Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 2/21 Analysis

Meet Stats – 177 – 572 / $992.20 (-$151.80)
Best Bets – 24 – 56 / $80.60 (- $31.40)
Spot Plays – 11 – 56 / $82.60 (-$29.40)
Best Bet – DEB - (9TH)
Spot Play – PATRICKS COOKIE - (8TH)
Early Pick 5 – 1,2,5/1,4,5,6/1,3,4,7/1/1,5,7 = $28.80
Late Pick 5 – 3,4,6/4,6,9/5,7/1/1,3,10 = $10.80
Early Pick 4 – 1/1,5,7/3,4,6/4,6,9 = $27
Late Pick 4 – 4,6,9/5,7/1/1,3,10 = $18

Race 1 - F&M NW $6,600 L5 or NW $65,000 LT - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(1) OUR VACATION has raced well twice in a row and her price should be good here facing off against some class droppers; slight nod in a contentious opening leg of the Pick 5. (5) VINES TO HEAVEN had little chance racing against tougher while starting from bad posts in two straight starts. She has a better shot here. (2) CHARMBO BRIE raced well off the shelf and she is another who should offer a square price that has a chance here. (4) CATCH AN ACE drops, but she often hangs when asked to do some heavy lifting which is likely to be the case here. I'll play to beat her in this spot.

Race 2 - CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000

(5) SPEED TO MARKET showed more early zip racing out of the Auciello barn off the claim, but he was following a leader that got a middle 1/2 breather. He can turn the tables here. (4) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS faces tougher here but he took a new life's mark while racing off the claim and he may provide the sternest challenge to his stablemate, the choice. (6) LEGAL BETTOR was cleverly driven to victory last week, but he loses McClure here. I'll use him underneath. (1) CROCADILE CANYON goes to Moreau off the claim here and he can't be counted out.

Race 3 – F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $52,000

(7) SHEMARS LADY HAVOC won at a huge price last time Jamieson drove her (at Flamboro in December) and she looked great winning there last week vs. lesser; price and angle play. (1) BACK IN THE GAME returns quicker here and she should be sharper in a race where she fits. (3) SAULSBROOK JESSIE faces easier here and she has the fastest mark in the race. She should be in the hunt. (4) BIG NARANCIA is another who fits well here, and she should be racing up close early which will help her chances.

Race 4 – 5YO and Younger NW2 or $15,500 LT - Pick 4

(1) DARTH FADER trucked through a blizzard to take another sharp win last week and a threepeat looms here. (4) SPRINGBRIDGE JIM is obvious on paper but he's missed three weeks and the choice is no pushover. I'm not sure I'd take a short price here. (5) LETS GET PICKLED was disappointing last week but he picks up a catch-driver here and he can improve. (6) SIZE ME UP tried hard against the choice last time and he should be in the exotics mix here.

Race 5 – F&M NW $6,600 L5 or NW $65,000 LT

(5) BLACK JACK PAT is sharp, and she drops back to a level where she was successful two starts back; top call. (1) THIS DRAGON ROCKS is capable at this level and she could get a better trip here starting from the inside; using. (7) SOUTHWIND ION steps up off a nice win; she's not out of this despite the class rise. (6) WATCH MY LUCK is racing better and she should be able to grab a slice here racing from off the pace.

Race 6 – CLM $15,000 TO $20,000

(6) MISTER MAGIC was super last week but he takes on two fresh claims that go for hot barns here, including stablemate (3) A J DESTINY who is capable, and (4) ESQUIRE who is also in with a decent shot. It makes sense to price shop here. (2) EXPLOSIVE JET should be good for a small share vs, this group.

Race 7 – F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 or NW $80,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(6) SANDBETWEENURTOES raced better last time and she should be good to go here making her 4th start back off the break. (9) LADY ROCKNROLLA A is as sharp as a tack and even starting from out there she merits a close look. (4) SUNDAY AFTERNOON drops, and she is in the mix here. Don't be shocked if she blasts to the front at the start. (1) CRACKLIN ROSIE is worth using in the exotics here making her first start out of the Moreau barn after being sold.

Race 8 – F&M CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $76,000 LT

(7) PATRICKS COOKIE has been full of pace in the final 1/4 of her last two starts but in impossible spots. The short field and driver change could work in her favor here; top call. (5) MYSTIC SEELSTER beat many of these last week and she is another who should be helped by the small field. (6) AKITA BAYAMA has been right there on the wire in her last two starts vs. these and she should be a big threat again. (1) MISS KABANA was much better last week, and she should be in the hunt again here.

Race 9 - F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(1) DEB - after missing a check last week - gets to drop to the bottom conditioned level here and she should be tough. (7) JAN may have needed that start on Valentine's Day and she can improve here; Exacta factor. (5) LYONS JENNIELEE is another that should improve dropping to the bottom here and she should hit the board in this spot. (8) MADDYS CREDIT will be passing mares late and she can sneak onto the Super or Tri ticket.

Race 10 - NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(10) KAMERAN HANOVER gets his favorite driver back here while taking a big class drop. He should wake up here. (1) CANTABERNET can and should improve in this second start back; using. (3) SPRING IN PARIS was outmatched on Monday night but she fits much better here and she should get put into play by Henry; using. (2) DOTTIE is another who drops but she is best used underneath most nights and she is likely to round out the Tri or Super. (7) MUSICAL SPELL is usually a good one to use on the bottom at this level. He could add some value to the Super or High-5 here.