 2/28 Analysis

Meet Stats – 190 – 612 / $1055.00 (-$169.00)
Best Bets – 25 – 59 / $83.30 (- $34.70)
Spot Plays – 13 – 60 / $87.30 (-$28.50)
Best Bet – CRACKLIN ROSIE – (9TH)
Spot Play – BETTIM VICKY – (10TH)
Early Pick 5 – 4,5,9/1,3,4/1,6,7,8/6,8/1,8,9 = $43.20
Late Pick 5 – 2,3,7/3,4/1,7,8/6/1,2,3,6 = $14.40
Early Pick 4 – 6,8/1,8,9/2,3,7/3,4 = $36
Late Pick 4 – 3,4/1,7,8/6/1,2,3,6 = $24
Race 1 – NW $3,000 L5 or $8,300 L9 - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**
(9) CANBTABERNET is getting closer to a win and he can clear this field despite drawing widest; slight nod in a tough opener. (5) PARKHILL NONSTOP woke up with a much better try last week and he looks like one of the better ones in here; using. (4) ALPHA SEELSTER got a clean line now he could get put into the race this week; upset chance. (2) GREAT MAGIC is usually a good one to use underneath. He can get a good trip and land in the Super here.
Race 2- F&M NW $6,100 L5 or $13,000 L10
(4) KAYS SHADOW stayed in last week and got only a small check. I expect her to get put into the race this time; top call. (3) OUR VACATION was used hard early and she paid for it late. She can get a better result here with an easier trip. (1) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY races well for driver Henry and she can beat these if she is close enough at the head of the lane. (2) GOODNIGHT IRENE should be close early and stick around for a share.
Race 3 – F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $25,000 LT
(6) BIG DIAMOND was in a tough spot last week trying to close after following a slow early pace. She draws well here, and she gets a slight nod in another contentious dash in this tough early Pick 5. (8) RETICENT HANOVER sprinted late to get up as the chalk last week. She isn't out of place moving up one level; using. (1) GREYSTONE NATALI O had it all her own way and she couldn't seal the deal. I'll use her underneath here. (7) SOUTHWIND BAYOU is another sharp filly who could repeat if she gets a similar trip. Price shopping isn't a bad way to go in this race.
Race 4 – F&M CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $77,000 LT
(8) P L LIGHTNING was an easy winner last time she raced for this claiming tag and she should be tough in here. (6) PATRICKS COOKIE draws her best post in several starts. The question is: will she get put into the race tonight? (2) DIVA DALI sprung a huge upset last week off a good trip. She's in the mix again. (3) MYSTIC SEELSTER races well for McNair and she should be a part of this Super.
Race 5 – F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $50,000 LT
(9) SUGAR DANCE won the Blizzard series here in January and despite drawing worst, she should be tough vs. these. (1) VINTAGE WHEY has been racing well for some time now and she should get a spot in midpack here from where she can set up her rally; using. (8) BACK IN THE GAME is dangerous because she may get to sit a perfect pocket trip here. (3) SHEMARS LADY HAVOC came close at big odds last week but these are tougher, and I see her finishing on the edges this time.
Race 6 – NW $6,700 L5 or $14,200 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000
Last time (2) WHAT A RUSH raced this low he was driven aggressively, and he took a win. I expect a similar effort here. (3) ESQUIRE goes for a barn that has been winning with everything. He's hard to toss here. (7) GOLD EDITION draws a bit better here so he should be heard from. (4) DOTTIE is a good one to use on the bottom of Tris and Supers.
Race 7 – F&M NW $12,500 L5 or $21,500 L10 or NW $80,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000
(3) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE was third vs. much better last time and she should take beating vs. this group. (4) LADY ROCKNROLLA A had an impossible trip form the 9-hole last week. She is a legitimate threat here and she could add some value to the late multi-race tickets. (6) DONT STOP BELIEVIN is another class dropper who should improve in this spot, but I'll use her underneath. (2) SPORTY TORI raced well last week despite getting a tough trip; consider for the exotics.
Race 8 – NW $6,700 L5 or $14,200 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000
(1) JUMPSHOT drops and he stands a good chance to pop vs. these. (8) MISTER MAGIC blew up at the start last time which is concerning but he is a player here if he behaves. (7) A J DESTINY is worth a look for at least the exotics off the Fellows claim. (6) MAGIC NIGHT is a bomb worth considering for the Super as he could leave quickly and hang around for a share.
Race 9 – F&M NW $6,100 L5 or NW $13,000 L10 or NW $65,000 LT
(6) CRACKLIN ROSIE finds a good spot making her first start for new connections who struck with a trotter here Saturday night that was bought in the same sale as this mare; top call. (4) MISS MADY has a better shot here starting from the inside; Exacta factor. (2) JAN made two moves when beating easier and she isn’t out of this, plus she should offer a square price again. (3) LA ALWAYS A MARTINI improved last week, and she should be in the exotics mix again here racing close to the front.
Race 10 – Fillies & Mares who have raced for a purse less than 10 $9,000 in one of last 3 1 mile starts. W/O $10,000 last 5 starts not eligible.
(2) BETTIM VICKY had two tighteners at Flamboro now she gets driver Roy who drove her to wins in Ontario in 2018; price play. (3) BETTER SINGLE had a tough trip as the even-money choice last week and she now draws better. She should be closer to the front early here which gives her a better chance this week. (1) FILLY FORTY SEVEN also draws much better and she fits this race well; using. (6) AINT THREE OK draws much better this week and she should get an easier trip. She’s another in with a chance in a contentious field. (10) THREE ACCOUNTS should be able to find some cover here and land in the Super or High-5.

